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Historical analogs

Similar setups to $PCC

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live
Similar setups
40
of 675 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
-3.2%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-55.9%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
40%
N = 40
ConfidenceConfidence: HIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 18:44 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 40% (95% CI 26–55%)

Median
-3.2%
CI -6.1% … +3.1%
Trimmed mean
-2.5%
10% each side
Mean
0.0%
σ 31.2%
Range
-46.3% … +146%
24h return after similar setups histogram40 samples in 10 bins from -46.3% to +146%. Tail bins: 1 above +47.9%.median-46.3%+146%0%+47.9%-20%+20%+40%
24h return after similar setups box plotMedian -3.2%, interquartile range -9.8% to +7.3%, whiskers -32.9% to +31.8%, 7 outliers (min -46.3%, max +146%).-32.9%+31.8%-3.2%

1 above +46.0% (max +146%)

p5
-43.7%
p10
-33.4%
p25
-9.8%
p50
-3.2%
p75
+7.3%
p90
+25.3%
p95
+35.2%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 18:44 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum
—
Crowding
—
Early Quality
—
Narrative Velocity
49
Price change 1h
—
Volume acceleration
+103%
Liquidity
$152.6K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

  • $HOTDOG2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    92%
    24h return
    -1.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -8.3%
  • $HOTDOG2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
    Similarity
    87%
    24h return
    -0.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.6%
  • $CORE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    80%
    24h return
    -4.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -7.4%
  • $JOTCHUA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    78%
    24h return
    +6.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -5.0%
  • $SWORDCAT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    78%
    24h return
    -6.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -23.1%
  • $STONKINU2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    74%
    24h return
    -25.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -43.1%
  • $WORM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    71%
    24h return
    +6.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -3.0%
  • $ALLINU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    71%
    24h return
    +17.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -7.5%
  • $BNBCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    71%
    24h return
    -3.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -16.4%
  • $CRAWL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    68%
    24h return
    -38.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -43.9%
  • $PRISM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    67%
    24h return
    -8.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -14.0%
  • $BINF2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    67%
    24h return
    +38.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    0.0%
  • $GTA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    67%
    24h return
    +4.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.0%
  • $招财猫2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    65%
    24h return
    -2.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -3.3%
  • $PCC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    65%
    24h return
    -3.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.4%
  • $SNDK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    64%
    24h return
    -4.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -27.0%
  • $SNDK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    64%
    24h return
    +17.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.9%
  • $FLORK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    63%
    24h return
    -5.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -10.2%
  • $CHIIKAWA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    63%
    24h return
    +35.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    0.0%
  • $HOTDOG2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    62%
    24h return
    +4.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -3.5%
  • $MEMESTOCK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    62%
    24h return
    -16.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -25.5%
  • $CLAUDIA2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    61%
    24h return
    +146%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -39.1%
  • $STONKINU2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
    Similarity
    61%
    24h return
    -43.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -55.9%
  • $HOTDOG2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    61%
    24h return
    +2.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -4.7%
  • $SNDK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    56%
    24h return
    +8.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -17.2%
  • $WOJAK2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    56%
    24h return
    -6.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.6%
  • $SWORDCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    56%
    24h return
    -3.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -20.1%
  • $OPTIMUS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    55%
    24h return
    -13.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -13.4%
  • $SAPLING2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    55%
    24h return
    -32.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -33.7%
  • $BINF2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    54%
    24h return
    +31.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -4.7%
  • $CORE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    54%
    24h return
    -6.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -8.6%
  • $GENIE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    54%
    24h return
    -21.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -21.2%
  • $ALLINU2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    54%
    24h return
    +24.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.5%
  • $HOOKS2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    53%
    24h return
    -46.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -54.2%
  • $ALLINU2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    53%
    24h return
    +14.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.6%
  • $HOTDOG2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    53%
    24h return
    +2.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -5.5%
  • $URMOM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    52%
    24h return
    -23.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -30.9%
  • $HOTBOT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    52%
    24h return
    -45.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -46.0%
  • $JOTCHUA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    52%
    24h return
    +8.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -5.8%
  • $SWORDCAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    52%
    24h return
    -8.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -24.6%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

  • Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
  • Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 18:44 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $PCC within ±24h are excluded.
  • Considered 7,048 resolved snapshots · 675 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
  • Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.