Historical analogs

Similar setups to $ROBINCAT

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 4,728 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-20.1%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-94.9%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

33%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-13 01:10 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-12

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 33% (95% CI 20–48%)

Median: -20.1%; CI -30.5% … -3.9%
Trimmed mean: -14.5%; 10% each side
Mean: -12.4%; σ 34.4%
Range: -94.8% … +76.3%

p5: -52.7%
p10: -43.4%
p25: -36.7%
p50: -20.1%
p75: +12.4%
p90: +25.4%
p95: +43.9%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-13 01:10 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: 69
Price change 1h: +1.9%
Volume acceleration: -28.5%
Liquidity: $70.9K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 4 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	88%	-36.4%	-41.5%	+94.4%	— · — · — · 67
$SI2026-10-12 01:00 UTC	88%	-43.1%	-49.0%	+3.3%	— · — · — · 72
$OMNI2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	86%	-19.3%	-42.2%	+13.5%	4 · 90 · — · 67
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 06:00 UTC	85%	-30.9%	-34.9%	+116%	— · — · — · 67
$OMNI2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	85%	-21.5%	-39.4%	+19.1%	4 · 90 · — · 68
$OMNI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	84%	-45.8%	-47.9%	+25.1%	3 · 88 · — · 66
$OMNI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	84%	-52.6%	-57.1%	0.0%	42 · 90 · — · 65
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 03:00 UTC	84%	-39.2%	-45.5%	+81.1%	— · — · — · 68
$NORMIE2026-10-11 20:00 UTC	84%	-0.4%	-48.5%	+88.7%	— · — · — · 72
$SLOPCANNON2026-10-11 20:00 UTC	84%	-36.2%	-36.2%	+46.7%	— · — · — · 72
$API2026-10-11 08:00 UTC	83%	-37.6%	-57.5%	0.0%	— · — · — · 65
$SLOPCANNON2026-10-11 21:00 UTC	83%	-22.4%	-32.6%	+54.8%	— · — · — · 73
$BULLISH2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	83%	+20.7%	-5.2%	+93.4%	41 · 86 · — · 68
$API2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	83%	-27.1%	-53.0%	+35.1%	— · — · — · 67
$SI2026-10-11 22:00 UTC	83%	-42.3%	-60.8%	0.0%	— · — · — · 73
$MALFOID2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	83%	+17.5%	-20.5%	+22.4%	— · — · — · 66
$BULLISH2026-10-10 21:00 UTC	81%	+76.3%	-18.0%	+185%	— · — · — · 66
$OMNI2026-10-11 07:00 UTC	81%	-10.2%	-29.4%	+38.6%	4 · 90 · — · 65
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 08:00 UTC	81%	-36.4%	-36.4%	+158%	— · — · — · 65
$TM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	81%	+69.8%	-13.5%	+127%	3 · 86 · — · 66
$API2026-10-12 01:00 UTC	80%	+10.1%	-19.9%	+82.9%	— · — · — · 72
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-11 23:00 UTC	80%	+15.4%	0.0%	+30.3%	— · — · — · 73
$SLOPCORE2026-10-11 20:00 UTC	79%	-54.8%	-58.4%	+6.6%	— · — · — · 72
$SLOPCORE2026-10-11 06:00 UTC	79%	+11.4%	-4.7%	+112%	— · — · — · 67
$NORMIE2026-10-12 01:00 UTC	79%	+17.8%	-27.2%	+141%	— · — · — · 72
$SLOPCANNON2026-10-12 00:00 UTC	79%	+3.7%	-39.6%	+64.8%	— · — · — · 74
$BULLISH2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	79%	+25.3%	0.0%	+98.0%	3 · 86 · — · 67
$MALFOID2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	78%	+19.5%	-17.8%	+26.5%	— · — · — · 65
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	78%	-38.9%	-41.8%	+93.4%	— · — · — · 68
$OMNI2026-10-11 04:00 UTC	78%	-29.2%	-44.3%	+9.4%	4 · 90 · — · 68
$SLOPCORE2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	78%	-4.9%	-17.5%	+83.9%	— · — · — · 67
$API2026-10-11 06:00 UTC	78%	-20.9%	-45.6%	+56.5%	— · — · — · 67
$OMNI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	77%	-42.8%	-55.7%	+6.2%	3 · 88 · — · 65
$ALTAI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	77%	-94.8%	-94.9%	+7.3%	— · — · — · 65
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	77%	-11.5%	-28.9%	+1.0%	— · — · — · 66
$GTA2026-10-11 05:00 UTC	77%	-14.8%	-19.2%	+24.0%	— · — · — · 67
$NORMIE2026-10-11 23:00 UTC	77%	+42.5%	0.0%	+250%	— · — · — · 73
$BULLISH2026-10-11 22:00 UTC	77%	-9.7%	-51.5%	+31.7%	10 · 73 · — · 68
$OMNI2026-10-11 02:00 UTC	76%	-30.0%	-34.8%	+16.8%	4 · 90 · — · 66
$MALFOID2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	76%	+26.3%	-14.5%	+31.5%	— · — · — · 64

$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-36.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.5%
$SI2026-10-12 01:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
-43.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.0%
$OMNI2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
86%
24h return
-19.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-42.2%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-30.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.9%
$OMNI2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
85%
24h return
-21.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-39.4%
$OMNI2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-45.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-47.9%
$OMNI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-52.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-57.1%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-39.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-45.5%
$NORMIE2026-10-11 20:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-0.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.5%
$SLOPCANNON2026-10-11 20:00 UTC
Similarity
84%
24h return
-36.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-36.2%
$API2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-37.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-57.5%
$SLOPCANNON2026-10-11 21:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-22.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-32.6%
$BULLISH2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+20.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-5.2%
$API2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-27.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-53.0%
$SI2026-10-11 22:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
-42.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-60.8%
$MALFOID2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+17.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.5%
$BULLISH2026-10-10 21:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
+76.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.0%
$OMNI2026-10-11 07:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-10.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-29.4%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-36.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-36.4%
$TM2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
+69.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.5%
$API2026-10-12 01:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
+10.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.9%
$MAMAOCITA2026-10-11 23:00 UTC
Similarity
80%
24h return
+15.4%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$SLOPCORE2026-10-11 20:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-54.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-58.4%
$SLOPCORE2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
+11.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.7%
$NORMIE2026-10-12 01:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
+17.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-27.2%
$SLOPCANNON2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
+3.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-39.6%
$BULLISH2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
+25.3%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$MALFOID2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
+19.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.8%
$TWEETCRAFT2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-38.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-41.8%
$OMNI2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-29.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-44.3%
$SLOPCORE2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-4.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.5%
$API2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-20.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-45.6%
$OMNI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-42.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-55.7%
$ALTAI2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-94.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-94.9%
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-11.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.9%
$GTA2026-10-11 05:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.2%
$NORMIE2026-10-11 23:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
+42.5%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$BULLISH2026-10-11 22:00 UTC
Similarity
77%
24h return
-9.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-51.5%
$OMNI2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-30.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.8%
$MALFOID2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+26.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.5%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-13 01:10 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $ROBINCAT within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 12,990 resolved snapshots · 4,728 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.