Historical analogs

Similar setups to $GRIFT

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 1,362 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-6.5%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-77.1%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

45%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 20:19 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 45% (95% CI 31–60%)

Median: -6.5%; CI -18.7% … +11.8%
Trimmed mean: -5.9%; 10% each side
Mean: -2.9%; σ 43.3%
Range: -72.3% … +124%

2 above +84.8% (max +124%)

p5: -65.2%
p10: -57.2%
p25: -27.3%
p50: -6.5%
p75: +18.2%
p90: +39.6%
p95: +59.1%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 20:19 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: —
Crowding: —
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: —
Price change 1h: -16.4%
Volume acceleration: +84.9%
Liquidity: $86.9K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$HYDX2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	89%	+22.7%	-16.9%	+41.2%	— · — · — · —
$BINF2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	88%	+38.3%	0.0%	+82.6%	— · — · — · 46
$DRMR2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	83%	+124%	0.0%	+190%	— · — · — · 33
$CHIIKAWA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	82%	+35.0%	0.0%	+61.6%	— · — · — · 46
$STONKINU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	81%	-31.0%	-48.1%	+12.6%	7 · 78 · — · 38
$BINF2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	76%	+31.8%	-4.7%	+74.1%	3 · 81 · — · 43
$BUL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	72%	-20.4%	-36.3%	+16.1%	— · — · — · 53
$NASDANQ2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	71%	-14.7%	-17.3%	+7.6%	— · — · — · 26
$POLLY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	69%	-15.8%	-15.8%	+13.1%	— · — · — · —
$ZEAL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	67%	+11.8%	-4.5%	+23.9%	— · — · — · —
$HIGGS2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	67%	-22.0%	-24.5%	+8.9%	— · — · — · —
$BUL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	66%	+13.1%	-9.6%	+64.9%	— · — · — · 56
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	66%	-9.0%	-11.1%	+4.3%	— · — · — · 65
$MALFOID2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	66%	+15.9%	-21.5%	+20.8%	— · — · — · 56
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	66%	+13.7%	-9.9%	+17.6%	— · — · — · 45
$BULLISH2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	65%	+110%	-21.3%	+204%	— · — · — · 65
$BUL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	65%	-8.2%	-26.6%	+33.9%	— · — · — · 54
$AF2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	63%	-22.2%	-33.0%	+24.0%	— · — · — · 32
$HIGGS2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	60%	-4.8%	-7.9%	+29.9%	— · — · — · —
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	59%	-51.2%	-57.7%	+16.1%	— · — · — · 52
$TM2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	58%	-56.3%	-69.5%	+116%	— · — · — · 57
$ALTAI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	57%	-67.0%	-70.8%	+21.6%	33 · 56 · — · 65
$PULP2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	57%	-65.0%	-65.7%	+6.4%	3 · 99 · — · 36
$SNDK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	57%	+8.4%	-17.2%	+23.7%	— · — · — · 44
$PULP2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	56%	-72.3%	-74.4%	+1.3%	— · — · — · 33
$PULP2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	55%	-65.1%	-67.7%	+7.3%	— · — · — · 28
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	54%	-26.1%	-26.5%	+54.6%	3 · 78 · — · 65
$OWL2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	53%	+19.1%	-12.9%	+48.7%	— · — · — · 34
$MINTFOLIO2026-10-10 19:00 UTC	53%	+51.5%	-12.5%	+59.2%	6 · 84 · — · —
$CZ2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	53%	+2.8%	-39.0%	+39.5%	— · — · — · —
$BORRO2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	52%	-45.8%	-45.8%	+45.8%	— · — · — · —
$ALLINU2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	52%	+24.6%	-1.5%	+35.0%	39 · 81 · — · 56
$STOCKER2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	51%	-17.1%	-24.1%	+8.8%	— · — · — · —
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	51%	+0.1%	-6.1%	+13.5%	2 · 78 · — · 64
$OMNI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	51%	-48.0%	-50.0%	+20.1%	3 · 88 · — · 64
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	50%	-4.7%	-4.9%	+8.8%	44 · 87 · — · 45
$TM2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	48%	-37.8%	-77.1%	0.0%	3 · 86 · — · 56
$DRMR2026-10-10 20:00 UTC	48%	+56.5%	-12.8%	+123%	— · — · — · 34
$NORMIE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC	47%	-8.5%	-18.9%	0.0%	— · — · — · 27
$SNDK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC	45%	+17.9%	-9.9%	+34.6%	— · — · — · 46

$HYDX2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
89%
24h return
+22.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.9%
$BINF2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
88%
24h return
+38.3%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$DRMR2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
83%
24h return
+124%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$CHIIKAWA2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
82%
24h return
+35.0%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
81%
24h return
-31.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.1%
$BINF2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
+31.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.7%
$BUL2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
-20.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-36.3%
$NASDANQ2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-14.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.3%
$POLLY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
69%
24h return
-15.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.8%
$ZEAL2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
+11.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.5%
$HIGGS2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-22.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.5%
$BUL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
+13.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.6%
$BIKETYSON2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
-9.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.1%
$MALFOID2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
+15.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.5%
$KNIGHTCAT2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
66%
24h return
+13.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.9%
$BULLISH2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
+110%
Max drawdown 24h
-21.3%
$BUL2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-8.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.6%
$AF2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
63%
24h return
-22.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-33.0%
$HIGGS2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
60%
24h return
-4.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-7.9%
$ORBANCY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
59%
24h return
-51.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-57.7%
$TM2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
58%
24h return
-56.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-69.5%
$ALTAI2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-67.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-70.8%
$PULP2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-65.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-65.7%
$SNDK2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
+8.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-17.2%
$PULP2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-72.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-74.4%
$PULP2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
-65.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-67.7%
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-26.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-26.5%
$OWL2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
+19.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.9%
$MINTFOLIO2026-10-10 19:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
+51.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.5%
$CZ2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
+2.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-39.0%
$BORRO2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
52%
24h return
-45.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-45.8%
$ALLINU2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
52%
24h return
+24.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.5%
$STOCKER2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
51%
24h return
-17.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-24.1%
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
51%
24h return
+0.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-6.1%
$OMNI2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
51%
24h return
-48.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-50.0%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
50%
24h return
-4.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.9%
$TM2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
48%
24h return
-37.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-77.1%
$DRMR2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Similarity
48%
24h return
+56.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.8%
$NORMIE2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Similarity
47%
24h return
-8.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.9%
$SNDK2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Similarity
45%
24h return
+17.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.9%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 20:19 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $GRIFT within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 7,452 resolved snapshots · 1,362 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.