Historical analogs
Similar setups to $QI
Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.
Live
Similar setups
16
of 160 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
-12.5%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-49.1%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
50%
N = 16
ConfidenceConfidence: MEDIUM16 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 15:46 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10
24h return after similar setups
N = 16 · Positive after 24h 50% (95% CI 28–72%)
- Median
- -12.5%
- CI -28.3% … +5.5%
- Trimmed mean
- -12.3%
- 10% each side
- Mean
- -12.0%
- σ 19.5%
- Range
- -36.2% … +15.9%
- p5
- -34.7%
- p10
- -33.4%
- p25
- -29.3%
- p50
- -12.5%
- p75
- +5.8%
- p90
- +7.6%
- p95
- +10.4%
This setup now
Snapshot 2026-10-11 15:46 UTC — the vector being matched
- Momentum
- 17
- Crowding
- 49
- Early Quality
- —
- Narrative Velocity
- 31
- Price change 1h
- —
- Volume acceleration
- —
- Liquidity
- $156.1K
Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.
Matched historical setups
- $DARK2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 47%
- 24h return
- -25.8%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -36.0%
- $DARK2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 47%
- 24h return
- -27.9%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -35.0%
- $AI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 45%
- 24h return
- +8.5%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -0.9%
- $DARK2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 38%
- 24h return
- -28.3%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -32.2%
- $AI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 37%
- 24h return
- +3.8%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -5.8%
- $BAGSPAY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 30%
- 24h return
- +15.9%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -19.4%
- $AI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 26%
- 24h return
- +6.7%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -2.6%
- $DARK2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 22%
- 24h return
- -32.6%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -34.1%
- $AI2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 18%
- 24h return
- +4.1%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -2.7%
- $HOTBOT2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 14%
- 24h return
- -26.8%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -41.5%
- $HOTBOT2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 10%
- 24h return
- -36.2%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -49.1%
- $AI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 4%
- 24h return
- +5.5%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -1.4%
- $DARK2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 3%
- 24h return
- -32.4%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -33.7%
- $DARK2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 2%
- 24h return
- -34.2%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -34.2%
- $AI2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 0%
- 24h return
- +6.5%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -3.0%
- $招财猫2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
- Similarity
- 0%
- 24h return
- +0.9%
- Max drawdown 24h
- -0.2%
Method & point-in-time rules
analog-v1.0
- Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
- Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 15:46 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $QI within ±24h are excluded.
- Considered 6,452 resolved snapshots · 160 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
- Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.
FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.