Historical analogs

Similar setups to $招财猫

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 157 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-15.2%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-52.3%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

28%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 14:56 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 28% (95% CI 16–43%)

Median: -15.2%; CI -24.9% … -8.8%
Trimmed mean: -15.5%; 10% each side
Mean: -15.5%; σ 19.6%
Range: -50.5% … +16.8%

p5: -45.1%
p10: -43.9%
p25: -29.4%
p50: -15.2%
p75: +4.3%
p90: +13.4%
p95: +14.9%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 14:56 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 33
Price change 1h: +0.4%
Volume acceleration: -34.4%
Liquidity: $141.7K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$HYDX2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	74%	-8.0%	-31.1%	+17.0%	— · — · — · 31
$HYDX2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	73%	-15.7%	-29.8%	+19.2%	— · — · — · 31
$AI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	63%	+8.5%	-0.9%	+16.0%	10 · 37 · — · 34
$RARI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	62%	-8.1%	-18.2%	+30.7%	2 · 78 · — · 37
$AI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	62%	+3.8%	-5.8%	+10.3%	10 · 37 · — · 36
$AI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	57%	+6.7%	-2.6%	+13.7%	10 · 37 · — · 38
$AI2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	57%	+6.5%	-3.0%	+13.6%	44 · 34 · — · 35
$HYDX2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	57%	+13.4%	-24.8%	+27.8%	— · — · — · 31
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	56%	-14.2%	-15.4%	+0.6%	13 · 83 · — · 36
$NORMIE2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	54%	-21.7%	-30.2%	+0.4%	— · — · — · 35
$NORMIE2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	53%	-22.8%	-30.4%	0.0%	— · — · — · 33
$HYDX2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	53%	-18.0%	-33.2%	+13.4%	— · — · — · 27
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	52%	-12.0%	-13.6%	+3.3%	13 · 84 · — · 33
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	51%	-14.8%	-15.0%	+1.7%	14 · 85 · — · 33
$NORMIE2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	51%	-18.7%	-27.9%	0.0%	— · — · — · 30
$PRISM2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	49%	+6.2%	-2.5%	+26.8%	— · — · — · 33
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	49%	-23.9%	-37.0%	+10.5%	7 · 81 · — · 38
$HYDX2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	47%	-8.8%	-32.5%	+14.6%	— · — · — · 31
$PRISM2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	46%	+15.9%	-8.0%	+28.7%	— · — · — · 37
$DARK2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	46%	-25.8%	-36.0%	+1.0%	8 · 42 · — · 28
$DARK2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	45%	-27.9%	-35.0%	+0.9%	8 · 42 · — · 28
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	45%	-13.8%	-14.9%	+1.8%	14 · 85 · — · 37
$RARI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	45%	-7.4%	-20.9%	+26.4%	2 · 78 · — · 40
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	43%	-13.6%	-13.7%	+3.2%	14 · 85 · — · 37
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	39%	-26.6%	-39.7%	0.0%	7 · 81 · — · 38
$AGENCY2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	38%	-44.3%	-49.7%	+5.1%	6 · 83 · — · 33
$AGENCY2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	37%	-46.7%	-52.3%	0.0%	7 · 78 · — · 36
$PRISM2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	36%	+16.8%	0.0%	+39.0%	— · — · — · 37
$AGENCY2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	36%	-45.0%	-46.6%	+5.6%	6 · 83 · — · 37
$AGENCY2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	35%	-50.5%	-52.1%	0.0%	43 · 78 · — · 33
$DARK2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	34%	-28.3%	-32.2%	+5.3%	8 · 42 · — · 26
$AGENCY2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	33%	-43.9%	-43.9%	+6.1%	42 · 83 · — · 37
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	31%	-36.3%	-38.3%	+8.2%	7 · 81 · — · 42
$STONKINU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	30%	-34.8%	-46.4%	+13.4%	7 · 78 · — · 41
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	28%	-32.6%	-35.7%	+12.8%	7 · 81 · — · 42
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	28%	-36.2%	-49.1%	+8.5%	8 · 63 · — · 40
$RARI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	27%	+14.8%	0.0%	+63.4%	2 · 78 · — · 42
$AI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	23%	+5.5%	-1.4%	+13.0%	44 · 42 · — · 36
$SAPLING2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	20%	+14.2%	0.0%	+47.1%	9 · 61 · — · 43
$DARK2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	20%	-32.6%	-34.1%	+0.9%	7 · 46 · — · 23

$HYDX2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-8.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-31.1%
$HYDX2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-15.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-29.8%
$AI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
+8.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.9%
$RARI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-8.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.2%
$AI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
+3.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.8%
$AI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
+6.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.6%
$AI2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
+6.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.0%
$HYDX2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
+13.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.8%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-14.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.4%
$NORMIE2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-21.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.2%
$NORMIE2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-22.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.4%
$HYDX2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-18.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.2%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
52%
24h return
-12.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.6%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
51%
24h return
-14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.0%
$NORMIE2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
51%
24h return
-18.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.9%
$PRISM2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
49%
24h return
+6.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.5%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
49%
24h return
-23.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-37.0%
$HYDX2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
47%
24h return
-8.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-32.5%
$PRISM2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
+15.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.0%
$DARK2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
-25.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-36.0%
$DARK2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
45%
24h return
-27.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.0%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
45%
24h return
-13.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.9%
$RARI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
45%
24h return
-7.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.9%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
43%
24h return
-13.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.7%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
39%
24h return
-26.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-39.7%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
38%
24h return
-44.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.7%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
37%
24h return
-46.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-52.3%
$PRISM2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
36%
24h return
+16.8%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
36%
24h return
-45.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.6%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
35%
24h return
-50.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-52.1%
$DARK2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
34%
24h return
-28.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-32.2%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
33%
24h return
-43.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.9%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
31%
24h return
-36.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.3%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
30%
24h return
-34.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.4%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
28%
24h return
-32.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.7%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
28%
24h return
-36.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.1%
$RARI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
27%
24h return
+14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$AI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
23%
24h return
+5.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.4%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
20%
24h return
+14.2%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$DARK2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
20%
24h return
-32.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.1%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 14:56 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $招财猫 within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 6,261 resolved snapshots · 157 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.