Historical analogs

Similar setups to $1F916

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 809 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-2.0%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-74.4%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

33%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 19:05 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 33% (95% CI 20–48%)

Median: -2.0%; CI -7.2% … -0.5%
Trimmed mean: -3.6%; 10% each side
Mean: -4.9%; σ 25.1%
Range: -72.3% … +67.1%

5 below -24.8% (min -72.3%) · 2 above +28.9% (max +67.1%)

p5: -51.2%
p10: -43.0%
p25: -12.0%
p50: -2.0%
p75: +3.9%
p90: +19.0%
p95: +29.2%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 19:05 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 27
Price change 1h: —
Volume acceleration: +125%
Liquidity: $386.9K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$STRATEGY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	80%	-10.0%	-11.5%	+2.1%	— · — · — · 30
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	71%	-16.6%	-23.7%	0.0%	— · — · — · 28
$GME2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	63%	-7.0%	-7.0%	+3.5%	— · — · — · 26
$ZZZ2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	63%	-1.4%	-1.6%	+10.6%	— · — · — · 31
$ROUTE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	59%	-0.5%	-1.0%	+10.3%	— · — · — · 28
$BUTTHOLE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	57%	+0.6%	-9.8%	+0.6%	— · — · — · 30
$PRIORS2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	57%	+3.8%	-14.2%	+14.2%	5 · 70 · — · 33
$DOT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	56%	+14.0%	-4.3%	+16.7%	— · — · — · 33
$GME2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	54%	-7.3%	-7.3%	+3.1%	— · — · — · 30
$E/ACC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	52%	-0.5%	-9.0%	+11.2%	— · — · — · 31
$SURPLUS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	48%	-6.1%	-7.2%	+3.1%	— · — · — · 32
$BASECAT2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	48%	+28.9%	0.0%	+32.8%	3 · 99 · — · 36
$ROUTE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	46%	+2.9%	0.0%	+14.0%	— · — · — · 33
$RARI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	46%	-4.5%	-20.0%	+46.2%	25 · 82 · — · 32
$DRMR2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	44%	+67.1%	-15.4%	+116%	— · — · — · 29
$BASECAT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	44%	+20.7%	-2.1%	+30.1%	40 · 99 · — · 33
$ROUTE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	43%	+6.4%	0.0%	+18.0%	— · — · — · 33
$ASTEROID2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	42%	-2.5%	-2.5%	+7.9%	— · — · — · 27
$PRIORS2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	42%	-1.2%	-17.8%	+9.3%	5 · 70 · — · 36
$NORMIE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	41%	-8.5%	-18.9%	0.0%	— · — · — · 27
$NUDES2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	39%	-2.2%	-3.0%	+8.1%	— · — · — · 26
$BASECAT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	39%	+36.2%	-0.2%	+38.8%	3 · 99 · — · 36
$OWL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	39%	+7.8%	-22.2%	+32.8%	— · — · — · 32
$GME2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	38%	-4.3%	-4.3%	+6.4%	— · — · — · 27
$BOW2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	37%	-11.3%	-16.6%	+7.3%	— · — · — · 30
$RAXOL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	37%	+4.3%	-9.8%	+10.0%	— · — · — · 33
$BOW2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	36%	-14.7%	-19.5%	0.0%	— · — · — · 27
$NASDANQ2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	35%	-14.7%	-17.3%	+7.6%	— · — · — · 26
$KITTY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	35%	-1.7%	-3.1%	+5.9%	— · — · — · 36
$NORMIE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	35%	-14.1%	-23.8%	0.0%	— · — · — · 30
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	35%	-15.0%	-22.3%	+0.7%	— · — · — · 27
$RAXOL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	34%	-1.4%	-14.8%	+3.9%	— · — · — · 32
$AGENCY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	33%	-42.9%	-44.8%	+0.9%	7 · 78 · — · 36
$ROUTE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	33%	-0.9%	-3.4%	+7.7%	— · — · — · 21
$PULP2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	32%	-72.3%	-74.4%	+1.3%	— · — · — · 33
$AGENCY2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	32%	-44.3%	-49.7%	+5.1%	6 · 83 · — · 33
$AGENCY2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	32%	-50.5%	-52.1%	0.0%	43 · 78 · — · 33
$PRIORS2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	32%	+18.8%	-0.2%	+32.7%	5 · 70 · — · 35
$PULP2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	31%	-65.1%	-67.7%	+7.3%	— · — · — · 28
$DOT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	31%	+15.6%	-2.9%	+18.4%	— · — · — · 29

$STRATEGY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
-10.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.5%
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-16.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.7%
$GME2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-7.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.0%
$ZZZ2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-1.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.6%
$ROUTE2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-0.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.0%
$BUTTHOLE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
+0.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.8%
$PRIORS2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
+3.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.2%
$DOT2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
+14.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.3%
$GME2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-7.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.3%
$E/ACC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
52%
24h return
-0.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.0%
$SURPLUS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
48%
24h return
-6.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.2%
$BASECAT2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
48%
24h return
+28.9%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$ROUTE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
+2.9%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$RARI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
46%
24h return
-4.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.0%
$DRMR2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
44%
24h return
+67.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.4%
$BASECAT2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
44%
24h return
+20.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.1%
$ROUTE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
43%
24h return
+6.4%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$ASTEROID2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
42%
24h return
-2.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.5%
$PRIORS2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
42%
24h return
-1.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.8%
$NORMIE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
41%
24h return
-8.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.9%
$NUDES2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
39%
24h return
-2.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.0%
$BASECAT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
39%
24h return
+36.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.2%
$OWL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
39%
24h return
+7.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.2%
$GME2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
38%
24h return
-4.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.3%
$BOW2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
37%
24h return
-11.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.6%
$RAXOL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
37%
24h return
+4.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.8%
$BOW2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
36%
24h return
-14.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.5%
$NASDANQ2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
35%
24h return
-14.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.3%
$KITTY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
35%
24h return
-1.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.1%
$NORMIE2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
35%
24h return
-14.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.8%
$SCHIFFY2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
35%
24h return
-15.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.3%
$RAXOL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
34%
24h return
-1.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.8%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
33%
24h return
-42.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-44.8%
$ROUTE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
33%
24h return
-0.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.4%
$PULP2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
32%
24h return
-72.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-74.4%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
32%
24h return
-44.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.7%
$AGENCY2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
32%
24h return
-50.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-52.1%
$PRIORS2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
32%
24h return
+18.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-0.2%
$PULP2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
31%
24h return
-65.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-67.7%
$DOT2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
31%
24h return
+15.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-2.9%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 19:05 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $1F916 within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,250 resolved snapshots · 809 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.