Historical analogs

Similar setups to $PUMPCAT

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 2,111 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-11.0%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-84.5%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

33%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-12 04:18 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-11

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 33% (95% CI 20–48%)

Median: -11.0%; CI -19.0% … -2.1%
Trimmed mean: -14.2%; 10% each side
Mean: -14.0%; σ 30.5%
Range: -84.1% … +69.8%

1 above +64.6% (max +69.8%)

p5: -60.6%
p10: -51.7%
p25: -39.0%
p50: -11.0%
p75: +3.3%
p90: +21.2%
p95: +26.8%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-12 04:18 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 71
Price change 1h: -4.2%
Volume acceleration: -52.5%
Liquidity: $99.5K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$GTA2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	82%	-10.7%	-17.7%	+20.3%	— · — · — · 68
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	81%	-38.9%	-41.8%	+93.4%	— · — · — · 68
$OMNI2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	76%	-21.5%	-39.4%	+19.1%	4 · 90 · — · 68
$MADE2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	76%	+2.3%	-9.7%	+14.1%	— · — · — · 68
$GTA2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	76%	-11.4%	-11.4%	+34.0%	— · — · — · 68
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	74%	+25.7%	-62.2%	+25.8%	— · — · — · 66
$OMNI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	73%	-45.8%	-47.9%	+25.1%	3 · 88 · — · 66
$BIOLLM2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	73%	+3.7%	0.0%	+4.5%	— · — · — · 68
$MADE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	71%	-2.1%	-9.6%	+3.9%	— · — · — · 66
$MADE2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	71%	-7.3%	-7.3%	+7.8%	— · — · — · 66
$BIOLLM2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	71%	+4.9%	0.0%	+5.7%	— · — · — · 68
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	71%	-25.9%	-30.3%	+38.2%	3 · 78 · — · 66
$ALTAI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	71%	-84.1%	-84.5%	+15.1%	3 · 56 · — · 66
$MICHI2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	70%	+4.1%	-2.0%	+5.3%	— · — · — · 68
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	69%	-15.8%	-25.3%	+0.8%	— · — · — · 66
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	68%	-16.6%	-24.0%	0.0%	— · — · — · 65
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	68%	-8.9%	-26.8%	+4.3%	— · — · — · 64
$KLN2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	68%	-43.7%	-44.7%	0.0%	— · — · — · 66
$MALFOID2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	68%	+19.5%	-17.8%	+26.5%	— · — · — · 65
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	67%	-51.6%	-62.5%	+24.7%	— · — · — · 65
$GTA2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	67%	-15.7%	-19.1%	+18.2%	— · — · — · 66
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	66%	-50.6%	-60.7%	+30.6%	— · — · — · 66
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	66%	-10.4%	-19.1%	+70.2%	3 · 78 · — · 65
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	66%	-11.5%	-28.9%	+1.0%	— · — · — · 66
$TM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	66%	+69.8%	-13.5%	+127%	3 · 86 · — · 66
$BULLISH2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	66%	+37.8%	-7.6%	+103%	3 · 81 · — · 68
$MICHI2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	66%	+3.1%	-2.0%	+4.8%	— · — · — · 66
$MICHI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	66%	+4.1%	-1.3%	+4.9%	— · — · — · 65
$OMNI2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	66%	-30.0%	-34.8%	+16.8%	4 · 90 · — · 66
$SAFU2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	66%	-12.0%	-68.2%	+32.2%	40 · 73 · — · 68
$MICHI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	65%	-1.5%	-1.5%	+2.6%	— · — · — · 66
$BULLISH2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	65%	+20.7%	-5.2%	+93.4%	41 · 86 · — · 68
$KLN2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	64%	-40.2%	-41.0%	+1.1%	— · — · — · 68
$MADE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	64%	+0.1%	-6.5%	+7.4%	— · — · — · 65
$MALFOID2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	64%	+26.3%	-14.5%	+31.5%	— · — · — · 64
$OMNI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	63%	-52.6%	-57.1%	0.0%	42 · 90 · — · 65
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	63%	-60.2%	-63.4%	+21.7%	— · — · — · 63
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	62%	-39.2%	-45.5%	+81.1%	— · — · — · 68
$MADE2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	62%	-4.7%	-8.6%	+5.0%	— · — · — · 65
$ALTAI2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	62%	-68.5%	-79.3%	+10.3%	3 · 65 · — · 68

$GTA2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-10.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.7%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-38.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.8%
$OMNI2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-21.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-39.4%
$MADE2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+2.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.7%
$GTA2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-11.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.4%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
74%
24h return
+25.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-62.2%
$OMNI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
-45.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-47.9%
$BIOLLM2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
+3.7%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$MADE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-2.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$MADE2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-7.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.3%
$BIOLLM2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
+4.9%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-25.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.3%
$ALTAI2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-84.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-84.5%
$MICHI2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
+4.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.0%
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-15.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.3%
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
-16.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.0%
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
-8.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.8%
$KLN2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
-43.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-44.7%
$MALFOID2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
68%
24h return
+19.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.8%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-51.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-62.5%
$GTA2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-15.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.1%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-50.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-60.7%
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-10.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.1%
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-11.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.9%
$TM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
+69.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.5%
$BULLISH2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
+37.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.6%
$MICHI2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
+3.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.0%
$MICHI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
+4.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.3%
$OMNI2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-30.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.8%
$SAFU2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-12.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-68.2%
$MICHI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-1.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.5%
$BULLISH2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
+20.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.2%
$KLN2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
-40.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.0%
$MADE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
+0.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.5%
$MALFOID2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
64%
24h return
+26.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.5%
$OMNI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-52.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-57.1%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-60.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-63.4%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-39.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-45.5%
$MADE2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-4.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-8.6%
$ALTAI2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
-68.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-79.3%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-12 04:18 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $PUMPCAT within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 9,124 resolved snapshots · 2,111 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.