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Market data delayed · Last update: 16m ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

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Historical analogs

Similar setups to $PONGO

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live
Similar setups
1
of 802 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
-1.7%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-1.7%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
0%
N = 1
ConfidenceConfidence: LOW1 similar setup · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 19:53 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 1 · Positive after 24h 0% (95% CI 0–79%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
-1.7%
Trimmed mean
-1.7%
10% each side
Mean
-1.7%
Range
-1.7% … -1.7%
24h return after similar setups histogram1 samples in 1 bins from -1.7% to -1.7%.median-1.7%-1.7%
24h return after similar setups box plotMedian -1.7%, interquartile range -1.7% to -1.7%, whiskers -1.7% to -1.7%, 0 outliers (min -1.7%, max -1.7%).-1.7%-1.7%
p5
-1.7%
p10
-1.7%
p25
-1.7%
p50
-1.7%
p75
-1.7%
p90
-1.7%
p95
-1.7%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 19:53 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum
—
Crowding
—
Early Quality
—
Narrative Velocity
72
Price change 1h
+10.1%
Volume acceleration
+546%
Liquidity
$108.3K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

  • $MICHI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    43%
    24h return
    -1.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.7%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

  • Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
  • Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 19:53 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $PONGO within ±24h are excluded.
  • Considered 7,250 resolved snapshots · 802 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
  • Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.