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Historical analogs

Similar setups to $CYBERLEEK

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live
Similar setups
11
of 150 eligible snapshots
Median 24h
+0.7%
follow-through after the setup
Worst 24h drawdown
-52.1%
deepest intraday fall
Positive after 24h
64%
N = 11
ConfidenceConfidence: MEDIUM11 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 14:56 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 11 · Positive after 24h 64% (95% CI 35–85%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
+0.7%
CI -25.4% … +11.2%
Trimmed mean
-3.5%
10% each side
Mean
-4.1%
σ 26.2%
Range
-50.5% … +36.6%
24h return after similar setups histogram11 samples in 5 bins from -50.5% to +36.6%.median-50.5%+36.6%0%-40%-20%+20%
24h return after similar setups box plotMedian +0.7%, interquartile range -16.2% to +10.5%, whiskers -50.5% to +36.6%, 0 outliers (min -50.5%, max +36.6%).-50.5%+36.6%+0.7%
p5
-47.2%
p10
-43.9%
p25
-16.2%
p50
+0.7%
p75
+10.5%
p90
+17.7%
p95
+27.2%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 14:57 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum
44
Crowding
74
Early Quality
—
Narrative Velocity
—
Price change 1h
+1.1%
Volume acceleration
-67.1%
Liquidity
$1.33M

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 5 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

  • $BATON2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
    Similarity
    62%
    24h return
    +9.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -15.0%
  • $INU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
    Similarity
    47%
    24h return
    -25.4%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -27.4%
  • $SI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    26%
    24h return
    +36.6%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -0.5%
  • $AGENCY2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
    Similarity
    26%
    24h return
    -43.9%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -43.9%
  • $STONK2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
    Similarity
    23%
    24h return
    +0.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.0%
  • $AGENCY2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
    Similarity
    22%
    24h return
    -50.5%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -52.1%
  • $JEANPHIL2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
    Similarity
    17%
    24h return
    +0.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -14.3%
  • $STONK2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
    Similarity
    17%
    24h return
    +5.1%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -1.5%
  • $SAPLING2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
    Similarity
    15%
    24h return
    +11.2%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -6.7%
  • $ORBIO2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
    Similarity
    11%
    24h return
    -7.0%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -7.1%
  • $BASECAT2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
    Similarity
    11%
    24h return
    +17.7%
    Max drawdown 24h
    -2.4%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

  • Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
  • Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 14:57 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $CYBERLEEK within ±24h are excluded.
  • Considered 6,261 resolved snapshots · 150 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
  • Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.