Historical analogs
Similar setups to $SI
Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.
Live
Similar setups
19
of 198 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
-5.3%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-42.6%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
42%
N = 19
ConfidenceConfidence: MEDIUM19 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 16:02 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10
24h return after similar setups
N = 19 · Positive after 24h 42% (95% CI 23–64%)
- Median
- -5.3%
- CI -18.9% … +21.0%
- Trimmed mean
- 0.0%
- 10% each side
- Mean
- +0.5%
- σ 25.7%
- Range
- -29.9% … +38.9%
- p5
- -29.4%
- p10
- -28.5%
- p25
- -22.4%
- p50
- -5.3%
- p75
- +24.4%
- p90
- +36.7%
- p95
- +37.2%
This setup now
Snapshot 2026-10-11 16:02 UTC — the vector being matched
- Momentum
- 14
- Crowding
- 28
- Early Quality
- —
- Narrative Velocity
- 35
- Price change 1h
- —
- Volume acceleration
- —
- Liquidity
- $784.3K
Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.
Matched historical setups
- $SI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 44%
- 24h return
- +37.0%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -3.1%
- $SI2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 30%
- 24h return
- +38.9%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -2.4%
- $SI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 30%
- 24h return
- +33.5%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -6.2%
- $ORBIO2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 23%
- 24h return
- -18.9%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -20.0%
- $SI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 19%
- 24h return
- +27.8%
- Max drawdown 24h
- 0.0%
- $PRIORS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 18%
- 24h return
- -7.6%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -14.8%
- $JEANPHIL2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 15%
- 24h return
- +21.0%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -2.0%
- $DARK2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 12%
- 24h return
- -27.9%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -35.0%
- $DARK2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 12%
- 24h return
- -25.8%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -36.0%
- $SI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 9%
- 24h return
- +36.6%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -0.5%
- $ORBIO2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 8%
- 24h return
- -11.0%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -11.0%
- $CATE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 7%
- 24h return
- -5.3%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -5.3%
- $JEANPHIL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 5%
- 24h return
- +19.7%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -5.3%
- $DARK2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 4%
- 24h return
- -28.3%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -32.2%
- $CATE2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 4%
- 24h return
- +1.5%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -1.1%
- $CATE2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 2%
- 24h return
- -5.1%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -5.5%
- $ORBIO2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 0%
- 24h return
- -18.1%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -18.1%
- $CRAWL2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 0%
- 24h return
- -29.9%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -42.6%
- $CRAWL2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 0%
- 24h return
- -29.3%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -38.9%
Method & point-in-time rules
analog-v1.0
- Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
- Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 16:02 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $SI within ±24h are excluded.
- Considered 6,649 resolved snapshots · 198 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
- Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.
FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.