Historical analogs

Similar setups to $MINTFOLIO

Past moments, on any token in this dataset, whose scores and market context looked most like this token's latest snapshot — and what happened in the 24 hours after. Statistical context, not a promise.

Live

Similar setups

of 253 eligible snapshots

Median 24h

-9.0%

follow-through after the setup

Worst 24h drawdown

-77.1%

deepest intraday fall

Positive after 24h

28%

N = 40

ConfidenceHIGH40 similar setups · 24h outcomes resolved before 2026-10-11 16:40 UTC · 2026-10-10 → 2026-10-10

24h return after similar setups

N = 40 · Positive after 24h 28% (95% CI 16–43%)

Median: -9.0%; CI -14.2% … -4.4%
Trimmed mean: -9.5%; 10% each side
Mean: -9.6%; σ 20.3%
Range: -49.5% … +31.8%

p5: -38.4%
p10: -34.8%
p25: -25.7%
p50: -9.0%
p75: +10.2%
p90: +15.9%
p95: +21.0%

This setup now

Snapshot 2026-10-11 16:40 UTC — the vector being matched

Momentum: 3
Crowding: 73
Early Quality: —
Narrative Velocity: —
Price change 1h: —
Volume acceleration: —
Liquidity: $90.7K

Features that are missing right now (for example no market data) are left out of the distance rather than guessed; 3 of 7 features were comparable.

Matched historical setups

Setup	Similarity	24h return	Max drawdown 24h	Max return 24h	Mom · Crowd · EQ · Narr
$URMOM2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	93%	+12.1%	-10.4%	+19.9%	3 · 71 · — · 48
$URMOM2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	93%	+10.4%	-11.3%	+18.6%	3 · 71 · — · 46
$URMOM2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	93%	-24.6%	-32.3%	+17.5%	3 · 71 · — · 46
$URMOM2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	93%	-19.3%	-29.9%	+21.8%	3 · 71 · — · 44
$URMOM2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	93%	+10.6%	-9.2%	+21.4%	3 · 71 · — · 48
$STONKINU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	79%	-34.7%	-50.4%	+2.9%	7 · 78 · — · 41
$RARI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	79%	+14.8%	0.0%	+63.4%	2 · 78 · — · 42
$STONKINU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	78%	-31.0%	-48.1%	+12.6%	7 · 78 · — · 38
$STONKINU2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	78%	-49.5%	-51.1%	+3.3%	7 · 78 · — · 38
$STONKINU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	78%	-34.8%	-46.4%	+13.4%	7 · 78 · — · 41
$STONKINU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC	78%	-49.4%	-52.0%	+7.9%	7 · 68 · — · 45
$URMOM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	76%	-28.9%	-36.3%	+10.7%	3 · 80 · — · 43
$RARI2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	76%	-12.5%	-25.4%	+19.2%	2 · 78 · — · 42
$RARI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	76%	-9.8%	-25.2%	+19.5%	2 · 78 · — · 40
$RARI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	76%	-7.4%	-20.9%	+26.4%	2 · 78 · — · 40
$RARI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	76%	-8.1%	-18.2%	+30.7%	2 · 78 · — · 37
$BINF2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	73%	+16.2%	-16.0%	+53.5%	3 · 81 · — · 36
$BINF2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	72%	+31.8%	-4.7%	+74.1%	3 · 81 · — · 43
$STONKINU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	71%	-33.5%	-49.4%	+4.9%	6 · 81 · — · 48
$招财猫2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	70%	-2.8%	-3.3%	+0.4%	4 · 70 · — · 43
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	67%	-26.1%	-30.6%	+37.8%	3 · 78 · — · 63
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	65%	-31.2%	-35.3%	+28.3%	3 · 78 · — · 56
$RARI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	65%	-5.7%	-12.7%	+39.6%	3 · 82 · — · 37
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	62%	+23.3%	-14.3%	+45.2%	3 · 62 · — · 43
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	61%	+15.9%	-19.4%	+36.5%	3 · 62 · — · 36
$UDR2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	57%	-7.8%	-10.3%	+2.2%	8 · 83 · — · 36
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	56%	-13.9%	-19.3%	0.0%	2 · 78 · — · 63
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	56%	-14.3%	-19.6%	+4.8%	2 · 78 · — · 56
$BORDR2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	56%	-5.3%	-23.9%	+46.2%	8 · 64 · — · —
$PQC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	56%	-25.5%	-47.2%	+33.7%	8 · 61 · — · 61
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	55%	-12.5%	-14.3%	0.0%	11 · 84 · — · 43
$TM2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	54%	-37.8%	-77.1%	0.0%	3 · 86 · — · 56
$MINTFOLIO2026-10-10 16:00 UTC	54%	+20.9%	-28.3%	+26.4%	7 · 86 · — · —
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	53%	-14.2%	-15.4%	+0.6%	13 · 83 · — · 36
$TM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC	53%	-5.9%	-63.4%	+25.9%	3 · 86 · — · 56
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	51%	-12.0%	-13.6%	+3.3%	13 · 84 · — · 33
$MINTFOLIO2026-10-10 11:00 UTC	50%	-3.0%	-35.3%	+14.0%	8 · 87 · — · —
$MINTFOLIO2026-10-10 12:00 UTC	50%	-2.8%	-34.5%	+15.5%	8 · 87 · — · —
$MINTFOLIO2026-10-10 13:00 UTC	50%	+10.2%	-29.4%	+24.4%	8 · 87 · — · —
$MINTFOLIO2026-10-10 14:00 UTC	50%	+14.6%	-28.6%	+25.9%	8 · 87 · — · —

