Historical analogs

Similar setups to $KLED

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 3,042 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-4.2%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-20.8%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

30%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-12 10:01 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-11

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 30% (95% CI 18–45%)

Median: -4.2%; CI -7.2% … -1.0%
Trimmed mean: -1.8%; 10% each side
Mean: -0.8%; σ 12.1%
Range: -17.6% … +26.9%

p5: -16.2%
p10: -13.7%
p25: -9.4%
p50: -4.2%
p75: +5.3%
p90: +17.0%
p95: +22.6%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-12 10:01 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 61
Price change 1h: -2.2%
Volume acceleration: -60.8%
Liquidity: $675.3K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$BUN2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	91%	-8.3%	-8.3%	+0.6%	— · — · — · 63
$牛来2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	90%	-6.3%	-6.5%	+0.4%	— · — · — · 62
$BUN2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	90%	-10.2%	-10.9%	+4.5%	— · — · — · 62
$牛来2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	90%	-4.4%	-5.6%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 63
$牛来2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	89%	-1.5%	-4.4%	+0.7%	— · — · — · 63
$牛来2026-10-11 10:00 UTC	88%	-4.7%	-5.5%	+2.6%	— · — · — · 60
$牛来2026-10-11 09:00 UTC	88%	-3.4%	-3.4%	+3.6%	— · — · — · 63
$FONE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	87%	-2.1%	-7.6%	+12.4%	— · — · — · 63
$牛来2026-10-11 01:00 UTC	86%	-1.0%	-3.9%	+1.2%	— · — · — · 64
$BUN2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	85%	-10.2%	-11.5%	+3.8%	— · — · — · 63
$BUN2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	85%	-8.6%	-8.6%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 64
$OTC2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	84%	+26.9%	-3.2%	+26.9%	— · — · — · 62
$旺柴2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	84%	+14.1%	-6.3%	+37.7%	8 · 57 · — · 61
$BUN2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	84%	-10.2%	-11.4%	+3.9%	— · — · — · 63
$旺柴2026-10-11 06:00 UTC	83%	+25.1%	-6.2%	+37.9%	7 · 63 · — · 60
$BUN2026-10-11 07:00 UTC	83%	-13.6%	-16.4%	+0.2%	— · — · — · 65
$旺柴2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	83%	+16.9%	-14.1%	+26.3%	7 · 58 · — · 63
$牛来2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	82%	-4.3%	-6.1%	+1.1%	— · — · — · 65
$牛来2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	82%	-4.2%	-5.6%	+1.6%	— · — · — · 65
$BUN2026-10-11 01:00 UTC	81%	-12.0%	-12.4%	+2.7%	— · — · — · 64
$HMM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	81%	-13.8%	-15.1%	+2.6%	— · — · — · 63
$HMM2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	80%	-13.3%	-17.6%	+4.5%	— · — · — · 62
$牛来2026-10-11 08:00 UTC	80%	-0.8%	-1.1%	+3.5%	— · — · — · 65
$OTC2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	80%	+4.7%	-12.2%	+16.8%	— · — · — · 63
$BUN2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	80%	-5.6%	-6.9%	+2.5%	— · — · — · 57
$BUN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	80%	-9.2%	-9.6%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 65
$HMM2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	80%	-16.7%	-20.1%	0.0%	40 · 81 · — · 58
$HMM2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	79%	-16.2%	-20.8%	0.0%	— · — · — · 58
$牛来2026-10-11 07:00 UTC	79%	-0.8%	-1.5%	+2.8%	— · — · — · 65
$MOO2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	79%	+6.7%	-6.8%	+16.4%	— · — · — · 57
$FONE2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	79%	+11.0%	-3.8%	+17.0%	— · — · — · 65
$BUN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	78%	-8.1%	-8.1%	+0.6%	— · — · — · 66
$OTC2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	78%	-4.2%	-14.7%	+1.6%	— · — · — · 57
$PAID2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	78%	+16.1%	-1.3%	+28.8%	— · — · — · 63
$BUN2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	78%	-17.6%	-17.6%	+3.0%	— · — · — · 66
$INU2026-10-11 08:00 UTC	78%	+18.0%	-11.2%	+27.7%	— · — · — · 65
$PAID2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	77%	+15.8%	-6.4%	+22.1%	— · — · — · 63
$ZCAT2026-10-11 08:00 UTC	77%	+22.4%	-11.3%	+26.4%	3 · 62 · — · 58
$牛来2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	77%	-2.3%	-4.5%	+0.2%	— · — · — · 66
$OTC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	77%	+4.8%	-11.0%	+9.7%	— · — · — · 65

$BUN2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
-8.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.3%
$牛来2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-6.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.5%
$BUN2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-10.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.9%
$牛来2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-4.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.6%
$牛来2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-1.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.4%
$牛来2026-10-11 10:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-4.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.5%
$牛来2026-10-11 09:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-3.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.4%
$FONE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
-2.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.6%
$牛来2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-1.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.9%
$BUN2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-10.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.5%
$BUN2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-8.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.6%
$OTC2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
+26.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.2%
$旺柴2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
+14.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.3%
$BUN2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-10.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.4%
$旺柴2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+25.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.2%
$BUN2026-10-11 07:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-13.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.4%
$旺柴2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+16.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.1%
$牛来2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-4.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.1%
$牛来2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-4.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.6%
$BUN2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-12.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.4%
$HMM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-13.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.1%
$HMM2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-13.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.6%
$牛来2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.1%
$OTC2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
+4.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.2%
$BUN2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-5.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.9%
$BUN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-9.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$HMM2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-16.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.1%
$HMM2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-16.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.8%
$牛来2026-10-11 07:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.5%
$MOO2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
+6.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.8%
$FONE2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
+11.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.8%
$BUN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-8.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.1%
$OTC2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-4.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.7%
$PAID2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
+16.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.3%
$BUN2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-17.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.6%
$INU2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
+18.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.2%
$PAID2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
+15.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.4%
$ZCAT2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
+22.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.3%
$牛来2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-2.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.5%
$OTC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
+4.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.0%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-12 10:01 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $KLED within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 10,433 resolved snapshots · 3,042 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.