Historical analogs

Similar setups to $FARM

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 6,846 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-27.1%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-90.9%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

23%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-13 02:17 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-12

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 23% (95% CI 12–38%)

Median: -27.1%; CI -36.8% … -13.7%
Trimmed mean: -26.4%; 10% each side
Mean: -20.6%; σ 49.1%
Range: -89.1% … +123%

4 above +67.1% (max +123%)

p5: -84.4%
p10: -79.9%
p25: -55.1%
p50: -27.1%
p75: -7.3%
p90: +42.8%
p95: +79.7%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-13 02:17 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: —
Price change 1h: -7.6%
Volume acceleration: -90.4%
Liquidity: $47.8K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$ALTAI2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	98%	-88.4%	-89.1%	0.0%	— · — · — · 63
$INCOGNITO2026-10-11 23:00 UTC	96%	-81.2%	-84.4%	+27.2%	— · — · — · 44
$INCOGNITO2026-10-12 01:00 UTC	95%	-84.2%	-84.6%	0.0%	— · — · — · 45
$TM2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	95%	+85.0%	-16.1%	+183%	3 · 86 · — · 38
$SIB2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	95%	-36.7%	-53.8%	+2.8%	— · — · — · 46
$INCOGNITO2026-10-12 02:00 UTC	94%	-79.8%	-81.6%	+1.5%	— · — · — · 46
$OMNI2026-10-11 08:00 UTC	94%	+3.8%	-22.4%	+52.3%	4 · 90 · — · 65
$PLAY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	94%	-48.8%	-49.1%	+5.8%	5 · 90 · — · —
$IMAGINE2026-10-11 07:00 UTC	94%	+38.9%	-1.9%	+51.5%	— · — · — · —
$UP2026-10-11 14:00 UTC	93%	-55.9%	-62.4%	0.0%	— · — · — · 54
$TM2026-10-11 08:00 UTC	93%	+123%	-21.7%	+164%	3 · 81 · — · 24
$IMAGINE2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	92%	+23.6%	-4.5%	+49.9%	— · — · — · —
$PLAY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	92%	-32.4%	-34.3%	+23.0%	7 · 87 · — · —
$TM2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	92%	+79.4%	-24.4%	+155%	3 · 86 · — · 39
$UP2026-10-11 11:00 UTC	92%	-65.2%	-71.2%	+66.1%	— · — · — · 58
$ORBANCY2026-10-12 02:00 UTC	92%	-9.9%	-34.3%	+20.7%	— · — · — · 21
$CRAWLSCAN2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	91%	+9.9%	-12.0%	+35.4%	— · — · — · —
$BUL2026-10-11 11:00 UTC	91%	-51.8%	-53.9%	+1.0%	— · — · — · 38
$PLAY2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	91%	-21.0%	-40.0%	+7.1%	4 · 88 · — · —
$CRAWLSCAN2026-10-11 10:00 UTC	90%	-28.9%	-37.6%	+4.0%	— · — · — · 20
$ALTAI2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	90%	-89.1%	-90.9%	+5.6%	— · — · — · 63
$ANYPS52026-10-11 10:00 UTC	90%	-21.3%	-37.2%	+13.9%	— · — · — · 25
$CRAWLSCAN2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	90%	-32.6%	-33.1%	+15.3%	— · — · — · 28
$CRAWLSCAN2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	89%	+16.0%	-7.1%	+42.9%	— · — · — · —
$ANYPS52026-10-11 05:00 UTC	89%	-18.4%	-37.6%	+15.7%	— · — · — · —
$PLAY2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	89%	-19.0%	-37.7%	+2.6%	3 · 86 · — · —
$PLAY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	89%	-36.8%	-43.0%	+1.8%	5 · 90 · — · —
$JPAD2026-10-11 22:00 UTC	89%	-54.8%	-66.6%	+46.8%	— · — · — · 32
$ANYPS52026-10-11 13:00 UTC	89%	-28.5%	-40.2%	+8.5%	— · — · — · —
$SIB2026-10-11 07:00 UTC	89%	-64.1%	-64.3%	+41.1%	— · — · — · 29
$PLAY2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	89%	-9.7%	-31.2%	+2.2%	3 · 86 · — · —
$SIB2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	89%	-32.7%	-45.9%	+9.1%	— · — · — · 47
$IMAGINE2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	88%	-9.4%	-19.8%	+25.8%	— · — · — · —
$ZEVIO2026-10-11 11:00 UTC	88%	-12.5%	-19.4%	+102%	— · — · — · —
$IMAGINE2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	88%	-1.2%	-19.6%	+26.2%	— · — · — · —
$SIB2026-10-11 12:00 UTC	88%	-69.3%	-69.3%	+29.3%	— · — · — · 23
$TIKTOK2026-10-11 20:00 UTC	88%	-56.5%	-58.7%	+8.2%	— · — · — · 52
$OMNI2026-10-11 10:00 UTC	88%	-13.7%	-28.5%	+40.5%	4 · 90 · — · 60
$IMAGINE2026-10-11 21:00 UTC	87%	+77.6%	-0.4%	+107%	— · — · — · —
$CRAWLSCAN2026-10-11 13:00 UTC	87%	-25.6%	-35.3%	+7.6%	— · — · — · 18

