Historical analogs

Similar setups to $WOJAK

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 1,378 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-4.1%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-18.4%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

38%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 23:31 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 38% (95% CI 24–53%)

Median: -4.1%; CI -5.9% … +0.6%
Trimmed mean: -1.4%; 10% each side
Mean: -0.7%; σ 10.6%
Range: -14.8% … +26.9%

p5: -13.8%
p10: -12.9%
p25: -8.7%
p50: -4.1%
p75: +6.4%
p90: +14.1%
p95: +16.1%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 23:31 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 72
Price change 1h: -0.3%
Volume acceleration: -78.8%
Liquidity: $905.9K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$BUN2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	70%	-10.4%	-10.6%	+4.1%	— · — · — · 66
$牛来2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	70%	-4.8%	-6.1%	+1.0%	— · — · — · 66
$BUN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	68%	-8.1%	-8.1%	+0.6%	— · — · — · 66
$FONE2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	66%	+13.9%	-4.1%	+22.6%	— · — · — · 66
$BUN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	66%	-9.2%	-9.6%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 65
$牛来2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	65%	-4.2%	-5.6%	+1.6%	— · — · — · 65
$FONE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	65%	+1.1%	-4.6%	+16.0%	— · — · — · 66
$牛来2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	64%	-4.3%	-6.1%	+1.1%	— · — · — · 65
$PAID2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	62%	-1.4%	-7.9%	+20.2%	— · — · — · 66
$FONE2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	61%	+11.0%	-3.8%	+17.0%	— · — · — · 65
$FONE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	61%	+4.1%	-5.3%	+15.1%	— · — · — · 65
$OTC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	60%	+4.8%	-11.0%	+9.7%	— · — · — · 65
$BUN2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	60%	-8.6%	-8.6%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 64
$OTC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	59%	+0.1%	-10.8%	+6.0%	— · — · — · 66
$OTC2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	59%	+11.7%	-6.0%	+15.8%	— · — · — · 66
$HMM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	58%	-11.6%	-11.8%	+6.7%	— · — · — · 65
$PAID2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	58%	+12.5%	-1.9%	+28.0%	— · — · — · 65
$PAID2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	56%	+3.5%	-4.4%	+24.7%	— · — · — · 65
$BUN2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	55%	-8.3%	-8.3%	+0.6%	— · — · — · 63
$OTC2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	55%	+12.8%	-7.7%	+13.8%	— · — · — · 65
$牛来2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	54%	-4.4%	-5.6%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 63
$牛来2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	54%	-5.5%	-6.3%	+0.9%	— · — · — · 66
$BUN2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	53%	-10.2%	-11.5%	+3.8%	— · — · — · 63
$FONE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	53%	-2.1%	-7.6%	+12.4%	— · — · — · 63
$BUN2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	52%	-10.2%	-10.9%	+4.5%	— · — · — · 62
$牛来2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	51%	-6.3%	-6.5%	+0.4%	— · — · — · 62
$PAID2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	50%	+12.0%	-4.8%	+24.2%	— · — · — · 64
$PAID2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	50%	+16.4%	-1.0%	+29.1%	— · — · — · 66
$HMM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	49%	-12.8%	-14.2%	+3.8%	— · — · — · 64
$HMM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	49%	-13.8%	-15.1%	+2.6%	— · — · — · 63
$HMM2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	47%	-13.3%	-17.6%	+4.5%	— · — · — · 62
$HMM2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	47%	-14.3%	-16.9%	+5.4%	— · — · — · 65
$HMM2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	47%	-14.8%	-18.4%	+3.6%	— · — · — · 63
$PONS2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	47%	-4.0%	-4.3%	+0.8%	— · — · — · 66
$PAID2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	47%	+15.8%	-6.4%	+22.1%	— · — · — · 63
$PAID2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	46%	+16.1%	-1.3%	+28.8%	— · — · — · 63
$OTC2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	46%	+26.9%	-3.2%	+26.9%	— · — · — · 62
$PONS2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	44%	-4.3%	-4.3%	+0.9%	— · — · — · 65
$PENGU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	41%	-1.5%	-2.2%	+1.0%	— · — · — · 65
$PENGU2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	40%	-1.0%	-2.5%	+0.7%	— · — · — · 65

$BUN2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
-10.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.6%
$牛来2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
-4.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.1%
$BUN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
-8.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.1%
$FONE2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
+13.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.1%
$BUN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-9.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$牛来2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-4.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.6%
$FONE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
+1.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.6%
$牛来2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-4.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.1%
$PAID2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-1.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.9%
$FONE2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
+11.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.8%
$FONE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
+4.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.3%
$OTC2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
+4.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.0%
$BUN2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-8.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.6%
$OTC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
+0.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.8%
$OTC2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
+11.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.0%
$HMM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
-11.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.8%
$PAID2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
+12.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.9%
$PAID2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
+3.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.4%
$BUN2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
-8.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.3%
$OTC2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
+12.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.7%
$牛来2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-4.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.6%
$牛来2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-5.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.3%
$BUN2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-10.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.5%
$FONE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-2.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.6%
$BUN2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
52%
24h return
-10.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.9%
$牛来2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
51%
24h return
-6.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.5%
$PAID2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
50%
24h return
+12.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.8%
$PAID2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
50%
24h return
+16.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.0%
$HMM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
49%
24h return
-12.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.2%
$HMM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
49%
24h return
-13.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.1%
$HMM2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
47%
24h return
-13.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.6%
$HMM2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
47%
24h return
-14.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.9%
$HMM2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
47%
24h return
-14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.4%
$PONS2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
47%
24h return
-4.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.3%
$PAID2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
47%
24h return
+15.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.4%
$PAID2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
+16.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.3%
$OTC2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
+26.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.2%
$PONS2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
44%
24h return
-4.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.3%
$PENGU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
41%
24h return
-1.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.2%
$PENGU2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
40%
24h return
-1.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.5%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 23:31 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $WOJAK within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 8,071 resolved snapshots · 1,378 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.