Historical analogs

Similar setups to $OTM

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 6,603 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-20.6%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-58.2%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

28%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-13 01:08 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-12

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 28% (95% CI 16–43%)

Median: -20.6%; CI -30.9% … -8.3%
Trimmed mean: -17.2%; 10% each side
Mean: -17.3%; σ 21.3%
Range: -57.1% … +23.5%

p5: -48.5%
p10: -38.4%
p25: -32.7%
p50: -20.6%
p75: +2.2%
p90: +9.5%
p95: +10.9%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-13 01:08 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: —
Price change 1h: +2.0%
Volume acceleration: -91.9%
Liquidity: $65.6K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$FRANK2026-10-11 10:00 UTC	98%	+7.8%	-5.5%	+41.0%	— · — · — · 40
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	97%	-9.9%	-54.0%	+26.2%	— · — · — · 47
$PLUMBER2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	97%	+23.5%	-25.1%	+23.5%	— · — · — · —
$PLUMBER2026-10-12 01:00 UTC	97%	+1.7%	-12.0%	+25.7%	— · — · — · —
$CHIIKAWA2026-10-11 21:00 UTC	96%	-30.0%	-40.1%	+5.7%	— · — · — · 53
$AMETA2026-10-11 23:00 UTC	96%	-8.3%	-14.8%	0.0%	— · — · — · 44
$PULP2026-10-11 23:00 UTC	96%	-36.3%	-42.2%	+1.1%	— · — · — · 25
$ROBBIE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	96%	-13.3%	-23.4%	+0.1%	— · — · — · —
$OMNI2026-10-11 01:00 UTC	96%	-20.5%	-34.3%	+17.6%	4 · 90 · — · 64
$ZEVIO2026-10-11 22:00 UTC	96%	-48.0%	-51.1%	+0.2%	— · — · — · —
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	96%	-36.9%	-55.6%	+21.9%	— · — · — · 41
$KUDO2026-10-12 01:00 UTC	96%	-57.1%	-58.2%	+2.6%	— · — · — · —
$PULP2026-10-11 21:00 UTC	96%	-32.1%	-39.5%	+5.8%	— · — · — · 15
$FAITH2026-10-11 08:00 UTC	96%	-31.1%	-40.7%	+13.2%	— · — · — · 22
$ROBBIE2026-10-12 00:00 UTC	96%	-12.1%	-12.3%	+0.6%	— · — · — · —
$ROBBIE2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	96%	-13.7%	-22.3%	0.0%	— · — · — · —
$PLUMBER2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	95%	+16.1%	-17.5%	+57.3%	— · — · — · —
$OMNI2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	95%	-30.0%	-34.8%	+16.8%	4 · 90 · — · 66
$PULP2026-10-11 22:00 UTC	95%	-31.4%	-40.5%	+4.1%	— · — · — · 21
$FAITH2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	95%	+9.5%	-1.4%	+12.4%	— · — · — · 31
$FAITH2026-10-11 21:00 UTC	95%	-34.3%	-46.2%	+1.0%	— · — · — · 24
$PLUMBER2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	95%	+3.7%	-24.6%	+5.5%	— · — · — · —
$KUDO2026-10-12 00:00 UTC	95%	-56.7%	-56.7%	+2.3%	— · — · — · —
$ROBBIE2026-10-12 01:00 UTC	95%	-20.8%	-22.3%	+0.5%	— · — · — · —
$FAITH2026-10-11 20:00 UTC	95%	-36.5%	-46.2%	+1.0%	— · — · — · 24
$FAITH2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	95%	+9.5%	-1.4%	+12.4%	— · — · — · 28
$FAITH2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	95%	+9.5%	-1.4%	+12.4%	— · — · — · 31
$FAITH2026-10-10 22:00 UTC	95%	+9.5%	-1.4%	+12.4%	— · — · — · 34
$FAITH2026-10-10 23:00 UTC	95%	+9.5%	-1.4%	+12.4%	— · — · — · 33
$FAITH2026-10-11 00:00 UTC	95%	+10.6%	-1.4%	+12.4%	— · — · — · 29
$FAITH2026-10-11 14:00 UTC	95%	-38.3%	-46.1%	+1.1%	— · — · — · 23
$FAITH2026-10-11 07:00 UTC	95%	-39.5%	-40.7%	+13.2%	— · — · — · 29
$FAITH2026-10-11 09:00 UTC	95%	-30.7%	-40.7%	+13.2%	— · — · — · 20
$FAITH2026-10-11 10:00 UTC	95%	-29.8%	-40.7%	+13.2%	— · — · — · 23
$FAITH2026-10-11 11:00 UTC	95%	-29.6%	-40.7%	+13.2%	— · — · — · 23
$FAITH2026-10-11 23:00 UTC	95%	-35.0%	-46.7%	0.0%	— · — · — · 25
$AMETA2026-10-12 00:00 UTC	95%	-8.3%	-14.8%	0.0%	— · — · — · 40
$FAITH2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	95%	-1.6%	-1.6%	+13.6%	— · — · — · 34
$FAITH2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	95%	-1.6%	-1.6%	+13.6%	— · — · — · 29
$FAITH2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	95%	-31.2%	-31.2%	+13.6%	— · — · — · 30

$FRANK2026-10-11 10:00 UTC
Similarity
98%
24h return
+7.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.5%
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
97%
24h return
-9.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-54.0%
$PLUMBER2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
97%
24h return
+23.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.1%
$PLUMBER2026-10-12 01:00 UTC
Similarity
97%
24h return
+1.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.0%
$CHIIKAWA2026-10-11 21:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-30.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.1%
$AMETA2026-10-11 23:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-8.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.8%
$PULP2026-10-11 23:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-36.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-42.2%
$ROBBIE2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-13.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.4%
$OMNI2026-10-11 01:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-20.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.3%
$ZEVIO2026-10-11 22:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-48.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-51.1%
$ORBANCY2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-36.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.6%
$KUDO2026-10-12 01:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-57.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-58.2%
$PULP2026-10-11 21:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-32.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-39.5%
$FAITH2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-31.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.7%
$ROBBIE2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-12.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.3%
$ROBBIE2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
96%
24h return
-13.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.3%
$PLUMBER2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
+16.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.5%
$OMNI2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-30.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.8%
$PULP2026-10-11 22:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-31.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.5%
$FAITH2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
+9.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.4%
$FAITH2026-10-11 21:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-34.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.2%
$PLUMBER2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
+3.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.6%
$KUDO2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-56.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-56.7%
$ROBBIE2026-10-12 01:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-20.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-22.3%
$FAITH2026-10-11 20:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-36.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.2%
$FAITH2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
+9.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.4%
$FAITH2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
+9.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.4%
$FAITH2026-10-10 22:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
+9.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.4%
$FAITH2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
+9.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.4%
$FAITH2026-10-11 00:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
+10.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.4%
$FAITH2026-10-11 14:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-38.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.1%
$FAITH2026-10-11 07:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-39.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.7%
$FAITH2026-10-11 09:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-30.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.7%
$FAITH2026-10-11 10:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-29.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.7%
$FAITH2026-10-11 11:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-29.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-40.7%
$FAITH2026-10-11 23:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-35.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.7%
$AMETA2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-8.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.8%
$FAITH2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-1.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.6%
$FAITH2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-1.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.6%
$FAITH2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
95%
24h return
-31.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-31.2%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-13 01:08 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $OTM within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 12,990 resolved snapshots · 6,603 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.