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Historical analogs

Similar setups to $ZZZ

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live
Similar setups
8
of 809 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
+3.6%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-77.2%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
63%
N = 8
ConfidenceConfidence: LOW8 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 19:05 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 8 · Positive after 24h 63% (95% CI 31–86%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
+3.6%
CI -2.9% … +21.4%
Trimmed mean
+2.9%
10% each side
Mean
+2.9%
σ 38.1%
Range
-75.3% … +62.6%
24h return after similar setups histogram8 samples in 5 bins from -75.3% to +62.6%. Tail bins: 1 below -27.5%.median-75.3%+62.6%0%-27.5%-20%+20%+40%
24h return after similar setups box plotMedian +3.6%, interquartile range -1.9% to +14.2%, whiskers -2.9% to +21.4%, 2 outliers (min -75.3%, max +62.6%).-2.9%+21.4%+3.6%

1 below -8.3% (min -75.3%) · 1 above +26.7% (max +62.6%)

p5
-50.0%
p10
-24.7%
p25
-1.9%
p50
+3.6%
p75
+14.2%
p90
+33.7%
p95
+48.2%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 19:05 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum
—
Crowding
—
Early Quality
—
Narrative Velocity
27
Price change 1h
—
Volume acceleration
+479%
Liquidity
$285.0K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

  • $RAXOL2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
    Similarity
    76%
    24h return
    +6.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.5%
  • $KNOTS2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    61%
    24h return
    +21.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -3.5%
  • $PCC2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    25%
    24h return
    -2.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -9.2%
  • $ZEVIO2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
    Similarity
    14%
    24h return
    +62.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -46.6%
  • $PULP2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    9%
    24h return
    -75.3%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -77.2%
  • $牛来2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
    Similarity
    7%
    24h return
    -1.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -2.3%
  • $SC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    7%
    24h return
    +1.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -0.4%
  • $KNOTS2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
    Similarity
    1%
    24h return
    +11.8%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -11.1%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

  • Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
  • Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 19:05 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $ZZZ within ±24h are excluded.
  • Considered 7,250 resolved snapshots · 809 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
  • Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.