Historical analogs

Similar setups to $CLAUDIA

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 160 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-1.7%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-49.1%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

45%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 15:51 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 45% (95% CI 31–60%)

Median: -1.7%; CI -16.6% … +13.4%
Trimmed mean: -1.1%; 10% each side
Mean: +7.7%; σ 46.8%
Range: -45.5% … +161%

3 above +57.5% (max +161%)

p5: -32.5%
p10: -30.1%
p25: -22.6%
p50: -1.7%
p75: +17.2%
p90: +37.2%
p95: +138%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 15:51 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: 8
Crowding: 46
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 43
Price change 1h: —
Volume acceleration: —
Liquidity: $375.4K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$CRAWL2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	84%	-29.9%	-42.6%	+15.4%	8 · 49 · — · 43
$CRAWL2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	84%	-29.3%	-38.9%	+22.9%	8 · 49 · — · 43
$CRAWL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	83%	-32.3%	-38.7%	+23.3%	8 · 49 · — · 44
$CRAWL2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	82%	-31.7%	-40.4%	+20.0%	8 · 49 · — · 44
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	70%	+19.7%	-5.3%	+32.5%	11 · 54 · — · 43
$旺柴2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	69%	-2.6%	-17.0%	+10.8%	9 · 54 · — · 45
$CRAWL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	65%	-28.7%	-36.8%	+27.2%	8 · 49 · — · 47
$CRAWL2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	65%	-28.5%	-37.7%	+25.4%	8 · 49 · — · 47
$SAPLING2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	61%	-18.4%	-19.4%	+25.4%	8 · 56 · — · 46
$SI2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	59%	+38.9%	-2.4%	+50.9%	14 · 43 · — · 43
$SI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	58%	+27.8%	0.0%	+43.2%	13 · 51 · — · 42
$SI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	58%	+33.5%	-6.2%	+45.1%	15 · 43 · — · 43
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	57%	+28.1%	-1.3%	+42.4%	11 · 45 · — · 48
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	57%	+6.4%	-11.3%	+24.9%	11 · 45 · — · 48
$SAPLING2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	55%	+14.8%	-4.1%	+46.1%	9 · 61 · — · 43
$SAPLING2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	55%	+14.2%	0.0%	+47.1%	9 · 61 · — · 43
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	53%	+161%	-22.1%	+180%	5 · 56 · — · 46
$SI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	51%	+37.0%	-3.1%	+49.9%	13 · 45 · — · 39
$SAPLING2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	49%	-6.9%	-9.1%	+39.0%	9 · 61 · — · 46
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	43%	-36.2%	-49.1%	+8.5%	8 · 63 · — · 40
$SAPLING2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	40%	-0.8%	-11.6%	+34.7%	8 · 65 · — · 46
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	40%	-26.8%	-41.5%	+14.9%	6 · 63 · — · 39
$ORBIO2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	38%	-18.1%	-18.1%	+14.8%	6 · 58 · — · 42
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	37%	+151%	-24.0%	+207%	7 · 49 · — · 50
$INU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	36%	-22.0%	-24.6%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 45
$INU2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	36%	-14.8%	-19.1%	+0.2%	5 · 67 · — · 45
$BATON2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	34%	+16.2%	-10.5%	+24.2%	5 · 65 · — · 44
$BATON2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	33%	+16.3%	-8.4%	+17.6%	5 · 65 · — · 44
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	32%	+138%	-20.0%	+188%	5 · 56 · — · 50
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	31%	+21.0%	-2.0%	+38.1%	30 · 47 · — · 41
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	30%	+13.4%	-8.8%	+27.6%	30 · 54 · — · 43
$INU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	28%	-11.0%	-14.6%	+2.7%	5 · 67 · — · 48
$BATON2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	27%	+9.7%	-13.9%	+19.6%	5 · 65 · — · 39
$INU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	27%	-15.2%	-19.2%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 48
$ORBIO2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	26%	+11.8%	-0.2%	+39.1%	5 · 65 · — · 43
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	26%	-0.4%	-6.6%	+1.2%	5 · 56 · — · 47
$INU2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	22%	-24.5%	-27.4%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 49
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	21%	-45.5%	-46.0%	+15.0%	28 · 63 · — · 42
$PRIORS2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	19%	-8.3%	-15.4%	+12.5%	4 · 64 · — · 39
$ORBIO2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	19%	-18.9%	-20.0%	+0.6%	28 · 48 · — · 40

$CRAWL2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-29.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-42.6%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-29.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.9%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-32.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.7%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-31.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.4%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
+19.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.3%
$旺柴2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-2.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.0%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-28.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-36.8%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-28.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-37.7%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-18.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.4%
$SI2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
+38.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.4%
$SI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
+27.8%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$SI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
+33.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.2%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
+28.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.3%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
+6.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.3%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
+14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.1%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
+14.2%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
+161%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.1%
$SI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
51%
24h return
+37.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.1%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
49%
24h return
-6.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.1%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
43%
24h return
-36.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.1%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
40%
24h return
-0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.6%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
40%
24h return
-26.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.5%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
38%
24h return
-18.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.1%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
37%
24h return
+151%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.0%
$INU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
36%
24h return
-22.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.6%
$INU2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
36%
24h return
-14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.1%
$BATON2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
34%
24h return
+16.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.5%
$BATON2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
33%
24h return
+16.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.4%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
32%
24h return
+138%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.0%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
31%
24h return
+21.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.0%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
30%
24h return
+13.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.8%
$INU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
28%
24h return
-11.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.6%
$BATON2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
27%
24h return
+9.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.9%
$INU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
27%
24h return
-15.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.2%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
26%
24h return
+11.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.2%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
26%
24h return
-0.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.6%
$INU2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
22%
24h return
-24.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.4%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
21%
24h return
-45.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.0%
$PRIORS2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
19%
24h return
-8.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.4%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
19%
24h return
-18.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.0%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 15:51 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $CLAUDIA within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 6,452 resolved snapshots · 160 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.