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Historical analogs

Similar setups to $MOO

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live
Similar setups
4
of 809 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
+3.0%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-15.5%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
75%
N = 4
ConfidenceConfidence: LOW4 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 19:04 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 4 · Positive after 24h 75% (95% CI 30–95%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
+3.0%
CI -2.2% … +6.8%
Trimmed mean
+2.6%
10% each side
Mean
+2.6%
σ 3.9%
Range
-2.2% … +6.8%
24h return after similar setups histogram4 samples in 3 bins from -2.2% to +6.8%.median-2.2%+6.8%0%+2%+4%+6%
24h return after similar setups box plotMedian +3.0%, interquartile range +0.4% to +5.2%, whiskers -2.2% to +6.8%, 0 outliers (min -2.2%, max +6.8%).-2.2%+6.8%+3.0%
p5
-1.7%
p10
-1.1%
p25
+0.4%
p50
+3.0%
p75
+5.2%
p90
+6.2%
p95
+6.5%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 19:04 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum
—
Crowding
—
Early Quality
—
Narrative Velocity
43
Price change 1h
—
Volume acceleration
+735%
Liquidity
$671.8K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

  • $SUE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    27%
    24h return
    +4.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -3.0%
  • $BNBO2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    17%
    24h return
    +6.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -7.2%
  • $SC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    11%
    24h return
    +1.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.5%
  • $BNBCAT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    6%
    24h return
    -2.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -15.5%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

  • Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
  • Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 19:04 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $MOO within ±24h are excluded.
  • Considered 7,250 resolved snapshots · 809 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
  • Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.