Historical analogs

Similar setups to $CORE

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 809 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-8.2%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-65.2%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

43%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 19:06 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 43% (95% CI 29–58%)

Median: -8.2%; CI -25.8% … +0.6%
Trimmed mean: -8.0%; 10% each side
Mean: +6.0%; σ 62.3%
Range: -57.9% … +205%

4 above +51.2% (max +205%)

p5: -48.4%
p10: -42.3%
p25: -28.7%
p50: -8.2%
p75: +14.7%
p90: +42.8%
p95: +161%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 19:06 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 59
Price change 1h: —
Volume acceleration: -7.6%
Liquidity: $149.6K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$WORM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	79%	+27.5%	-4.4%	+27.5%	— · — · — · 56
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	78%	+26.2%	-62.0%	+26.2%	— · — · — · 56
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	77%	+195%	-1.8%	+261%	7 · 49 · — · 60
$QI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	76%	-29.7%	-38.0%	+23.3%	46 · 36 · — · 60
$PQC2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	74%	-42.2%	-59.0%	0.0%	44 · 59 · — · 57
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	73%	+10.3%	-2.5%	+10.3%	41 · 67 · — · 60
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	71%	+31.5%	-60.4%	+31.6%	— · — · — · 63
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	71%	-31.2%	-35.3%	+28.3%	3 · 78 · — · 56
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	71%	+0.1%	-6.1%	+13.5%	2 · 78 · — · 64
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	70%	+159%	-21.5%	+217%	7 · 49 · — · 58
$PRISM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	70%	-12.6%	-18.0%	+2.3%	3 · 88 · — · 56
$PQC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	70%	-25.5%	-47.2%	+33.7%	8 · 61 · — · 61
$OMNI2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	69%	-43.2%	-48.5%	+15.9%	— · — · — · 57
$QI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	69%	-27.1%	-38.1%	+8.0%	17 · 37 · — · 60
$OMNI2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	69%	-57.9%	-59.5%	+3.2%	24 · 99 · — · 56
$MADE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	68%	-3.4%	-10.8%	+2.5%	— · — · — · 64
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	68%	+205%	-7.4%	+274%	7 · 49 · — · 58
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	67%	+15.8%	-65.2%	+15.8%	— · — · — · 64
$MADE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	67%	-3.9%	-11.2%	+2.0%	— · — · — · 56
$MADE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	67%	+0.6%	-7.1%	+6.7%	— · — · — · 63
$MADE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	66%	+0.1%	-6.5%	+7.4%	— · — · — · 65
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	65%	-26.1%	-30.6%	+37.8%	3 · 78 · — · 63
$QI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	65%	-35.2%	-42.9%	+13.6%	64 · 36 · — · 60
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	64%	-15.5%	-26.3%	+1.4%	— · — · — · 53
$MICHI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	64%	-1.3%	-1.3%	+2.8%	— · — · — · 63
$OMNI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	63%	-57.0%	-58.7%	+2.7%	52 · 88 · — · 63
$ALLINU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	63%	+14.4%	-9.6%	+23.9%	— · — · — · 54
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	63%	+145%	-17.1%	+202%	44 · 49 · — · 60
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	62%	-20.2%	-29.1%	+4.5%	— · — · — · 63
$QI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	62%	-31.3%	-39.4%	+17.7%	63 · 35 · — · 62
$WORM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	61%	+0.8%	-9.6%	+8.8%	— · — · — · 53
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	60%	-35.6%	-55.1%	+23.2%	— · — · — · 56
$ALLINU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	60%	+24.3%	0.0%	+36.0%	3 · 81 · — · 55
$AI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	60%	+18.3%	-1.7%	+19.6%	26 · 48 · — · 54
$SAPLING2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	60%	-16.1%	-17.1%	+18.5%	8 · 59 · — · 55
$WORM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	59%	+1.2%	-9.2%	+9.2%	— · — · — · 52
$PQC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	59%	-28.4%	-49.2%	+8.5%	29 · 56 · — · 58
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	59%	-15.8%	-25.3%	+0.8%	— · — · — · 66
$OMNI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	59%	-48.0%	-50.0%	+20.1%	3 · 88 · — · 64
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	59%	-26.1%	-26.5%	+54.6%	3 · 78 · — · 65

$WORM2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
+27.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.4%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
+26.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-62.0%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
+195%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.8%
$QI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-29.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.0%
$PQC2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-42.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-59.0%
$HOTDOG2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
+10.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.5%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
+31.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-60.4%
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-31.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.3%
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
+0.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.1%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
+159%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.5%
$PRISM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
-12.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.0%
$PQC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
-25.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-47.2%
$OMNI2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-43.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.5%
$QI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-27.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.1%
$OMNI2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-57.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-59.5%
$MADE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
-3.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.8%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
+205%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.4%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
+15.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-65.2%
$MADE2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-3.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.2%
$MADE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
+0.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.1%
$MADE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
+0.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.5%
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-26.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.6%
$QI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-35.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-42.9%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-15.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.3%
$MICHI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-1.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.3%
$OMNI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-57.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-58.7%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
+14.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
+145%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.1%
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-20.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-29.1%
$QI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-31.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-39.4%
$WORM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
+0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-35.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.1%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
+24.3%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$AI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
+18.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.7%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-16.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.1%
$WORM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
+1.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.2%
$PQC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-28.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.2%
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-15.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.3%
$OMNI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-48.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-50.0%
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-26.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.5%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 19:06 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $CORE within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,250 resolved snapshots · 809 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.