Historical analogs

Similar setups to $SPARK

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 4,909 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-2.4%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-55.1%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

43%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-13 02:18 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-12

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 43% (95% CI 29–58%)

Median: -2.4%; CI -6.4% … +5.6%
Trimmed mean: -0.4%; 10% each side
Mean: +0.2%; σ 21.6%
Range: -48.6% … +54.2%

2 below -44.4% (min -48.6%)

p5: -29.9%
p10: -25.2%
p25: -8.6%
p50: -2.4%
p75: +11.2%
p90: +25.0%
p95: +40.2%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-13 02:18 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 47
Price change 1h: +1.5%
Volume acceleration: -99.8%
Liquidity: $108.4K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$TITCOIN2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	97%	-3.5%	-25.6%	0.0%	— · — · — · 47
$TITCOIN2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	95%	-3.0%	-25.1%	+0.7%	— · — · — · 48
$BAGSPAY2026-10-11 06:00 UTC	93%	+19.4%	-2.0%	+45.8%	— · — · — · 47
$ALLINU2026-10-11 11:00 UTC	93%	+9.9%	-3.8%	+22.8%	4 · 79 · — · 48
$TITCOIN2026-10-11 08:00 UTC	92%	-2.0%	-22.8%	+0.8%	— · — · — · 45
$STFY2026-10-12 02:00 UTC	92%	-27.3%	-31.4%	0.0%	— · — · — · 46
$うさぎ2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	92%	+24.7%	-3.9%	+38.7%	— · — · — · 46
$BEM2026-10-11 21:00 UTC	91%	-15.3%	-21.7%	+7.4%	— · — · — · 47
$BAGSPAY2026-10-11 07:00 UTC	91%	+18.7%	-1.4%	+46.7%	— · — · — · 45
$TITCOIN2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	91%	-24.3%	-40.2%	+0.7%	— · — · — · 46
$UDR2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	91%	-7.5%	-9.9%	+1.7%	7 · 81 · — · 46
$BNBO2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	90%	-3.7%	-4.0%	+17.6%	— · — · — · 48
$BAGSPAY2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	90%	+6.0%	-4.1%	+42.6%	3 · 62 · — · 48
$HOTDOG2026-10-11 11:00 UTC	90%	-1.7%	-1.7%	+8.3%	— · — · — · 48
$BNBO2026-10-11 06:00 UTC	90%	-0.9%	-4.6%	+16.9%	— · — · — · 47
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	90%	+54.2%	0.0%	+57.0%	— · — · — · 47
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	90%	-10.6%	-12.4%	+0.2%	45 · 85 · — · 46
$STONKINU2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	90%	-29.2%	-48.4%	+7.0%	3 · 70 · — · 48
$BNBO2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	90%	+0.5%	-2.0%	+16.6%	— · — · — · 48
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	90%	+13.2%	-2.8%	+16.6%	— · — · — · 46
$UDR2026-10-11 06:00 UTC	90%	-8.6%	-8.6%	+6.7%	3 · 99 · — · 47
$NASDANQ2026-10-12 01:00 UTC	90%	-48.6%	-55.1%	0.0%	— · — · — · 45
$ALLINU2026-10-11 12:00 UTC	90%	+7.3%	-3.1%	+23.7%	4 · 79 · — · 45
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-11 11:00 UTC	90%	+39.9%	0.0%	+52.7%	— · — · — · 48
$NASDANQ2026-10-12 00:00 UTC	90%	-44.5%	-55.0%	+0.2%	— · — · — · 45
$VIBECOIN2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	90%	-6.1%	-7.5%	+1.0%	— · — · — · 47
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	90%	+17.8%	-1.8%	+17.9%	— · — · — · 46
$BNBO2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	90%	+3.7%	-2.8%	+19.0%	— · — · — · 47
$TITCOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	90%	-20.5%	-37.7%	+5.9%	— · — · — · 45
$UDR2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	90%	-2.8%	-11.0%	+0.5%	6 · 86 · — · 45
$URMOM2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	90%	+10.6%	-9.2%	+21.4%	3 · 71 · — · 48
$BNBO2026-10-11 08:00 UTC	90%	-5.2%	-7.9%	+12.8%	— · — · — · 45
$NORMIE2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	90%	+13.6%	-53.0%	+20.6%	— · — · — · 47
$NORMIE2026-10-11 06:00 UTC	90%	+26.8%	-53.0%	+33.5%	— · — · — · 47
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	89%	+47.3%	-0.5%	+56.1%	— · — · — · 48
$VIBECOIN2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	89%	-7.3%	-8.2%	+0.3%	— · — · — · 48
$VIBECOIN2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	89%	-6.8%	-8.2%	+0.3%	— · — · — · 48
$SPRING2026-10-12 01:00 UTC	89%	-8.6%	-9.2%	+0.8%	— · — · — · 47
$SUE2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	89%	+5.6%	-1.3%	+20.4%	— · — · — · 48
$CLAWHUNTER2026-10-11 22:00 UTC	89%	-25.0%	-27.9%	+27.4%	3 · 62 · — · 46

$TITCOIN2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
97%
24h return
-3.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.6%
$TITCOIN2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-3.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.1%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
+19.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.0%
$ALLINU2026-10-11 11:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
+9.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.8%
$TITCOIN2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
Similarity
92%
24h return
-2.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.8%
$STFY2026-10-12 02:00 UTC
Similarity
92%
24h return
-27.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-31.4%
$うさぎ2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
92%
24h return
+24.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.9%
$BEM2026-10-11 21:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
-15.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.7%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-11 07:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
+18.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.4%
$TITCOIN2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
-24.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.2%
$UDR2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
-7.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.9%
$BNBO2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-3.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.0%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
+6.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.1%
$HOTDOG2026-10-11 11:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-1.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.7%
$BNBO2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-0.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.6%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
+54.2%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-10.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.4%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-29.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.4%
$BNBO2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
+0.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.0%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
+13.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.8%
$UDR2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-8.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.6%
$NASDANQ2026-10-12 01:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-48.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.1%
$ALLINU2026-10-11 12:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
+7.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.1%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-11 11:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
+39.9%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$NASDANQ2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-44.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.0%
$VIBECOIN2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-6.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.5%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
+17.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.8%
$BNBO2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
+3.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.8%
$TITCOIN2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-20.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-37.7%
$UDR2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-2.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.0%
$URMOM2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
+10.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.2%
$BNBO2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-5.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.9%
$NORMIE2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
+13.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-53.0%
$NORMIE2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
+26.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-53.0%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
+47.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.5%
$VIBECOIN2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-7.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.2%
$VIBECOIN2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-6.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.2%
$SPRING2026-10-12 01:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-8.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.2%
$SUE2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
+5.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.3%
$CLAWHUNTER2026-10-11 22:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-25.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.9%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-13 02:18 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $SPARK within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 13,236 resolved snapshots · 4,909 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.