$ALTAI2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
98%
24h return
-88.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-89.1%
$INCOGNITO2026-10-11 23:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-81.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-84.4%
$INCOGNITO2026-10-12 01:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-84.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-84.6%
$TM2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
+85.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.1%
$SIB2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-36.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-53.8%
$INCOGNITO2026-10-12 02:00 UTC
Similarity
94%
24h return
-79.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-81.6%
$OMNI2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
Similarity
94%
24h return
+3.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.4%
$PLAY2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
94%
24h return
-48.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.1%
$IMAGINE2026-10-11 07:00 UTC
Similarity
94%
24h return
+38.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.9%
$UP2026-10-11 14:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
-55.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-62.4%
$TM2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
+123%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.7%
$IMAGINE2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
92%
24h return
+23.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.5%
$PLAY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
92%
24h return
-32.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.3%
$TM2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
92%
24h return
+79.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.4%
$UP2026-10-11 11:00 UTC
Similarity
92%
24h return
-65.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-71.2%
$ORBANCY2026-10-12 02:00 UTC
Similarity
92%
24h return
-9.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.3%
$CRAWLSCAN2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
+9.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.0%
$BUL2026-10-11 11:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
-51.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-53.9%
$PLAY2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
-21.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.0%
$CRAWLSCAN2026-10-11 10:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-28.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-37.6%
$ALTAI2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-89.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-90.9%
$ANYPS52026-10-11 10:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-21.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-37.2%
$CRAWLSCAN2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-32.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.1%
$CRAWLSCAN2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
+16.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.1%
$ANYPS52026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-18.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-37.6%
$PLAY2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-19.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-37.7%
$PLAY2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-36.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-43.0%
$JPAD2026-10-11 22:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-54.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-66.6%
$ANYPS52026-10-11 13:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-28.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.2%
$SIB2026-10-11 07:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-64.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-64.3%
$PLAY2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-9.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-31.2%
$SIB2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
-32.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-45.9%
$IMAGINE2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-9.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.8%
$ZEVIO2026-10-11 11:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-12.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.4%
$IMAGINE2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-1.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.6%
$SIB2026-10-11 12:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-69.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-69.3%
$TIKTOK2026-10-11 20:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-56.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-58.7%
$OMNI2026-10-11 10:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-13.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.5%
$IMAGINE2026-10-11 21:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
+77.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.4%
$CRAWLSCAN2026-10-11 13:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
-25.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.3%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-13 02:17 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $FARM within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 13,236 resolved snapshots · 6,846 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.