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Historical analogs

Similar setups to $KLN

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live
Similar setups
40
of 675 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
-3.6%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-78.0%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
40%
N = 40
ConfidenceConfidence: HIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 18:54 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 40% (95% CI 26–55%)

Median
-3.6%
CI -18.0% … +0.4%
Trimmed mean
-6.1%
10% each side
Mean
-1.6%
σ 42.7%
Range
-72.5% … +195%
24h return after similar setups histogram40 samples in 10 bins from -72.5% to +195%. Tail bins: 1 above +120%.median-72.5%+195%0%+120%-50%+50%+100%
24h return after similar setups box plotMedian -3.6%, interquartile range -25.9% to +15.8%, whiskers -72.5% to +69.8%, 1 outliers (min -72.5%, max +195%).-72.5%+69.8%-3.6%

1 above +101% (max +195%)

p5
-48.4%
p10
-36.3%
p25
-25.9%
p50
-3.6%
p75
+15.8%
p90
+26.8%
p95
+58.9%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 18:54 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum
—
Crowding
—
Early Quality
—
Narrative Velocity
69
Price change 1h
—
Volume acceleration
-63.0%
Liquidity
$117.3K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

  • $TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    81%
    24h return
    +25.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -62.2%
  • $MADE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    80%
    24h return
    -2.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.6%
  • $HEEHAW2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    80%
    24h return
    -25.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -30.3%
  • $B-MONEY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    78%
    24h return
    -3.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.8%
  • $KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    77%
    24h return
    -11.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -28.9%
  • $BIKETYSON2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    74%
    24h return
    -15.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -25.3%
  • $MICHI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    73%
    24h return
    -1.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.5%
  • $OMNI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    73%
    24h return
    -45.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -47.9%
  • $HEEHAW2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    69%
    24h return
    -26.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -31.2%
  • $MALFOID2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    68%
    24h return
    +17.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -20.5%
  • $KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    68%
    24h return
    -8.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -26.8%
  • $BIKETYSON2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    68%
    24h return
    -22.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -30.9%
  • $MADE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    67%
    24h return
    -3.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -10.8%
  • $TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    67%
    24h return
    +15.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -65.2%
  • $HEEHAW2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    64%
    24h return
    -26.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -30.6%
  • $BIKETYSON2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    63%
    24h return
    -20.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -29.1%
  • $KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    63%
    24h return
    -13.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -30.4%
  • $TM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    62%
    24h return
    +69.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -13.5%
  • $MALFOID2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    60%
    24h return
    +26.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -14.5%
  • $OMNI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    58%
    24h return
    -48.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -50.0%
  • $QI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    56%
    24h return
    -31.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -39.4%
  • $B-MONEY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    56%
    24h return
    +0.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.1%
  • $MALFOID2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    55%
    24h return
    +18.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -19.7%
  • $PQC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    53%
    24h return
    -25.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -47.2%
  • $TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    51%
    24h return
    +31.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -60.4%
  • $OMNI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    45%
    24h return
    -57.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -58.7%
  • $QI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    45%
    24h return
    -29.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -38.0%
  • $QI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    44%
    24h return
    -35.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -42.9%
  • $CLAUDIA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    43%
    24h return
    +195%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.8%
  • $FACTORY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    42%
    24h return
    -72.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -78.0%
  • $PAID2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    41%
    24h return
    +16.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.0%
  • $OTC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    41%
    24h return
    +0.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -10.8%
  • $PAID2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    41%
    24h return
    +12.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -4.8%
  • $TM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    41%
    24h return
    +58.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -38.4%
  • $FONE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    39%
    24h return
    +1.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -4.6%
  • $MADE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    39%
    24h return
    +0.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -7.1%
  • $PAID2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    37%
    24h return
    +16.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.3%
  • $HMM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    36%
    24h return
    -12.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -14.2%
  • $MICHI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    36%
    24h return
    -1.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.3%
  • $PQC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    36%
    24h return
    -28.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -49.2%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

  • Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
  • Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 18:54 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $KLN within ±24h are excluded.
  • Considered 7,048 resolved snapshots · 675 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
  • Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.