Historical analogs

Similar setups to $JOTCHUA

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 802 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-15.3%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-55.9%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

18%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 19:52 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 18% (95% CI 9–32%)

Median: -15.3%; CI -22.1% … -9.8%
Trimmed mean: -15.5%; 10% each side
Mean: -11.3%; σ 32.1%
Range: -48.0% … +161%

1 above +32.8% (max +161%)

p5: -39.1%
p10: -36.0%
p25: -25.6%
p50: -15.3%
p75: -6.2%
p90: +8.4%
p95: +17.2%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 19:52 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 52
Price change 1h: +1.2%
Volume acceleration: -80.0%
Liquidity: $220.6K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$QI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	93%	-34.1%	-44.2%	+19.6%	17 · 38 · — · 53
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	91%	-11.2%	-22.6%	+7.1%	— · — · — · 52
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	90%	-8.9%	-20.6%	+9.9%	— · — · — · 51
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	88%	-27.6%	-34.2%	+14.8%	32 · 54 · — · 52
$VEX2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	88%	-7.3%	-7.5%	0.0%	— · — · — · 52
$VEX2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	85%	-6.4%	-6.5%	+1.0%	— · — · — · 53
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	84%	-16.1%	-26.8%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 49
$VEX2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	82%	-6.3%	-6.4%	+1.1%	— · — · — · 49
$PRISM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	81%	-5.9%	-11.7%	+10.2%	3 · 88 · — · 54
$SAPLING2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	79%	-34.1%	-34.1%	+14.1%	8 · 59 · — · 55
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	78%	-18.8%	-26.2%	0.0%	— · — · — · 56
$PRISM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	78%	-16.6%	-16.6%	+4.1%	3 · 88 · — · 55
$VEX2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	78%	-3.0%	-6.5%	+1.1%	— · — · — · 56
$AI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	77%	+18.3%	-1.7%	+19.6%	26 · 48 · — · 54
$MADE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	76%	-3.9%	-11.2%	+2.0%	— · — · — · 56
$QI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	76%	-39.1%	-44.3%	+18.6%	33 · 37 · — · 49
$CRAWL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	75%	-48.0%	-48.5%	+2.8%	8 · 50 · — · 53
$PAID2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	75%	+11.8%	-6.1%	+21.2%	— · — · — · 53
$CRAWL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	74%	-35.8%	-41.9%	+3.4%	8 · 53 · — · 54
$TENDIES2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	74%	+8.0%	-1.0%	+10.2%	2 · 62 · — · 52
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	74%	-22.9%	-31.6%	+0.8%	— · — · — · 56
$1F9162026-10-10 17:00 UTC	74%	-23.0%	-23.1%	+3.2%	— · — · — · 53
$PQC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	74%	-37.8%	-55.9%	+11.7%	9 · 58 · — · 51
$WORM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	73%	+0.8%	-9.6%	+8.8%	— · — · — · 53
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	73%	-15.0%	-19.5%	+11.3%	— · — · — · 47
$1F9162026-10-10 15:00 UTC	73%	-24.9%	-25.0%	+0.6%	— · — · — · 51
$QI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	73%	-33.2%	-41.2%	+25.3%	64 · 36 · — · 52
$WORM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	73%	+5.4%	-5.4%	+13.8%	— · — · — · 51
$INU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	72%	-11.1%	-14.7%	+2.6%	4 · 63 · — · 51
$INU2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	72%	-12.2%	-15.8%	+1.3%	3 · 67 · — · 51
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	71%	-15.5%	-20.3%	+10.2%	— · — · — · 47
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	71%	-39.7%	-49.5%	0.0%	30 · 55 · — · 48
$1F9162026-10-10 18:00 UTC	71%	-23.7%	-23.7%	+2.3%	— · — · — · 49
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	71%	-21.2%	-27.9%	0.0%	— · — · — · 50
$OTC2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	71%	-14.9%	-15.3%	+0.3%	— · — · — · 53
$INU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	70%	-9.9%	-13.6%	+4.0%	4 · 63 · — · 52
$PAID2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	70%	+17.2%	-8.4%	+18.2%	— · — · — · 53
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	70%	+161%	-22.1%	+180%	5 · 56 · — · 46
$CRAWL2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	69%	-28.5%	-37.7%	+25.4%	8 · 49 · — · 47
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	69%	-17.4%	-22.1%	+7.8%	— · — · — · 48

$QI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
-34.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-44.2%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
-11.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.6%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-8.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.6%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-27.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.2%
$VEX2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-7.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.5%
$VEX2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-6.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.5%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-16.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.8%
$VEX2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-6.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.4%
$PRISM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-5.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.7%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-34.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.1%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-18.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.2%
$PRISM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-16.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.6%
$VEX2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-3.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.5%
$AI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
+18.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.7%
$MADE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-3.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.2%
$QI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-39.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-44.3%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-48.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.5%
$PAID2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
+11.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.1%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-35.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.9%
$TENDIES2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
+8.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.0%
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-22.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-31.6%
$1F9162026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-23.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.1%
$PQC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-37.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.9%
$WORM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
+0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-15.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.5%
$1F9162026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-24.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.0%
$QI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-33.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.2%
$WORM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
+5.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.4%
$INU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-11.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.7%
$INU2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-12.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.8%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-15.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.3%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-39.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.5%
$1F9162026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-23.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.7%
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-21.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.9%
$OTC2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-14.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.3%
$INU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
-9.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.6%
$PAID2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
+17.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.4%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
+161%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.1%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-28.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-37.7%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-17.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.1%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 19:52 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $JOTCHUA within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,250 resolved snapshots · 802 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.