Historical analogs

Similar setups to $AMETA

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 2,881 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-14.0%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-59.7%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

33%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-12 09:02 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-11

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 33% (95% CI 20–48%)

Median: -14.0%; CI -20.8% … -4.5%
Trimmed mean: -12.1%; 10% each side
Mean: -8.4%; σ 32.9%
Range: -56.9% … +82.2%

p5: -46.4%
p10: -42.8%
p25: -35.2%
p50: -14.0%
p75: +6.0%
p90: +31.3%
p95: +63.5%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-12 09:02 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 39
Price change 1h: 0.0%
Volume acceleration: -100%
Liquidity: $66.6K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	95%	-34.8%	-55.3%	+22.5%	— · — · — · 38
$TM2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	92%	+82.2%	-23.7%	+157%	3 · 86 · — · 39
$PENPE2026-10-11 09:00 UTC	91%	-15.7%	-17.1%	+2.1%	— · — · — · 40
$PENPE2026-10-11 08:00 UTC	90%	-8.5%	-16.9%	+2.3%	— · — · — · 41
$URMOM2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	90%	-14.3%	-26.4%	+27.8%	3 · 79 · — · 38
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	88%	-42.7%	-57.1%	+17.6%	— · — · — · 37
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	87%	-36.9%	-55.6%	+21.9%	— · — · — · 41
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 08:00 UTC	87%	-42.9%	-56.9%	+18.1%	— · — · — · 41
$NASDANQ2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	87%	-17.1%	-21.6%	+4.1%	— · — · — · 40
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	86%	-13.6%	-13.7%	+3.2%	14 · 85 · — · 37
$URMOM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	86%	-25.4%	-33.1%	+16.2%	3 · 80 · — · 40
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	85%	-13.8%	-14.9%	+1.8%	14 · 85 · — · 37
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	84%	-38.8%	-56.6%	+19.1%	— · — · — · 41
$URMOM2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	84%	-20.1%	-28.6%	+24.0%	41 · 79 · — · 41
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 09:00 UTC	84%	-36.4%	-55.4%	+22.2%	— · — · — · 41
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 07:00 UTC	83%	-45.9%	-57.2%	+17.4%	— · — · — · 39
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	83%	+5.9%	-9.0%	+9.1%	— · — · — · 36
$STFY2026-10-11 08:00 UTC	83%	+62.8%	0.0%	+117%	— · — · — · 41
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	83%	-13.1%	-14.9%	+0.9%	12 · 85 · — · 36
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-11 09:00 UTC	82%	+20.9%	-22.0%	+37.3%	— · — · — · 43
$MALFOID2026-10-11 09:00 UTC	82%	+76.9%	-1.2%	+116%	— · — · — · 43
$BORRO2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	82%	-56.6%	-57.2%	+2.1%	— · — · — · 39
$NUDES2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	82%	-0.8%	-5.1%	0.0%	— · — · — · 37
$BEM2026-10-11 07:00 UTC	81%	+23.5%	-1.2%	+54.1%	— · — · — · 39
$NORMIE2026-10-11 09:00 UTC	81%	-4.5%	-53.9%	+30.9%	— · — · — · 43
$AI2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	81%	+4.1%	-2.7%	+11.5%	10 · 42 · — · 40
$BNBO2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	81%	+16.7%	-9.8%	+16.7%	— · — · — · 42
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	81%	-41.1%	-59.7%	+10.4%	— · — · — · 43
$URMOM2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	81%	-18.9%	-27.3%	+26.4%	41 · 82 · — · 40
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	81%	+1.2%	-16.4%	+34.9%	— · — · — · 43
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	81%	+31.2%	-1.9%	+31.6%	— · — · — · 43
$BORRO2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	81%	-56.9%	-56.9%	+7.5%	— · — · — · 36
$NASDANQ2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	81%	-24.7%	-24.7%	0.0%	— · — · — · 37
$CHIIKAWA2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	80%	-11.2%	-11.7%	+30.5%	— · — · — · 42
$AI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	80%	+6.2%	-0.8%	+13.7%	43 · 42 · — · 41
$URMOM2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	80%	-21.4%	-30.0%	+21.7%	3 · 82 · — · 37
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	80%	-14.2%	-15.4%	+0.6%	13 · 83 · — · 36
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	80%	+32.4%	-1.0%	+32.8%	— · — · — · 43
$BUL2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	80%	-39.3%	-41.1%	+13.4%	— · — · — · 43
$FAITH2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	80%	+9.5%	-1.4%	+12.4%	— · — · — · 34

$ORBANCY2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-34.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.3%
$TM2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
92%
24h return
+82.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.7%
$PENPE2026-10-11 09:00 UTC
Similarity
91%
24h return
-15.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.1%
$PENPE2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-8.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.9%
$URMOM2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
90%
24h return
-14.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.4%
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-42.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-57.1%
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
-36.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.6%
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
-42.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-56.9%
$NASDANQ2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
87%
24h return
-17.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.6%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-13.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.7%
$URMOM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-25.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.1%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-13.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.9%
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-38.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-56.6%
$URMOM2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-20.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.6%
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 09:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-36.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.4%
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 07:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-45.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-57.2%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+5.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.0%
$STFY2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+62.8%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-13.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.9%
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-11 09:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
+20.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.0%
$MALFOID2026-10-11 09:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
+76.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.2%
$BORRO2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-56.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-57.2%
$NUDES2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
-0.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.1%
$BEM2026-10-11 07:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
+23.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.2%
$NORMIE2026-10-11 09:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-4.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-53.9%
$AI2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
+4.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.7%
$BNBO2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
+16.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.8%
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-41.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-59.7%
$URMOM2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-18.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.3%
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
+1.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.4%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
+31.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.9%
$BORRO2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-56.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-56.9%
$NASDANQ2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-24.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.7%
$CHIIKAWA2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-11.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.7%
$AI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
+6.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.8%
$URMOM2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-21.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.0%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-14.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.4%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
+32.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.0%
$BUL2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-39.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.1%
$FAITH2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
+9.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.4%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-12 09:02 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $AMETA within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 10,213 resolved snapshots · 2,881 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.