Historical analogs

Similar setups to $MARSCOIN

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 675 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-11.0%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-49.5%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

30%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 18:44 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 30% (95% CI 18–45%)

Median: -11.0%; CI -22.7% … -5.6%
Trimmed mean: -9.5%; 10% each side
Mean: +3.5%; σ 51.8%
Range: -39.7% … +161%

4 above +43.0% (max +161%)

p5: -36.1%
p10: -29.3%
p25: -24.8%
p50: -11.0%
p75: +5.8%
p90: +39.1%
p95: +144%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 18:44 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 49
Price change 1h: —
Volume acceleration: -56.4%
Liquidity: $341.3K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	91%	-39.7%	-49.5%	0.0%	30 · 55 · — · 48
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	88%	-39.3%	-49.2%	+0.6%	29 · 51 · — · 47
$VEX2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	86%	-6.3%	-6.4%	+1.1%	— · — · — · 49
$CRAWL2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	86%	-28.5%	-37.7%	+25.4%	8 · 49 · — · 47
$CRAWL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	85%	-28.7%	-36.8%	+27.2%	8 · 49 · — · 47
$SAPLING2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	85%	+11.2%	-6.7%	+42.2%	45 · 61 · — · 47
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	84%	+24.1%	-1.9%	+37.4%	46 · 62 · — · 48
$INU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	84%	-11.0%	-14.6%	+2.7%	5 · 67 · — · 48
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	83%	+28.1%	-1.3%	+42.4%	11 · 45 · — · 48
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	83%	+138%	-20.0%	+188%	5 · 56 · — · 50
$1F9162026-10-10 18:00 UTC	82%	-23.7%	-23.7%	+2.3%	— · — · — · 49
$INU2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	81%	-12.2%	-15.8%	+1.3%	3 · 67 · — · 51
$INU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	81%	-25.4%	-27.4%	0.0%	42 · 67 · — · 49
$VEX2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	81%	-7.5%	-7.6%	0.0%	— · — · — · 51
$SAPLING2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	81%	-6.9%	-9.1%	+39.0%	9 · 61 · — · 46
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	81%	+151%	-24.0%	+207%	7 · 49 · — · 50
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	81%	-21.2%	-27.9%	0.0%	— · — · — · 50
$CRAWL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	80%	-34.4%	-40.6%	+10.9%	44 · 53 · — · 52
$SAPLING2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	80%	-0.8%	-11.6%	+34.7%	8 · 65 · — · 46
$AGENCY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	80%	-35.9%	-38.1%	+3.9%	6 · 71 · — · 46
$MEME2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	79%	-4.9%	-10.1%	+6.4%	3 · 78 · — · 50
$INU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	79%	-9.9%	-13.6%	+4.0%	4 · 63 · — · 52
$1F9162026-10-10 16:00 UTC	78%	-22.3%	-22.4%	+4.1%	— · — · — · 52
$旺柴2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	78%	+5.6%	-10.0%	+20.1%	45 · 54 · — · 52
$MONITOR2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	78%	-24.7%	-28.1%	+4.4%	3 · 81 · — · 47
$QI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	77%	-28.0%	-41.0%	+25.6%	71 · 37 · — · 49
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	77%	+18.9%	-6.0%	+31.6%	10 · 62 · — · 47
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	76%	+161%	-22.1%	+180%	5 · 56 · — · 46
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	76%	+0.5%	-2.2%	+2.5%	— · — · — · 46
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	76%	+6.4%	-11.3%	+24.9%	11 · 45 · — · 48
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	76%	+144%	-30.8%	+180%	27 · 49 · — · 50
$INU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	75%	-11.1%	-14.7%	+2.6%	4 · 63 · — · 51
$1F9162026-10-10 15:00 UTC	75%	-24.9%	-25.0%	+0.6%	— · — · — · 51
$VEX2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	75%	-6.4%	-6.5%	+1.0%	— · — · — · 53
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	75%	-17.4%	-22.1%	+7.8%	— · — · — · 48
$PAID2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	75%	+11.8%	-6.1%	+21.2%	— · — · — · 53
$MONITOR2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	75%	-25.4%	-28.8%	+3.5%	3 · 81 · — · 46
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	75%	-16.1%	-26.8%	+0.1%	— · — · — · 49
$INU2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	75%	-24.5%	-27.4%	0.0%	5 · 67 · — · 49
$1F9162026-10-10 17:00 UTC	75%	-23.0%	-23.1%	+3.2%	— · — · — · 53

$HOTBOT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
-39.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.5%
$HOTBOT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-39.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.2%
$VEX2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-6.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.4%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-28.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-37.7%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-28.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-36.8%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
+11.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.7%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
+24.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.9%
$INU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-11.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.6%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+28.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.3%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+138%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.0%
$1F9162026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-23.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.7%
$INU2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-12.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.8%
$INU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-25.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.4%
$VEX2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-7.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.6%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-6.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.1%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
+151%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.0%
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-21.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.9%
$CRAWL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-34.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.6%
$SAPLING2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.6%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-35.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.1%
$MEME2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-4.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.1%
$INU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-9.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.6%
$1F9162026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-22.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.4%
$旺柴2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
+5.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.0%
$MONITOR2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-24.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.1%
$QI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-28.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.0%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
+18.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.0%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+161%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.1%
$MARSCOIN2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+0.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.2%
$JEANPHIL2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+6.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.3%
$CLAUDIA2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+144%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.8%
$INU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-11.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.7%
$1F9162026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-24.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.0%
$VEX2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-6.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.5%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-17.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.1%
$PAID2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
+11.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.1%
$MONITOR2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-25.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.8%
$HARMONIC2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-16.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.8%
$INU2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-24.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.4%
$1F9162026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
75%
24h return
-23.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.1%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 18:44 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $MARSCOIN within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,048 resolved snapshots · 675 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.