Historical analogs

Similar setups to $ZC

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 253 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-11.8%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-52.3%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

13%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 16:41 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 13% (95% CI 5–26%)

Median: -11.8%; CI -22.9% … -6.8%
Trimmed mean: -14.7%; 10% each side
Mean: -14.7%; σ 17.9%
Range: -46.7% … +41.0%

1 above +27.1% (max +41.0%)

p5: -44.3%
p10: -41.8%
p25: -25.0%
p50: -11.8%
p75: -2.2%
p90: +0.4%
p95: +3.2%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 16:41 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: 6
Crowding: 75
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: —
Price change 1h: —
Volume acceleration: —
Liquidity: $348.1K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$AGENCY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	89%	-41.6%	-43.6%	0.0%	7 · 78 · — · 43
$AGENCY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	89%	-42.9%	-44.8%	+0.9%	7 · 78 · — · 36
$AGENCY2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	89%	-46.7%	-52.3%	0.0%	7 · 78 · — · 36
$AGENCY2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	73%	-45.0%	-46.6%	+5.6%	6 · 83 · — · 37
$AGENCY2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	73%	-44.3%	-49.7%	+5.1%	6 · 83 · — · 33
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	72%	-6.8%	-23.1%	+7.2%	6 · 75 · — · 48
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	71%	-32.6%	-35.7%	+12.8%	7 · 81 · — · 42
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	71%	-23.9%	-37.0%	+10.5%	7 · 81 · — · 38
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	71%	-26.6%	-39.7%	0.0%	7 · 81 · — · 38
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	71%	-11.9%	-31.4%	+3.3%	7 · 81 · — · 41
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	71%	-36.3%	-38.3%	+8.2%	7 · 81 · — · 42
$MEME2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	70%	-4.9%	-10.1%	+6.4%	3 · 78 · — · 50
$MONITOR2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	67%	-24.3%	-27.8%	+4.9%	3 · 81 · — · 54
$MONITOR2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	67%	-24.3%	-27.8%	+4.9%	3 · 81 · — · 50
$INU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	67%	-11.0%	-14.6%	+2.7%	5 · 67 · — · 48
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	67%	-10.7%	-26.3%	+2.8%	7 · 81 · — · 41
$MEME2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	65%	-6.3%	-11.0%	+5.2%	3 · 81 · — · 47
$MEME2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	65%	-2.7%	-11.1%	+5.2%	3 · 81 · — · 43
$MEME2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	65%	+2.7%	-6.0%	+11.1%	3 · 81 · — · 43
$MEME2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	65%	+0.7%	-8.9%	+7.8%	3 · 81 · — · 46
$INU2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	64%	-24.5%	-27.4%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 49
$INU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	64%	-22.0%	-24.6%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 45
$INU2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	64%	-14.8%	-19.1%	+0.2%	5 · 67 · — · 45
$INU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	64%	-15.2%	-19.2%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 48
$SAPLING2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	64%	-0.8%	-11.6%	+34.7%	8 · 65 · — · 46
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	56%	-26.8%	-41.5%	+14.9%	6 · 63 · — · 39
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	56%	-36.2%	-49.1%	+8.5%	8 · 63 · — · 40
$INU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	55%	-11.1%	-14.7%	+2.6%	4 · 63 · — · 51
$BATON2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	55%	+13.8%	-11.3%	+23.2%	4 · 73 · — · 41
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	54%	-14.3%	-19.6%	+4.8%	2 · 78 · — · 56
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	54%	-13.9%	-19.3%	0.0%	2 · 78 · — · 63
$MEME2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	54%	-2.2%	-9.7%	+6.8%	3 · 86 · — · 53
$PRISM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	53%	-11.6%	-17.1%	+7.7%	3 · 88 · — · 46
$PRIORS2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	53%	+41.0%	0.0%	+56.4%	5 · 70 · — · 35
$PRISM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	53%	-8.3%	-14.0%	+7.3%	3 · 88 · — · 53
$TENDIES2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	53%	-0.2%	-3.5%	+7.5%	2 · 62 · — · —
$TENDIES2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	53%	-0.2%	-3.5%	+7.4%	2 · 62 · — · —
$TENDIES2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	53%	-1.2%	-4.3%	+6.6%	2 · 62 · — · —
$TENDIES2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	53%	-2.2%	-5.2%	+5.6%	2 · 62 · — · —
$TENDIES2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	53%	+0.4%	-3.0%	+8.1%	2 · 62 · — · —

$AGENCY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-41.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.6%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-42.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-44.8%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-46.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-52.3%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-45.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.6%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-44.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.7%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-6.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.1%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-32.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.7%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-23.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-37.0%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-26.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-39.7%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-11.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-31.4%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-36.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.3%
$MEME2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
-4.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.1%
$MONITOR2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-24.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.8%
$MONITOR2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-24.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.8%
$INU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-11.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.6%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-10.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.3%
$MEME2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-6.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.0%
$MEME2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-2.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.1%
$MEME2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
+2.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.0%
$MEME2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
+0.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.9%
$INU2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-24.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.4%
$INU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-22.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.6%
$INU2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.1%
$INU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-15.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.2%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.6%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-26.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.5%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-36.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.1%
$INU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
-11.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.7%
$BATON2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
+13.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.3%
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-14.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.6%
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-13.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.3%
$MEME2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-2.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.7%
$PRISM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-11.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.1%
$PRIORS2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
+41.0%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$PRISM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-8.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.0%
$TENDIES2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-0.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.5%
$TENDIES2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-0.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.5%
$TENDIES2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-1.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.3%
$TENDIES2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-2.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.2%
$TENDIES2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
+0.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.0%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 16:41 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $ZC within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 6,649 resolved snapshots · 253 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.