Historical analogs

Similar setups to $SPRING

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 1,564 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

+3.8%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-77.1%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

65%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 21:13 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 65% (95% CI 50–78%)

Median: +3.8%; CI -0.3% … +9.2%
Trimmed mean: +4.8%; 10% each side
Mean: +4.6%; σ 22.6%
Range: -46.3% … +94.6%

3 below -27.0% (min -46.3%) · 1 above +41.3% (max +94.6%)

p5: -38.2%
p10: -11.1%
p25: -4.6%
p50: +3.8%
p75: +12.7%
p90: +24.6%
p95: +26.1%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 21:13 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: —
Price change 1h: -4.5%
Volume acceleration: +216%
Liquidity: $135.0K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	86%	+23.3%	-14.3%	+45.2%	3 · 62 · — · 43
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	80%	+12.8%	-2.1%	+14.7%	— · — · — · 43
$NUDES2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	78%	-2.2%	-3.0%	+8.1%	— · — · — · 26
$ASTEROID2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	77%	-2.5%	-2.5%	+7.9%	— · — · — · 27
$BULLISH2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	75%	+94.6%	-7.5%	+222%	— · — · — · 65
$BANKROLL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	75%	+17.4%	0.0%	+20.3%	58 · 62 · — · —
$INJOH2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	73%	+0.9%	-3.4%	+3.7%	— · — · — · 46
$BUTTHOLE2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	73%	+10.1%	-3.3%	+16.3%	— · — · — · 31
$RAXOL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	72%	+4.3%	-9.8%	+10.0%	— · — · — · 33
$BOXY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	70%	+3.9%	-0.8%	+4.5%	— · — · — · 63
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	70%	+12.0%	-3.8%	+15.4%	— · — · — · 43
$BOXY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	65%	+12.0%	-0.1%	+12.0%	— · — · — · 45
$PLUMBER2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	65%	+25.8%	-23.8%	+30.0%	— · — · — · —
$BNBCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	64%	+3.1%	-10.9%	+13.1%	— · — · — · 63
$BLUECHIP2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	64%	+6.7%	-0.4%	+8.6%	— · — · — · —
$FEELSGOOD2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	63%	+30.9%	-4.4%	+31.9%	— · — · — · —
$MUSHU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	63%	+3.7%	-1.8%	+3.7%	— · — · — · 45
$HOOKS2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	62%	-46.3%	-54.2%	+9.1%	— · — · — · 44
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	62%	+8.6%	-5.8%	+10.4%	— · — · — · 56
$BLUECHIP2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	59%	+7.9%	0.0%	+14.2%	— · — · — · —
$CZ2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	56%	+6.3%	-43.4%	+29.4%	— · — · — · —
$STRK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	56%	+18.8%	0.0%	+30.9%	— · — · — · —
$BANKROLL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	55%	+24.9%	0.0%	+28.0%	3 · 62 · — · —
$KITTY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	55%	-1.5%	-3.0%	+6.0%	— · — · — · 43
$INJOH2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	54%	-4.8%	-7.1%	+0.1%	— · — · — · —
$HOOKED2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	54%	-10.4%	-23.3%	+4.4%	3 · 78 · — · —
$RARI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	53%	-4.5%	-20.0%	+46.2%	25 · 82 · — · 32
$ALLINU2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	53%	+24.6%	-1.5%	+35.0%	39 · 81 · — · 56
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	53%	+12.7%	-2.1%	+13.3%	3 · 78 · — · 58
$PCC2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	53%	+2.2%	-7.3%	+4.5%	— · — · — · 45
$FLORK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	52%	+1.3%	-4.2%	+2.0%	— · — · — · 45
$TM2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	50%	-37.8%	-77.1%	0.0%	3 · 86 · — · 56
$RARI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	50%	-9.8%	-25.2%	+19.5%	2 · 78 · — · 40
$HMM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	49%	-10.5%	-11.9%	+6.6%	— · — · — · 66
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	48%	-45.5%	-46.0%	+15.0%	28 · 63 · — · 42
$STRK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	48%	+20.7%	-3.1%	+33.0%	— · — · — · —
$BNBO2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	48%	+2.0%	-8.6%	+8.9%	— · — · — · 44
$VIBECOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	48%	-4.8%	-6.2%	+0.2%	— · — · — · 45
$BNBO2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	47%	-10.1%	-21.9%	0.0%	— · — · — · 36
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	47%	-16.6%	-23.7%	0.0%	— · — · — · 28

$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
+23.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.3%
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
+12.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.1%
$NUDES2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-2.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.0%
$ASTEROID2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-2.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.5%
$BULLISH2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
+94.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.5%
$BANKROLL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
+17.4%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$INJOH2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
+0.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.4%
$BUTTHOLE2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
+10.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.3%
$RAXOL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
+4.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.8%
$BOXY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
+3.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.8%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
+12.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.8%
$BOXY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
+12.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.1%
$PLUMBER2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
+25.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.8%
$BNBCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
+3.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.9%
$BLUECHIP2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
+6.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.4%
$FEELSGOOD2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
+30.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.4%
$MUSHU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
+3.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.8%
$HOOKS2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-46.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-54.2%
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
+8.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.8%
$BLUECHIP2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
+7.9%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$CZ2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
+6.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.4%
$STRK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
+18.8%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$BANKROLL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
+24.9%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$KITTY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
-1.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.0%
$INJOH2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-4.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.1%
$HOOKED2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-10.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.3%
$RARI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-4.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.0%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
+24.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.5%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
+12.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.1%
$PCC2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
+2.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.3%
$FLORK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
52%
24h return
+1.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.2%
$TM2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
50%
24h return
-37.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-77.1%
$RARI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
50%
24h return
-9.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.2%
$HMM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
49%
24h return
-10.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.9%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
48%
24h return
-45.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.0%
$STRK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
48%
24h return
+20.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.1%
$BNBO2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
48%
24h return
+2.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.6%
$VIBECOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
48%
24h return
-4.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.2%
$BNBO2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
47%
24h return
-10.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.9%
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
47%
24h return
-16.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.7%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 21:13 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $SPRING within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,656 resolved snapshots · 1,564 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.