Historical analogs

Similar setups to $TENDIES

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 314 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-8.4%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-48.5%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

40%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 19:52 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 40% (95% CI 26–55%)

Median: -8.4%; CI -15.6% … +11.1%
Trimmed mean: -4.1%; 10% each side
Mean: +8.1%; σ 52.4%
Range: -48.0% … +161%

4 above +44.8% (max +161%)

p5: -35.8%
p10: -29.3%
p25: -24.3%
p50: -8.4%
p75: +16.2%
p90: +39.1%
p95: +151%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 19:52 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: 3
Crowding: 62
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 52
Price change 1h: -0.3%
Volume acceleration: -85.8%
Liquidity: $441.5K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 6 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$INU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	93%	-11.1%	-14.7%	+2.6%	4 · 63 · — · 51
$INU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	90%	-9.9%	-13.6%	+4.0%	4 · 63 · — · 52
$TENDIES2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	89%	+8.0%	-1.0%	+10.2%	2 · 62 · — · 52
$INU2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	84%	-12.2%	-15.8%	+1.3%	3 · 67 · — · 51
$INU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	80%	+14.8%	-14.0%	+15.3%	3 · 67 · — · 50
$INU2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	79%	-24.5%	-27.4%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 49
$SAPLING2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	71%	-34.1%	-34.1%	+14.1%	8 · 59 · — · 55
$INU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	68%	-11.0%	-14.6%	+2.7%	5 · 67 · — · 48
$SAPLING2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	67%	-16.1%	-17.1%	+18.5%	8 · 59 · — · 55
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	67%	+18.9%	-6.0%	+31.6%	10 · 62 · — · 47
$CRAWL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	64%	-35.8%	-41.9%	+3.4%	8 · 53 · — · 54
$CRAWL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	63%	-48.0%	-48.5%	+2.8%	8 · 50 · — · 53
$SAPLING2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	61%	-0.8%	-11.6%	+34.7%	8 · 65 · — · 46
$旺柴2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	61%	+9.3%	-6.8%	+24.4%	10 · 58 · — · 55
$INU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	61%	-15.2%	-19.2%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 48
$MEME2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	61%	-4.9%	-10.1%	+6.4%	3 · 78 · — · 50
$INU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	60%	-22.0%	-24.6%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 45
$SAPLING2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	57%	-6.9%	-9.1%	+39.0%	9 · 61 · — · 46
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	57%	+138%	-20.0%	+188%	5 · 56 · — · 50
$AGENCY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	55%	-35.9%	-38.1%	+3.9%	6 · 71 · — · 46
$MONITOR2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	54%	-24.3%	-27.8%	+4.9%	3 · 81 · — · 54
$CRAWL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	54%	-28.7%	-36.8%	+27.2%	8 · 49 · — · 47
$MONITOR2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	54%	-24.3%	-27.8%	+4.9%	3 · 81 · — · 50
$INU2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	54%	-14.8%	-19.1%	+0.2%	5 · 67 · — · 45
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	54%	+161%	-22.1%	+180%	5 · 56 · — · 46
$CRAWL2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	53%	-28.5%	-37.7%	+25.4%	8 · 49 · — · 47
$BATON2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	53%	+16.3%	-8.4%	+17.6%	5 · 65 · — · 44
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	52%	+28.1%	-1.3%	+42.4%	11 · 45 · — · 48
$BATON2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	51%	+16.2%	-10.5%	+24.2%	5 · 65 · — · 44
$BATON2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	51%	+23.1%	-3.6%	+33.9%	4 · 79 · — · 49
$MONITOR2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	49%	-24.7%	-28.1%	+4.4%	3 · 81 · — · 47
$旺柴2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	47%	-2.6%	-17.0%	+10.8%	9 · 54 · — · 45
$MONITOR2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	47%	-24.0%	-29.9%	+1.9%	3 · 81 · — · 47
$BATON2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	47%	+18.3%	-7.3%	+28.7%	4 · 79 · — · 48
$MONITOR2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	46%	-25.4%	-28.8%	+3.5%	3 · 81 · — · 46
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	46%	+151%	-24.0%	+207%	7 · 49 · — · 50
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	46%	+19.7%	-5.3%	+32.5%	11 · 54 · — · 43
$SAPLING2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	46%	+14.8%	-4.1%	+46.1%	9 · 61 · — · 43
$SAPLING2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	45%	+14.2%	0.0%	+47.1%	9 · 61 · — · 43
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	45%	+159%	-21.5%	+217%	7 · 49 · — · 58

$INU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
-11.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.7%
$INU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-9.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.6%
$TENDIES2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
+8.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.0%
$INU2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-12.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.8%
$INU2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
+14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.0%
$INU2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-24.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.4%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-34.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.1%
$INU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
-11.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.6%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-16.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.1%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
+18.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.0%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-35.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.9%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-48.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.5%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.6%
$旺柴2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
+9.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.8%
$INU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-15.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.2%
$MEME2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-4.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.1%
$INU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-22.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.6%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-6.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.1%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
+138%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.0%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
-35.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.1%
$MONITOR2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-24.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.8%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-28.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-36.8%
$MONITOR2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-24.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.8%
$INU2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.1%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
+161%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.1%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-28.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-37.7%
$BATON2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
+16.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.4%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
52%
24h return
+28.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.3%
$BATON2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
51%
24h return
+16.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.5%
$BATON2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
51%
24h return
+23.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.6%
$MONITOR2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
49%
24h return
-24.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.1%
$旺柴2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
47%
24h return
-2.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.0%
$MONITOR2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
47%
24h return
-24.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-29.9%
$BATON2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
47%
24h return
+18.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.3%
$MONITOR2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
-25.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.8%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
+151%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.0%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
+19.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.3%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
+14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.1%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
45%
24h return
+14.2%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
45%
24h return
+159%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.5%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 19:52 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $TENDIES within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,250 resolved snapshots · 314 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.