Historical analogs

Similar setups to $MEME

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 675 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-2.9%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-50.2%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

40%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 18:45 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 40% (95% CI 26–55%)

Median: -2.9%; CI -9.3% … +1.7%
Trimmed mean: -2.6%; 10% each side
Mean: +3.2%; σ 35.8%
Range: -40.5% … +146%

2 above +52.4% (max +146%)

p5: -29.8%
p10: -21.6%
p25: -14.5%
p50: -2.9%
p75: +7.5%
p90: +26.9%
p95: +40.5%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 18:45 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 49
Price change 1h: —
Volume acceleration: +58.9%
Liquidity: $501.7K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$SI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	82%	+16.9%	-2.9%	+31.3%	88 · 44 · — · 49
$INU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	75%	-15.2%	-19.2%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 48
$CRAWL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	74%	-38.0%	-43.9%	+4.8%	8 · 49 · — · 51
$OTC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	72%	-10.1%	-12.1%	+6.0%	— · — · — · 53
$MAX2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	71%	0.0%	-2.9%	+6.2%	— · — · — · 46
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	69%	-21.2%	-28.0%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 54
$MEME2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	67%	-6.3%	-11.0%	+5.2%	3 · 81 · — · 47
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	67%	-6.8%	-23.1%	+7.2%	6 · 75 · — · 48
$BASECAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	67%	+35.6%	0.0%	+38.2%	3 · 99 · — · 46
$SAPLING2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	66%	-20.2%	-21.1%	+12.7%	28 · 59 · — · 53
$旺柴2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	65%	-2.6%	-17.0%	+10.8%	9 · 54 · — · 45
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	64%	+13.4%	-8.8%	+27.6%	30 · 54 · — · 43
$JUGGERNAUT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	63%	-0.4%	-2.4%	+2.8%	— · — · — · 43
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	63%	+6.4%	-11.3%	+24.9%	11 · 45 · — · 48
$BATON2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	63%	+26.8%	-0.6%	+38.0%	39 · 82 · — · 46
$PRISM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	63%	-8.3%	-14.0%	+7.3%	3 · 88 · — · 53
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	63%	+146%	-39.1%	+146%	62 · 51 · — · 46
$GENIE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	62%	-21.2%	-21.2%	+1.6%	— · — · — · 49
$JUGGERNAUT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	62%	-0.4%	-2.5%	+2.7%	— · — · — · 46
$ORBIO2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	61%	-7.0%	-7.1%	+22.6%	43 · 58 · — · 44
$ORBIO2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	61%	-15.2%	-15.2%	+5.1%	56 · 45 · — · 45
$MAX2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	61%	+5.1%	-0.2%	+11.6%	— · — · — · 43
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	60%	-3.2%	-20.1%	+11.4%	6 · 75 · — · 49
$MEME2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	60%	+2.7%	-6.0%	+11.1%	3 · 81 · — · 43
$MEME2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	60%	+0.7%	-8.9%	+7.8%	3 · 81 · — · 46
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	60%	-40.5%	-50.2%	+0.6%	64 · 55 · — · 46
$SAPLING2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	59%	-18.4%	-19.4%	+25.4%	8 · 56 · — · 46
$SI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	59%	+18.2%	-1.8%	+32.8%	39 · 36 · — · 52
$ORBIO2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	59%	-11.0%	-11.0%	+10.4%	8 · 45 · — · 46
$HMM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	58%	-14.3%	-15.6%	+2.0%	— · — · — · 56
$SI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	58%	+27.8%	0.0%	+43.2%	13 · 51 · — · 42
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	57%	-8.6%	-24.6%	+5.2%	5 · 79 · — · 46
$旺柴2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	57%	+9.3%	-6.8%	+24.4%	10 · 58 · — · 55
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	57%	+6.9%	-5.0%	+8.6%	— · — · — · 46
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	56%	+0.5%	-2.2%	+2.5%	— · — · — · 46
$INU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	55%	-25.4%	-27.4%	0.0%	42 · 67 · — · 49
$BATON2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	55%	+12.8%	-11.6%	+22.7%	5 · 79 · — · 44
$PRISM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	55%	-11.6%	-17.1%	+7.7%	3 · 88 · — · 46
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	55%	+133%	-26.6%	+164%	42 · 56 · — · 50
$CRAWL2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	55%	-29.3%	-38.9%	+22.9%	8 · 49 · — · 43

$SI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
+16.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.9%
$INU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-15.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.2%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-38.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.9%
$OTC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-10.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.1%
$MAX2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
0.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.9%
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-21.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.0%
$MEME2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-6.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.0%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-6.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.1%
$BASECAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
+35.6%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-20.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.1%
$旺柴2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-2.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.0%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
+13.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.8%
$JUGGERNAUT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-0.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.4%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
+6.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.3%
$BATON2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
+26.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.6%
$PRISM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-8.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.0%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
+146%
Max drawdown 24h
-39.1%
$GENIE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-21.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.2%
$JUGGERNAUT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-0.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.5%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-7.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.1%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-15.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.2%
$MAX2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
+5.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.2%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-3.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.1%
$MEME2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
+2.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.0%
$MEME2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
+0.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.9%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-40.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-50.2%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-18.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.4%
$SI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
+18.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.8%
$ORBIO2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-11.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.0%
$HMM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
-14.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.6%
$SI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
+27.8%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$SWORDCAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-8.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.6%
$旺柴2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
+9.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.8%
$JOTCHUA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
+6.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.0%
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
+0.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.2%
$INU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
-25.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.4%
$BATON2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
+12.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.6%
$PRISM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
-11.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.1%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
+133%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.6%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
-29.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.9%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 18:45 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $MEME within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,048 resolved snapshots · 675 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.