Historical analogs

Similar setups to $JOBY

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 1,378 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-9.8%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-55.9%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

20%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 23:38 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 20% (95% CI 10–35%)

Median: -9.8%; CI -16.9% … -4.4%
Trimmed mean: -11.5%; 10% each side
Mean: -7.6%; σ 30.9%
Range: -44.9% … +154%

1 above +39.5% (max +154%)

p5: -35.1%
p10: -33.3%
p25: -22.7%
p50: -9.8%
p75: -2.4%
p90: +10.8%
p95: +20.6%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 23:38 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 54
Price change 1h: -0.3%
Volume acceleration: -75.5%
Liquidity: $133.0K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	90%	-9.8%	-10.4%	+0.5%	— · — · — · 54
$ALLINU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	87%	+24.3%	0.0%	+36.0%	3 · 81 · — · 55
$MADE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	86%	-3.9%	-11.2%	+2.0%	— · — · — · 56
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	85%	-22.9%	-31.6%	+0.8%	— · — · — · 56
$ALLINU2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	85%	+19.2%	0.0%	+33.8%	3 · 81 · — · 55
$WORM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	84%	+0.8%	-9.6%	+8.8%	— · — · — · 53
$QI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	84%	-34.1%	-44.2%	+19.6%	17 · 38 · — · 53
$NASDANQ2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	84%	-0.1%	-3.2%	+43.8%	— · — · — · 54
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	83%	-18.8%	-26.2%	0.0%	— · — · — · 56
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	83%	-17.3%	-23.9%	+0.8%	— · — · — · 54
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	82%	+154%	0.0%	+249%	6 · 53 · — · 54
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	82%	-9.8%	-10.5%	+0.4%	— · — · — · 51
$PQC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	82%	-37.8%	-55.9%	+11.7%	9 · 58 · — · 51
$PENPE2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	81%	-3.6%	-7.9%	0.0%	— · — · — · 54
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	80%	-31.2%	-35.3%	+28.3%	3 · 78 · — · 56
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	80%	-8.9%	-20.6%	+9.9%	— · — · — · 51
$WORM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	80%	+5.4%	-5.4%	+13.8%	— · — · — · 51
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	79%	-11.2%	-22.6%	+7.1%	— · — · — · 52
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	79%	-10.1%	-10.6%	+0.2%	— · — · — · 50
$QI2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	79%	-32.2%	-33.7%	+26.2%	49 · 38 · — · 53
$PENPE2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	79%	-3.5%	-7.9%	0.0%	— · — · — · 53
$ALLINU2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	78%	+9.8%	-3.2%	+29.4%	3 · 81 · — · 56
$NASDANQ2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	75%	-0.9%	-4.0%	+42.6%	— · — · — · 50
$BONER2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	74%	+8.8%	-4.3%	+10.8%	41 · 50 · — · 50
$PRISM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	74%	-5.9%	-11.7%	+10.2%	3 · 88 · — · 54
$OMNI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	73%	-33.0%	-40.9%	+32.9%	— · — · — · 53
$VEX2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	73%	-6.4%	-6.5%	+1.0%	— · — · — · 53
$PRISM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	73%	-16.6%	-16.6%	+4.1%	3 · 88 · — · 55
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	73%	-27.6%	-34.2%	+14.8%	32 · 54 · — · 52
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	72%	-16.1%	-26.8%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 49
$QI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	72%	-33.2%	-41.2%	+25.3%	64 · 36 · — · 52
$PRISM2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	72%	-13.8%	-16.9%	0.0%	3 · 86 · — · 56
$SAPLING2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	72%	-19.3%	-34.5%	+3.4%	44 · 48 · — · 53
$VEX2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	72%	-4.4%	-6.5%	+1.1%	— · — · — · 54
$VEX2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	72%	-3.0%	-6.5%	+1.1%	— · — · — · 56
$QI2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	72%	-35.0%	-37.4%	+34.9%	16 · 40 · — · 52
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	71%	-22.6%	-53.2%	+28.4%	— · — · — · 54
$CRAWL2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	71%	-44.9%	-47.7%	+3.5%	7 · 45 · — · 53
$VEX2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	71%	-7.3%	-7.5%	0.0%	— · — · — · 52
$AI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	71%	+20.4%	-0.9%	+23.6%	9 · 48 · — · 54

$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-9.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.4%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
+24.3%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$MADE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-3.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.2%
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-22.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-31.6%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
+19.2%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$WORM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
+0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$QI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-34.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-44.2%
$NASDANQ2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-0.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.2%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-18.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.2%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-17.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.9%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
+154%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-9.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.5%
$PQC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-37.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.9%
$PENPE2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-3.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.9%
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-31.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.3%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-8.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.6%
$WORM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
+5.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.4%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-11.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.6%
$OPTIMUS2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-10.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.6%
$QI2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-32.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.7%
$PENPE2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-3.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.9%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
+9.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.2%
$NASDANQ2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-0.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.0%
$BONER2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
+8.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.3%
$PRISM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-5.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.7%
$OMNI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-33.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.9%
$VEX2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-6.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.5%
$PRISM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-16.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.6%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-27.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.2%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-16.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.8%
$QI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-33.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.2%
$PRISM2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-13.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.9%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-19.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.5%
$VEX2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-4.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.5%
$VEX2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-3.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.5%
$QI2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-35.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-37.4%
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-22.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-53.2%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-44.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-47.7%
$VEX2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-7.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.5%
$AI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
+20.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.9%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 23:38 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $JOBY within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 8,071 resolved snapshots · 1,378 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.