Skip to content
Back to $TIKTOK
Historical analogs

Similar setups to $TIKTOK

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live
Similar setups
2
of 675 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
+2.3%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-15.5%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
50%
N = 2
ConfidenceConfidence: LOW2 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 18:43 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 2 · Positive after 24h 50% (95% CI 9–91%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
+2.3%
CI -2.2% … +6.8%
Trimmed mean
+2.3%
10% each side
Mean
+2.3%
σ 6.3%
Range
-2.2% … +6.8%
24h return after similar setups histogram2 samples in 3 bins from -2.2% to +6.8%.median-2.2%+6.8%0%+2%+4%+6%
24h return after similar setups box plotMedian +2.3%, interquartile range +0.1% to +4.5%, whiskers -2.2% to +6.8%, 0 outliers (min -2.2%, max +6.8%).-2.2%+6.8%+2.3%
p5
-1.7%
p10
-1.3%
p25
+0.1%
p50
+2.3%
p75
+4.5%
p90
+5.9%
p95
+6.3%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 18:43 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum
—
Crowding
—
Early Quality
—
Narrative Velocity
49
Price change 1h
—
Volume acceleration
+703%
Liquidity
$40.3K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

  • $BNBO2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    42%
    24h return
    +6.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -7.2%
  • $BNBCAT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    29%
    24h return
    -2.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -15.5%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

  • Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
  • Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 18:43 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $TIKTOK within ±24h are excluded.
  • Considered 7,048 resolved snapshots · 675 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
  • Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.