Historical analogs
Similar setups to $DOPE
Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.
Live
Similar setups
15
of 395 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
-26.1%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-70.8%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
20%
N = 15
ConfidenceConfidence: MEDIUM15 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 21:11 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10
24h return after similar setups
N = 15 · Positive after 24h 20% (95% CI 7–45%)
- Median
- -26.1%
- CI -45.8% … -10.4%
- Trimmed mean
- -20.3%
- 10% each side
- Mean
- -17.4%
- σ 38.3%
- Range
- -67.0% … +69.8%
2 above +14.9% (max +69.8%)
- p5
- -56.9%
- p10
- -50.8%
- p25
- -37.1%
- p50
- -26.1%
- p75
- -11.6%
- p90
- +38.5%
- p95
- +65.7%
This setup now
Snapshot 2026-10-11 21:11 UTC — the vector being matched
- Momentum
- 24
- Crowding
- 81
- Early Quality
- —
- Narrative Velocity
- 73
- Price change 1h
- -20.9%
- Volume acceleration
- -4.4%
- Liquidity
- $130.2K
Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 6 of 7 features were comparable.
Matched historical setups
- $OMNI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 31%
- 24h return
- -12.8%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -42.3%
- $B-MONEY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 31%
- 24h return
- +0.1%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -6.1%
- $HEEHAW2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 28%
- 24h return
- -26.1%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -26.5%
- $OMNI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 28%
- 24h return
- -48.0%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -50.0%
- $ALTAI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 25%
- 24h return
- -67.0%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -70.8%
- $HEEHAW2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 25%
- 24h return
- -10.4%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -19.1%
- $HEEHAW2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 18%
- 24h return
- -26.1%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -30.6%
- $PQC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 15%
- 24h return
- -25.5%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -47.2%
- $HEEHAW2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 12%
- 24h return
- -25.9%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -30.3%
- $OMNI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 8%
- 24h return
- -45.8%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -47.9%
- $TM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 4%
- 24h return
- +64.0%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -21.7%
- $HEEHAW2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 4%
- 24h return
- -26.8%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -31.2%
- $TM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 4%
- 24h return
- +69.8%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -13.5%
- $OMNI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 2%
- 24h return
- -52.6%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -57.1%
- $PQC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 1%
- 24h return
- -28.4%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -49.2%
Method & point-in-time rules
analog-v1.0
- Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
- Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 21:11 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $DOPE within ±24h are excluded.
- Considered 7,656 resolved snapshots · 395 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
- Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.
FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.