Historical analogs

Similar setups to $SC

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 274 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-7.1%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-49.4%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

28%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 18:44 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 28% (95% CI 16–43%)

Median: -7.1%; CI -12.0% … -3.2%
Trimmed mean: -8.4%; 10% each side
Mean: -7.1%; σ 20.3%
Range: -41.6% … +36.2%

p5: -36.4%
p10: -33.7%
p25: -24.3%
p50: -7.1%
p75: +0.8%
p90: +23.7%
p95: +35.3%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 18:44 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: 3
Crowding: 99
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 49
Price change 1h: —
Volume acceleration: +61.5%
Liquidity: $350.8K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 5 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$BASECAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	67%	+35.6%	0.0%	+38.2%	3 · 99 · — · 46
$PRISM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	61%	-8.3%	-14.0%	+7.3%	3 · 88 · — · 53
$PRISM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	56%	-11.6%	-17.1%	+7.7%	3 · 88 · — · 46
$BASECAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	55%	+35.3%	-0.3%	+37.8%	3 · 99 · — · 43
$MEME2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	45%	-2.2%	-9.7%	+6.8%	3 · 86 · — · 53
$PRISM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	45%	-12.6%	-18.0%	+2.3%	3 · 88 · — · 56
$MEME2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	43%	-6.3%	-11.0%	+5.2%	3 · 81 · — · 47
$SC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	40%	+1.0%	-0.6%	+1.9%	4 · 99 · — · 46
$MEME2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	40%	+0.7%	-8.9%	+7.8%	3 · 81 · — · 46
$SC2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	40%	+0.9%	-0.7%	+1.8%	4 · 99 · — · 44
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	39%	-8.6%	-24.6%	+5.2%	5 · 79 · — · 46
$MEME2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	38%	+2.7%	-6.0%	+11.1%	3 · 81 · — · 43
$PRISM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	35%	-5.9%	-11.7%	+10.2%	3 · 88 · — · 54
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	34%	-6.8%	-23.1%	+7.2%	6 · 75 · — · 48
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	32%	-11.9%	-31.4%	+3.3%	7 · 81 · — · 41
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	32%	-3.2%	-20.1%	+11.4%	6 · 75 · — · 49
$MEME2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	30%	-2.7%	-11.1%	+5.2%	3 · 81 · — · 43
$MONITOR2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	29%	-24.7%	-28.1%	+4.4%	3 · 81 · — · 47
$MEME2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	29%	-1.5%	-9.0%	+7.6%	3 · 81 · — · 44
$MONITOR2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	28%	-25.4%	-28.8%	+3.5%	3 · 81 · — · 46
$MEME2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	28%	-3.8%	-11.2%	+1.3%	3 · 81 · — · 46
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	27%	-36.3%	-38.3%	+8.2%	7 · 81 · — · 42
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	27%	-10.7%	-26.3%	+2.8%	7 · 81 · — · 41
$BATON2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	27%	+12.8%	-11.6%	+22.7%	5 · 79 · — · 44
$BATON2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	27%	+18.3%	-7.3%	+28.7%	4 · 79 · — · 48
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	26%	-32.6%	-35.7%	+12.8%	7 · 81 · — · 42
$BASECAT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	26%	+36.2%	-0.2%	+38.8%	3 · 99 · — · 36
$AGENCY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	25%	-41.6%	-43.6%	0.0%	7 · 78 · — · 43
$BATON2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	25%	+23.1%	-3.6%	+33.9%	4 · 79 · — · 49
$MEME2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	25%	-4.9%	-10.1%	+6.4%	3 · 78 · — · 50
$AGENCY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	25%	-38.6%	-40.6%	+0.9%	7 · 78 · — · 44
$MONITOR2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	24%	-24.3%	-27.8%	+4.9%	3 · 81 · — · 50
$BASECAT2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	22%	+28.9%	0.0%	+32.8%	3 · 99 · — · 36
$MONITOR2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	21%	-24.3%	-27.8%	+4.9%	3 · 81 · — · 54
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	20%	-26.6%	-39.7%	0.0%	7 · 81 · — · 38
$AGENCY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	19%	-35.9%	-38.1%	+3.9%	6 · 71 · — · 46
$UDR2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	16%	-7.5%	-9.9%	+1.7%	8 · 83 · — · 44
$PRISM2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	16%	-12.1%	-17.5%	+7.2%	25 · 88 · — · 46
$STONKINU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	15%	-33.5%	-49.4%	+4.9%	6 · 81 · — · 48
$INU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	14%	-15.2%	-19.2%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 48

$BASECAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
+35.6%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$PRISM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-8.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.0%
$PRISM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-11.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.1%
$BASECAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
+35.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.3%
$MEME2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
45%
24h return
-2.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.7%
$PRISM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
45%
24h return
-12.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.0%
$MEME2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
43%
24h return
-6.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.0%
$SC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
40%
24h return
+1.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.6%
$MEME2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
40%
24h return
+0.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.9%
$SC2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
40%
24h return
+0.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.7%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
39%
24h return
-8.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.6%
$MEME2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
38%
24h return
+2.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.0%
$PRISM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
35%
24h return
-5.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.7%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
34%
24h return
-6.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.1%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
32%
24h return
-11.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-31.4%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
32%
24h return
-3.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.1%
$MEME2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
30%
24h return
-2.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.1%
$MONITOR2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
29%
24h return
-24.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.1%
$MEME2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
29%
24h return
-1.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.0%
$MONITOR2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
28%
24h return
-25.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.8%
$MEME2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
28%
24h return
-3.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.2%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
27%
24h return
-36.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.3%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
27%
24h return
-10.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.3%
$BATON2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
27%
24h return
+12.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.6%
$BATON2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
27%
24h return
+18.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.3%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
26%
24h return
-32.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.7%
$BASECAT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
26%
24h return
+36.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.2%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
25%
24h return
-41.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.6%
$BATON2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
25%
24h return
+23.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.6%
$MEME2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
25%
24h return
-4.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.1%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
25%
24h return
-38.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.6%
$MONITOR2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
24%
24h return
-24.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.8%
$BASECAT2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
22%
24h return
+28.9%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$MONITOR2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
21%
24h return
-24.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.8%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
20%
24h return
-26.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-39.7%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
19%
24h return
-35.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.1%
$UDR2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
16%
24h return
-7.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.9%
$PRISM2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
16%
24h return
-12.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.5%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
15%
24h return
-33.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.4%
$INU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
14%
24h return
-15.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.2%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 18:44 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $SC within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,048 resolved snapshots · 274 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.