Historical analogs

Similar setups to $SUMMER

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 2,415 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-8.1%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-94.9%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

40%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-12 06:10 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-11

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 40% (95% CI 26–55%)

Median: -8.1%; CI -18.4% … +0.3%
Trimmed mean: -10.9%; 10% each side
Mean: -10.1%; σ 38.0%
Range: -94.8% … +110%

1 above +63.5% (max +110%)

p5: -66.0%
p10: -51.5%
p25: -32.2%
p50: -8.1%
p75: +4.6%
p90: +31.5%
p95: +38.9%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-12 06:10 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 71
Price change 1h: -10.5%
Volume acceleration: +21.2%
Liquidity: $117.6K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$BULLISH2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	76%	+37.8%	-7.6%	+103%	3 · 81 · — · 68
$GTA2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	74%	-11.4%	-11.4%	+34.0%	— · — · — · 68
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	73%	-26.1%	-26.5%	+54.6%	3 · 78 · — · 65
$BULLISH2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	72%	+32.0%	-12.1%	+93.5%	40 · 81 · — · 66
$SLOPCORE2026-10-11 06:00 UTC	71%	+11.4%	-4.7%	+112%	— · — · — · 67
$BULLISH2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	70%	+110%	-21.3%	+204%	— · — · — · 65
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	69%	-15.8%	-25.3%	+0.8%	— · — · — · 66
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	69%	-9.0%	-11.1%	+4.3%	— · — · — · 65
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 06:00 UTC	69%	-30.9%	-34.9%	+116%	— · — · — · 67
$KLN2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	68%	-33.3%	-34.1%	+7.3%	— · — · — · 68
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	66%	+0.1%	-6.1%	+13.5%	2 · 78 · — · 64
$MADE2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	66%	+2.3%	-9.7%	+14.1%	— · — · — · 68
$ALTAI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	64%	-94.8%	-94.9%	+7.3%	— · — · — · 65
$KLN2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	63%	-31.9%	-38.3%	+11.5%	— · — · — · 63
$SAFU2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	63%	-65.3%	-69.9%	+14.0%	39 · 81 · — · 63
$KLN2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	62%	-38.3%	-42.9%	+3.2%	— · — · — · 63
$MADE2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	62%	-3.9%	-7.1%	+6.7%	— · — · — · 66
$ALTAI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	61%	-79.4%	-80.2%	+15.8%	3 · 56 · — · 65
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	60%	-50.6%	-60.7%	+30.6%	— · — · — · 66
$GTA2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	60%	-15.7%	-19.1%	+18.2%	— · — · — · 66
$MADE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	60%	+0.1%	-6.5%	+7.4%	— · — · — · 65
$SLOPCORE2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	60%	-4.9%	-17.5%	+83.9%	— · — · — · 67
$MADE2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	60%	-7.3%	-7.3%	+7.8%	— · — · — · 66
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	59%	+31.5%	-60.4%	+31.6%	— · — · — · 63
$MADE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	59%	+0.6%	-7.1%	+6.7%	— · — · — · 63
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 01:00 UTC	58%	-48.8%	-55.7%	+47.3%	— · — · — · 64
$SWOLF2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	58%	+60.6%	-23.5%	+99.3%	— · — · — · 66
$MICHI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	58%	+4.1%	-2.5%	+4.1%	— · — · — · 66
$JOBY2026-10-11 01:00 UTC	57%	-15.7%	-20.4%	0.0%	— · — · — · 64
$API2026-10-11 06:00 UTC	57%	-20.9%	-45.6%	+56.5%	— · — · — · 67
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	56%	+25.7%	-62.2%	+25.8%	— · — · — · 66
$OMNI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	56%	-48.0%	-50.0%	+20.1%	3 · 88 · — · 64
$MADE2026-10-11 06:00 UTC	56%	+15.7%	-7.0%	+25.3%	— · — · — · 67
$SAFU2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	55%	-50.9%	-64.2%	+48.9%	2 · 81 · — · 66
$JOBY2026-10-11 06:00 UTC	55%	+6.1%	-4.9%	+14.6%	— · — · — · 67
$OMNI2026-10-11 06:00 UTC	55%	-1.5%	-28.2%	+41.0%	4 · 90 · — · 67
$OMNI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	54%	-57.0%	-58.7%	+2.7%	52 · 88 · — · 63
$BIOLLM2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	53%	+3.7%	0.0%	+4.5%	— · — · — · 68
$BULLISH2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	53%	+25.3%	0.0%	+98.0%	3 · 86 · — · 67
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	53%	-10.4%	-19.1%	+70.2%	3 · 78 · — · 65

$BULLISH2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+37.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.6%
$GTA2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
-11.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.4%
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-26.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.5%
$BULLISH2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
+32.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.1%
$SLOPCORE2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
+11.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.7%
$BULLISH2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
+110%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.3%
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-15.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.3%
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-9.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.1%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-30.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.9%
$KLN2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
-33.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.1%
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
+0.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.1%
$MADE2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
+2.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.7%
$ALTAI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-94.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-94.9%
$KLN2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-31.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-38.3%
$SAFU2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-65.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-69.9%
$KLN2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-38.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-42.9%
$MADE2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-3.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.1%
$ALTAI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
-79.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-80.2%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-50.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-60.7%
$GTA2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-15.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.1%
$MADE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
+0.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.5%
$SLOPCORE2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-4.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.5%
$MADE2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-7.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.3%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
+31.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-60.4%
$MADE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
+0.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.1%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
-48.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.7%
$SWOLF2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
+60.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.5%
$MICHI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
+4.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.5%
$JOBY2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-15.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.4%
$API2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-20.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-45.6%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
+25.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-62.2%
$OMNI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-48.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-50.0%
$MADE2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
+15.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.0%
$SAFU2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
-50.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-64.2%
$JOBY2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
+6.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.9%
$OMNI2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
-1.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.2%
$OMNI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-57.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-58.7%
$BIOLLM2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
+3.7%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$BULLISH2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
+25.3%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-10.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.1%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-12 06:10 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $SUMMER within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 9,556 resolved snapshots · 2,415 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.