Historical analogs

Similar setups to $BUN

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 1,086 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-3.1%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-32.2%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

38%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 21:13 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 38% (95% CI 24–53%)

Median: -3.1%; CI -7.6% … +0.7%
Trimmed mean: -2.7%; 10% each side
Mean: -1.0%; σ 18.0%
Range: -29.6% … +53.9%

1 above +39.2% (max +53.9%)

p5: -23.4%
p10: -21.3%
p25: -11.8%
p50: -3.1%
p75: +4.7%
p90: +23.8%
p95: +35.4%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 21:13 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 53
Price change 1h: -3.9%
Volume acceleration: +59.2%
Liquidity: $650.5K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$OTC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	81%	-10.1%	-12.1%	+6.0%	— · — · — · 53
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	74%	-20.4%	-23.5%	+7.8%	66 · 55 · — · 48
$1F9162026-10-10 20:00 UTC	73%	+4.1%	-18.7%	+9.1%	— · — · — · 54
$SI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	72%	+1.6%	-1.4%	+30.7%	31 · 33 · — · 52
$GENIE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	72%	-23.1%	-23.1%	+4.3%	— · — · — · 56
$旺柴2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	71%	+9.3%	-6.8%	+24.4%	10 · 58 · — · 55
$GENIE2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	70%	-29.2%	-29.2%	+2.2%	— · — · — · 54
$SI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	67%	+18.2%	-1.8%	+32.8%	39 · 36 · — · 52
$PRISM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	67%	-8.3%	-14.0%	+7.3%	3 · 88 · — · 53
$INU2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	66%	+23.5%	-6.1%	+25.9%	3 · 67 · — · 50
$HMM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	65%	-14.3%	-15.6%	+2.0%	— · — · — · 56
$1F9162026-10-10 21:00 UTC	65%	+35.4%	-15.7%	+44.6%	— · — · — · 47
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	64%	-17.9%	-18.8%	+14.7%	43 · 58 · — · 47
$GENIE2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	63%	-29.6%	-32.2%	+2.7%	— · — · — · 47
$SI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	62%	+16.9%	-2.9%	+31.3%	88 · 44 · — · 49
$INU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	62%	-15.2%	-19.2%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 48
$旺柴2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	61%	+8.9%	-7.2%	+23.8%	30 · 58 · — · 53
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	61%	-21.2%	-28.0%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 54
$FONE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	58%	-3.5%	-8.9%	+10.8%	— · — · — · 56
$MEME2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	57%	-2.2%	-9.7%	+6.8%	3 · 86 · — · 53
$BUN2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	56%	-9.6%	-9.6%	0.0%	— · — · — · 56
$BATON2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	56%	+26.8%	-0.6%	+38.0%	39 · 82 · — · 46
$ORBIO2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	56%	-15.2%	-15.2%	+5.1%	56 · 45 · — · 45
$SC2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	56%	+1.4%	-0.9%	+2.5%	3 · 99 · — · 46
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	56%	-6.8%	-23.1%	+7.2%	6 · 75 · — · 48
$ORBIO2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	56%	-11.0%	-11.0%	+10.4%	8 · 45 · — · 46
$BONER2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	55%	+6.6%	-5.7%	+9.1%	5 · 56 · — · 52
$1F9162026-10-10 16:00 UTC	55%	-22.3%	-22.4%	+4.1%	— · — · — · 52
$TRIPLET2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	55%	-3.5%	-10.3%	+4.6%	— · — · — · 46
$BASECAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	54%	+35.6%	0.0%	+38.2%	3 · 99 · — · 46
$MEME2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	54%	-6.3%	-11.0%	+5.2%	3 · 81 · — · 47
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	54%	0.0%	-2.2%	+2.4%	— · — · — · 45
$BUN2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	53%	-5.5%	-6.3%	+3.1%	— · — · — · 57
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	53%	-3.2%	-20.1%	+11.4%	6 · 75 · — · 49
$OTC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	53%	-1.8%	-12.5%	+4.0%	— · — · — · 56
$ZCAT2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	53%	+0.5%	-10.7%	+7.9%	— · — · — · 46
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	53%	-2.9%	-2.9%	+1.7%	— · — · — · 45
$旺柴2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	52%	+3.2%	-12.1%	+17.3%	10 · 51 · — · 55
$ZCAT2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	52%	-0.8%	-10.3%	+8.5%	— · — · — · 45
$BATON2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	52%	+53.9%	-2.6%	+69.2%	4 · 88 · — · 45

$OTC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-10.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.1%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-20.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.5%
$1F9162026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
+4.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.7%
$SI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
+1.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.4%
$GENIE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-23.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.1%
$旺柴2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
+9.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.8%
$GENIE2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
-29.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-29.2%
$SI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
+18.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.8%
$PRISM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-8.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.0%
$INU2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
+23.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.1%
$HMM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-14.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.6%
$1F9162026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
+35.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.7%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-17.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.8%
$GENIE2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-29.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-32.2%
$SI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
+16.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.9%
$INU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-15.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.2%
$旺柴2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
+8.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.2%
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-21.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.0%
$FONE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
-3.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.9%
$MEME2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-2.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.7%
$BUN2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-9.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$BATON2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
+26.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.6%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-15.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.2%
$SC2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
+1.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.9%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-6.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.1%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-11.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.0%
$BONER2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
+6.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.7%
$1F9162026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
-22.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.4%
$TRIPLET2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
-3.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.3%
$BASECAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
+35.6%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$MEME2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-6.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.0%
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
0.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.2%
$BUN2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-5.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.3%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-3.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.1%
$OTC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-1.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.5%
$ZCAT2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
+0.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.7%
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-2.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.9%
$旺柴2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
52%
24h return
+3.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.1%
$ZCAT2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
52%
24h return
-0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.3%
$BATON2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
52%
24h return
+53.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.6%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 21:13 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $BUN within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,656 resolved snapshots · 1,086 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.