Historical analogs

Similar setups to $CHUMP

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 7,090 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-3.5%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-22.9%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

35%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-13 03:21 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-12

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 35% (95% CI 22–50%)

Median: -3.5%; CI -4.9% … -0.6%
Trimmed mean: -1.8%; 10% each side
Mean: -0.2%; σ 12.4%
Range: -20.4% … +41.1%

2 above +25.5% (max +41.1%)

p5: -14.1%
p10: -11.4%
p25: -6.4%
p50: -3.5%
p75: +4.0%
p90: +11.9%
p95: +20.8%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-13 03:21 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: —
Price change 1h: -0.4%
Volume acceleration: -45.8%
Liquidity: $649.9K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$BUN2026-10-11 22:00 UTC	100%	-3.3%	-7.7%	+1.9%	— · — · — · 53
$STRK2026-10-11 11:00 UTC	100%	-2.8%	-8.2%	+13.7%	— · — · — · —
$BREW2026-10-11 07:00 UTC	98%	+0.3%	-6.3%	+1.3%	— · — · — · —
$牛来2026-10-11 20:00 UTC	98%	-5.3%	-8.4%	+2.9%	— · — · — · 52
$BUN2026-10-12 01:00 UTC	98%	-7.4%	-8.3%	+1.0%	— · — · — · 52
$派人生2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	98%	-11.3%	-13.5%	0.0%	— · — · — · 44
$牛来2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	98%	-4.4%	-5.6%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 63
$MOO2026-10-11 06:00 UTC	98%	+4.7%	-7.1%	+16.1%	— · — · — · 45
$TRIPLET2026-10-11 23:00 UTC	97%	-3.4%	-5.6%	+5.2%	— · — · — · 53
$MOO2026-10-11 10:00 UTC	97%	+8.4%	-4.1%	+19.8%	— · — · — · 43
$BUN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	97%	-8.1%	-8.1%	+0.6%	— · — · — · 66
$WPRL2026-10-11 14:00 UTC	96%	+8.1%	-3.0%	+9.6%	— · — · — · 18
$BATON2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	96%	+41.1%	0.0%	+44.1%	24 · 88 · — · 45
$TRIPLET2026-10-11 10:00 UTC	96%	+1.7%	-5.2%	+4.6%	— · — · — · 40
$BUN2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	96%	-10.2%	-11.5%	+3.8%	— · — · — · 63
$BREW2026-10-11 12:00 UTC	96%	+3.7%	-4.8%	+7.4%	— · — · — · —
$MOO2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	96%	+6.7%	-6.8%	+16.4%	— · — · — · 57
$BUN2026-10-11 01:00 UTC	96%	-12.0%	-12.4%	+2.7%	— · — · — · 64
$派人生2026-10-11 07:00 UTC	96%	-3.5%	-4.3%	+6.0%	— · — · — · 45
$WPRL2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	96%	-5.0%	-7.1%	+3.5%	— · — · — · 28
$RHEA2026-10-12 02:00 UTC	96%	-17.7%	-22.9%	0.0%	— · — · — · —
$RHEA2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	96%	+10.3%	-7.8%	+16.6%	— · — · — · —
$STRK2026-10-11 01:00 UTC	96%	+17.2%	-0.9%	+22.1%	— · — · — · —
$BUN2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	95%	-8.3%	-8.3%	+0.6%	— · — · — · 63
$WPRL2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	95%	-2.8%	-7.1%	+1.4%	— · — · — · 22
$牛来2026-10-11 23:00 UTC	95%	-5.8%	-8.3%	+3.0%	— · — · — · 73
$TRIPLET2026-10-12 00:00 UTC	95%	-3.7%	-5.0%	+5.9%	— · — · — · 54
$BREW2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	95%	-2.1%	-5.5%	+10.0%	3 · 78 · — · —
$SI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	95%	+36.6%	-0.5%	+54.0%	36 · 51 · — · 38
$牛来2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	95%	-4.3%	-6.1%	+1.1%	— · — · — · 65
$SI2026-10-11 21:00 UTC	95%	-14.0%	-17.6%	+2.4%	67 · 36 · 69 · 57
$WPRL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	95%	-1.5%	-2.2%	+6.6%	— · — · — · 33
$BREW2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	95%	-7.0%	-13.1%	+0.2%	— · — · — · —
$STRK2026-10-11 10:00 UTC	95%	-4.6%	-8.5%	+13.4%	— · — · — · —
$DOT2026-10-11 09:00 UTC	95%	+1.8%	-0.7%	+2.9%	— · — · — · 15
$BREW2026-10-11 01:00 UTC	95%	-4.8%	-9.0%	+5.8%	— · — · — · —
$STRK2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	95%	+20.0%	-2.6%	+20.0%	— · — · — · —
$牛来2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	95%	-6.3%	-6.5%	+0.4%	— · — · — · 62
$RHEA2026-10-11 01:00 UTC	95%	+11.3%	-9.7%	+14.3%	— · — · — · —
$BASECAT2026-10-12 00:00 UTC	95%	-20.4%	-20.4%	+0.8%	29 · 74 · — · 62

$BUN2026-10-11 22:00 UTC
Similarity
100%
24h return
-3.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.7%
$STRK2026-10-11 11:00 UTC
Similarity
100%
24h return
-2.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.2%
$BREW2026-10-11 07:00 UTC
Similarity
98%
24h return
+0.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.3%
$牛来2026-10-11 20:00 UTC
Similarity
98%
24h return
-5.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.4%
$BUN2026-10-12 01:00 UTC
Similarity
98%
24h return
-7.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.3%
$派人生2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
98%
24h return
-11.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.5%
$牛来2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
98%
24h return
-4.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.6%
$MOO2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
Similarity
98%
24h return
+4.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.1%
$TRIPLET2026-10-11 23:00 UTC
Similarity
97%
24h return
-3.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.6%
$MOO2026-10-11 10:00 UTC
Similarity
97%
24h return
+8.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.1%
$BUN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
97%
24h return
-8.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.1%
$WPRL2026-10-11 14:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
+8.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.0%
$BATON2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
+41.1%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$TRIPLET2026-10-11 10:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
+1.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.2%
$BUN2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-10.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.5%
$BREW2026-10-11 12:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
+3.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.8%
$MOO2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
+6.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.8%
$BUN2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-12.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.4%
$派人生2026-10-11 07:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-3.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.3%
$WPRL2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-5.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.1%
$RHEA2026-10-12 02:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-17.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.9%
$RHEA2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
+10.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.8%
$STRK2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
+17.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.9%
$BUN2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-8.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.3%
$WPRL2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-2.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.1%
$牛来2026-10-11 23:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-5.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.3%
$TRIPLET2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-3.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.0%
$BREW2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-2.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.5%
$SI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
+36.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.5%
$牛来2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-4.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.1%
$SI2026-10-11 21:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-14.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.6%
$WPRL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-1.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.2%
$BREW2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-7.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.1%
$STRK2026-10-11 10:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-4.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.5%
$DOT2026-10-11 09:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
+1.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.7%
$BREW2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-4.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.0%
$STRK2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
+20.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.6%
$牛来2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-6.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.5%
$RHEA2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
+11.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.7%
$BASECAT2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-20.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.4%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-13 03:21 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $CHUMP within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 13,484 resolved snapshots · 7,090 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.