Skip to content
Back to $NORMIE
Historical analogs

Similar setups to $NORMIE

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live
Similar setups
5
of 1,378 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
-42.2%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-76.2%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
0%
N = 5
ConfidenceConfidence: LOW5 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 23:38 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 5 · Positive after 24h 0% (95% CI 0–43%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
-42.2%
CI -76.2% … -37.2%
Trimmed mean
-49.0%
10% each side
Mean
-49.0%
σ 16.3%
Range
-76.2% … -37.2%
24h return after similar setups histogram5 samples in 4 bins from -76.2% to -37.2%.median-76.2%-37.2%-70%-60%-50%
24h return after similar setups box plotMedian -42.2%, interquartile range -51.8% to -37.5%, whiskers -51.8% to -37.2%, 1 outliers (min -76.2%, max -37.2%).-51.8%-37.2%-42.2%

1 below -55.0% (min -76.2%)

p5
-71.3%
p10
-66.5%
p25
-51.8%
p50
-42.2%
p75
-37.5%
p90
-37.3%
p95
-37.3%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 23:38 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum
—
Crowding
—
Early Quality
—
Narrative Velocity
74
Price change 1h
+37.0%
Volume acceleration
-20.9%
Liquidity
$80.3K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

  • $HEEHAW2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    51%
    24h return
    -37.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -42.4%
  • $SAFU2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
    Similarity
    18%
    24h return
    -76.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -76.2%
  • $SAFU2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
    Similarity
    13%
    24h return
    -51.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -60.2%
  • $PQC2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    10%
    24h return
    -42.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -59.0%
  • $BUL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
    Similarity
    3%
    24h return
    -37.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -39.8%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

  • Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
  • Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 23:38 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $NORMIE within ±24h are excluded.
  • Considered 8,071 resolved snapshots · 1,378 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
  • Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.