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Historical analogs

Similar setups to $EVERYTHING

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live
Similar setups
40
of 5,274 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
-6.4%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-97.4%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
33%
N = 40
ConfidenceConfidence: HIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-13 04:23 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-12

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 33% (95% CI 20–48%)

Median
-6.4%
CI -12.8% … -1.5%
Trimmed mean
-8.1%
10% each side
Mean
-9.5%
σ 29.6%
Range
-96.9% … +65.1%
24h return after similar setups histogram40 samples in 10 bins from -96.9% to +65.1%. Tail bins: 3 below -58.8%.median-96.9%+65.1%0%-58.8%-50%+50%
24h return after similar setups box plotMedian -6.4%, interquartile range -15.2% to +3.7%, whiskers -38.8% to +23.7%, 6 outliers (min -96.9%, max +65.1%).-38.8%+23.7%-6.4%

3 below -52.6% (min -96.9%) · 2 above +37.4% (max +65.1%)

p5
-61.7%
p10
-39.5%
p25
-15.2%
p50
-6.4%
p75
+3.7%
p90
+17.5%
p95
+25.1%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-13 04:23 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum
—
Crowding
—
Early Quality
—
Narrative Velocity
71
Price change 1h
-7.1%
Volume acceleration
+452%
Liquidity
$199.3K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

  • $CORE2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
    Similarity
    84%
    24h return
    -35.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -35.8%
  • $CORE2026-10-11 22:00 UTC
    Similarity
    78%
    24h return
    -38.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -38.8%
  • $KITTY2026-10-11 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    68%
    24h return
    -6.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.9%
  • $DOPE2026-10-11 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    61%
    24h return
    -60.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -62.5%
  • $PONGO2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
    Similarity
    54%
    24h return
    -4.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -19.4%
  • $PONGO2026-10-11 10:00 UTC
    Similarity
    51%
    24h return
    +8.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.8%
  • $MICHI2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
    Similarity
    50%
    24h return
    +3.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -2.4%
  • $尤栗2026-10-12 01:00 UTC
    Similarity
    50%
    24h return
    -96.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -97.4%
  • $MICHI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    49%
    24h return
    -1.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.7%
  • $GTA2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
    Similarity
    42%
    24h return
    -15.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -15.9%
  • $KITTY2026-10-12 04:00 UTC
    Similarity
    40%
    24h return
    -12.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -16.7%
  • $CORE2026-10-11 23:00 UTC
    Similarity
    39%
    24h return
    -38.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -38.0%
  • $CLAUDIA2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
    Similarity
    37%
    24h return
    +12.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -20.4%
  • $B-MONEY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    34%
    24h return
    -14.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -19.6%
  • $VIBECOIN2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
    Similarity
    33%
    24h return
    -6.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.7%
  • $PONGO2026-10-11 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    32%
    24h return
    -11.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -11.9%
  • $OPTIMUS2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    32%
    24h return
    -15.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -15.6%
  • $SC2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
    Similarity
    31%
    24h return
    -2.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -3.7%
  • $MICHI2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
    Similarity
    31%
    24h return
    +3.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -2.5%
  • $JOBY2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
    Similarity
    30%
    24h return
    -0.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -5.8%
  • $PONGO2026-10-11 12:00 UTC
    Similarity
    30%
    24h return
    +5.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -3.0%
  • $INJOH2026-10-11 22:00 UTC
    Similarity
    29%
    24h return
    +53.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -0.1%
  • $VIBECOIN2026-10-11 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    28%
    24h return
    -9.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -13.3%
  • $MAX2026-10-11 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    27%
    24h return
    +2.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.1%
  • $BULLISH2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
    Similarity
    27%
    24h return
    +20.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -14.4%
  • $INJOH2026-10-11 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    26%
    24h return
    +65.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.0%
  • $MAX2026-10-11 23:00 UTC
    Similarity
    26%
    24h return
    -4.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -11.0%
  • $SNDK2026-10-11 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    25%
    24h return
    -11.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -17.2%
  • $KITTY2026-10-11 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    24%
    24h return
    -6.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.5%
  • $BOXY2026-10-11 20:00 UTC
    Similarity
    23%
    24h return
    +17.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    0.0%
  • $MICHI2026-10-11 14:00 UTC
    Similarity
    23%
    24h return
    +0.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -0.5%
  • $BIOLLM2026-10-12 02:00 UTC
    Similarity
    23%
    24h return
    -13.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -13.3%
  • $PUMPCAT2026-10-11 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    22%
    24h return
    -18.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -27.5%
  • $PONGO2026-10-11 11:00 UTC
    Similarity
    20%
    24h return
    +23.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    0.0%
  • $SAPLING2026-10-11 22:00 UTC
    Similarity
    19%
    24h return
    -34.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -36.2%
  • $ALTAI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    19%
    24h return
    -45.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -47.6%
  • $MADE2026-10-12 04:00 UTC
    Similarity
    18%
    24h return
    +9.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    0.0%
  • $CHIIKAWA2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
    Similarity
    18%
    24h return
    -12.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -31.3%
  • $UP2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
    Similarity
    18%
    24h return
    -79.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -80.2%
  • $JIMOTHY2026-10-12 01:00 UTC
    Similarity
    18%
    24h return
    -11.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -11.9%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

  • Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
  • Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-13 04:23 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $EVERYTHING within ±24h are excluded.
  • Considered 13,735 resolved snapshots · 5,274 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
  • Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.