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Historical analogs

Similar setups to $HEEHAW

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live
Similar setups
40
of 675 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
-9.9%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-73.3%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
23%
N = 40
ConfidenceConfidence: HIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 18:44 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 23% (95% CI 12–38%)

Median
-9.9%
CI -25.3% … -5.4%
Trimmed mean
-14.7%
10% each side
Mean
-9.4%
σ 42.4%
Range
-70.5% … +151%
24h return after similar setups histogram40 samples in 10 bins from -70.5% to +151%. Tail bins: 2 above +78.6%.median-70.5%+151%0%+78.6%-50%+50%
24h return after similar setups box plotMedian -9.9%, interquartile range -32.9% to -0.9%, whiskers -70.5% to +29.7%, 2 outliers (min -70.5%, max +151%).-70.5%+29.7%-9.9%

2 above +51.7% (max +151%)

p5
-60.8%
p10
-54.3%
p25
-32.9%
p50
-9.9%
p75
-0.9%
p90
+13.4%
p95
+35.1%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 18:44 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum
—
Crowding
—
Early Quality
—
Narrative Velocity
49
Price change 1h
—
Volume acceleration
-49.9%
Liquidity
$120.5K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

  • $PQC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    91%
    24h return
    -35.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -61.6%
  • $WORM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    88%
    24h return
    +5.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -5.4%
  • $PQC2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
    Similarity
    88%
    24h return
    -56.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -64.8%
  • $PQC2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
    Similarity
    88%
    24h return
    -32.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -55.2%
  • $PQC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    83%
    24h return
    -37.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -55.9%
  • $PQC2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
    Similarity
    82%
    24h return
    -61.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -69.2%
  • $HARMONIC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    82%
    24h return
    -17.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -22.1%
  • $URMOM2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
    Similarity
    82%
    24h return
    +12.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -10.4%
  • $VIBECOIN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    82%
    24h return
    -7.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -7.0%
  • $KURUMI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    81%
    24h return
    -5.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.6%
  • $TITCOIN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    81%
    24h return
    -29.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -37.9%
  • $BAGSPAY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    81%
    24h return
    +29.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.9%
  • $QI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
    Similarity
    81%
    24h return
    -28.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -41.0%
  • $招财猫2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    81%
    24h return
    -2.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -3.0%
  • $PCC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    81%
    24h return
    -0.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -7.2%
  • $STONKINU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    80%
    24h return
    -26.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -43.8%
  • $SUE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    80%
    24h return
    -5.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -14.9%
  • $MEMESTOCK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    79%
    24h return
    -10.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -19.6%
  • $HOTDOG2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
    Similarity
    79%
    24h return
    +0.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.3%
  • $HARMONIC2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
    Similarity
    78%
    24h return
    -9.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -14.7%
  • $QI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    78%
    24h return
    -39.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -44.3%
  • $ORBANCY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    77%
    24h return
    -54.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -60.2%
  • $BNBO2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    77%
    24h return
    -6.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -15.8%
  • $WORM2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    77%
    24h return
    +0.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.6%
  • $URMOM2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
    Similarity
    76%
    24h return
    +10.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.2%
  • $NINJACAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    76%
    24h return
    -2.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -33.8%
  • $UDR2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    76%
    24h return
    -7.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.9%
  • $URMOM2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    76%
    24h return
    -24.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -32.3%
  • $PQC2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
    Similarity
    76%
    24h return
    -70.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -73.3%
  • $HARMONIC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    75%
    24h return
    -16.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -26.8%
  • $NASDANQ2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    75%
    24h return
    -0.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -4.0%
  • $HARMONIC2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
    Similarity
    74%
    24h return
    -15.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -20.3%
  • $QI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
    Similarity
    74%
    24h return
    -33.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -41.2%
  • $HARMONIC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    74%
    24h return
    -11.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -22.6%
  • $CLAUDIA2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
    Similarity
    74%
    24h return
    +138%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -20.0%
  • $STONKINU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    73%
    24h return
    -33.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -49.4%
  • $CLAUDIA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    73%
    24h return
    +151%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -24.0%
  • $うさぎ2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    73%
    24h return
    +24.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -3.9%
  • $ORBANCY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    73%
    24h return
    -60.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -66.0%
  • $OPTIMUS2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    73%
    24h return
    -9.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.6%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

  • Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
  • Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 18:44 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $HEEHAW within ±24h are excluded.
  • Considered 7,048 resolved snapshots · 675 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
  • Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.