Historical analogs

Similar setups to $HIGGS

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 316 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-15.5%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-52.3%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

10%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 19:04 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 10% (95% CI 4–23%)

Median: -15.5%; CI -26.5% … -12.0%
Trimmed mean: -19.5%; 10% each side
Mean: -18.5%; σ 17.0%
Range: -46.7% … +17.6%

p5: -44.3%
p10: -42.6%
p25: -30.9%
p50: -15.5%
p75: -9.4%
p90: -1.2%
p95: +15.9%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 19:04 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: 3
Crowding: 86
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 28
Price change 1h: —
Volume acceleration: -13.1%
Liquidity: $138.7K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 5 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$RARI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	65%	-3.0%	-7.9%	+43.6%	3 · 82 · — · 34
$UDR2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	51%	-7.8%	-10.3%	+2.2%	8 · 83 · — · 36
$RARI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	48%	-5.7%	-12.7%	+39.6%	3 · 82 · — · 37
$BINF2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	47%	+16.2%	-16.0%	+53.5%	3 · 81 · — · 36
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	47%	-12.0%	-13.6%	+3.3%	13 · 84 · — · 33
$RARI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	46%	-8.1%	-18.2%	+30.7%	2 · 78 · — · 37
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	46%	-14.8%	-15.0%	+1.7%	14 · 85 · — · 33
$AGENCY2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	43%	-44.3%	-49.7%	+5.1%	6 · 83 · — · 33
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	40%	-14.2%	-15.4%	+0.6%	13 · 83 · — · 36
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	38%	-13.1%	-14.9%	+0.9%	12 · 85 · — · 36
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	35%	-26.6%	-39.7%	0.0%	7 · 81 · — · 38
$STONKINU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	34%	-31.0%	-48.1%	+12.6%	7 · 78 · — · 38
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	34%	-23.9%	-37.0%	+10.5%	7 · 81 · — · 38
$DARK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	33%	-16.1%	-28.6%	+2.7%	4 · 64 · — · 32
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	32%	-13.8%	-14.9%	+1.8%	14 · 85 · — · 37
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	32%	-13.6%	-13.7%	+3.2%	14 · 85 · — · 37
$RARI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	31%	-7.4%	-20.9%	+26.4%	2 · 78 · — · 40
$AGENCY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	30%	-42.9%	-44.8%	+0.9%	7 · 78 · — · 36
$AGENCY2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	29%	-46.7%	-52.3%	0.0%	7 · 78 · — · 36
$AGENCY2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	29%	-45.0%	-46.6%	+5.6%	6 · 83 · — · 37
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	28%	-11.8%	-11.8%	+13.5%	2 · 78 · — · 40
$TM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	26%	-17.7%	-49.1%	+33.8%	3 · 86 · — · 40
$URMOM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	24%	-25.4%	-33.1%	+16.2%	3 · 80 · — · 40
$URMOM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	24%	-26.4%	-34.0%	+14.7%	3 · 80 · — · 41
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	24%	+15.9%	-19.4%	+36.5%	3 · 62 · — · 36
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	23%	-10.7%	-26.3%	+2.8%	7 · 81 · — · 41
$STONKINU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	23%	-34.7%	-50.4%	+2.9%	7 · 78 · — · 41
$DARK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	22%	-29.7%	-31.0%	+2.9%	4 · 64 · — · 20
$STONKINU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	22%	-34.8%	-46.4%	+13.4%	7 · 78 · — · 41
$URMOM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	22%	-24.9%	-32.3%	+17.5%	3 · 80 · — · 41
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	20%	-11.9%	-31.4%	+3.3%	7 · 81 · — · 41
$RARI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	20%	-4.5%	-20.0%	+46.2%	25 · 82 · — · 32
$BASECAT2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	18%	+17.6%	-2.4%	+29.7%	3 · 99 · — · 33
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	16%	-36.3%	-38.3%	+8.2%	7 · 81 · — · 42
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	15%	-32.6%	-35.7%	+12.8%	7 · 81 · — · 42
$PQC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	15%	-42.6%	-48.2%	+4.3%	8 · 55 · — · 28
$RARI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	14%	+14.8%	0.0%	+63.4%	2 · 78 · — · 42
$RARI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	14%	-9.8%	-25.2%	+19.5%	2 · 78 · — · 40
$URMOM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	14%	-28.9%	-36.3%	+10.7%	3 · 80 · — · 43
$DARK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	13%	-30.9%	-32.2%	+1.2%	5 · 56 · — · 23

$RARI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-3.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.9%
$UDR2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
51%
24h return
-7.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.3%
$RARI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
48%
24h return
-5.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.7%
$BINF2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
47%
24h return
+16.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.0%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
47%
24h return
-12.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.6%
$RARI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
-8.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.2%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
-14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.0%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
43%
24h return
-44.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.7%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
40%
24h return
-14.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.4%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
38%
24h return
-13.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.9%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
35%
24h return
-26.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-39.7%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
34%
24h return
-31.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.1%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
34%
24h return
-23.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-37.0%
$DARK2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
33%
24h return
-16.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.6%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
32%
24h return
-13.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.9%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
32%
24h return
-13.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.7%
$RARI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
31%
24h return
-7.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.9%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
30%
24h return
-42.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-44.8%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
29%
24h return
-46.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-52.3%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
29%
24h return
-45.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.6%
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
28%
24h return
-11.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.8%
$TM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
26%
24h return
-17.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.1%
$URMOM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
24%
24h return
-25.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.1%
$URMOM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
24%
24h return
-26.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.0%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
24%
24h return
+15.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.4%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
23%
24h return
-10.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.3%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
23%
24h return
-34.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-50.4%
$DARK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
22%
24h return
-29.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-31.0%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
22%
24h return
-34.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.4%
$URMOM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
22%
24h return
-24.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-32.3%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
20%
24h return
-11.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-31.4%
$RARI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
20%
24h return
-4.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.0%
$BASECAT2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
18%
24h return
+17.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.4%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
16%
24h return
-36.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.3%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
15%
24h return
-32.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.7%
$PQC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
15%
24h return
-42.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.2%
$RARI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
14%
24h return
+14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$RARI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
14%
24h return
-9.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.2%
$URMOM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
14%
24h return
-28.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-36.3%
$DARK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
13%
24h return
-30.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-32.2%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 19:04 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $HIGGS within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,250 resolved snapshots · 316 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.