$URMOM2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
+12.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.4%
$URMOM2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
+10.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-11.3%
$URMOM2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
-24.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-32.3%
$URMOM2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
-19.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-29.9%
$URMOM2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
93%
24h return
+10.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-9.2%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
-34.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-50.4%
$RARI2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
79%
24h return
+14.8%
Max drawdown 24h
0.0%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-31.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-48.1%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-49.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-51.1%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-34.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-46.4%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 10:00 UTC
Similarity
78%
24h return
-49.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-52.0%
$URMOM2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-28.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-36.3%
$RARI2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-12.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.4%
$RARI2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-9.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-25.2%
$RARI2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-7.4%
Max drawdown 24h
-20.9%
$RARI2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
76%
24h return
-8.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-18.2%
$BINF2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
73%
24h return
+16.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-16.0%
$BINF2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
72%
24h return
+31.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-4.7%
$STONKINU2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
71%
24h return
-33.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-49.4%
$招财猫2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
70%
24h return
-2.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-3.3%
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
67%
24h return
-26.1%
Max drawdown 24h
-30.6%
$HEEHAW2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-31.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.3%
$RARI2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
65%
24h return
-5.7%
Max drawdown 24h
-12.7%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
62%
24h return
+23.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.3%
$BAGSPAY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
61%
24h return
+15.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.4%
$UDR2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
57%
24h return
-7.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-10.3%
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-13.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.3%
$B-MONEY2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-14.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-19.6%
$BORDR2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-5.3%
Max drawdown 24h
-23.9%
$PQC2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
56%
24h return
-25.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-47.2%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
55%
24h return
-12.5%
Max drawdown 24h
-14.3%
$TM2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
-37.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-77.1%
$MINTFOLIO2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Similarity
54%
24h return
+20.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.3%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-14.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-15.4%
$TM2026-10-10 15:00 UTC
Similarity
53%
24h return
-5.9%
Max drawdown 24h
-63.4%
$PUMPOWEEN2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
51%
24h return
-12.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-13.6%
$MINTFOLIO2026-10-10 11:00 UTC
Similarity
50%
24h return
-3.0%
Max drawdown 24h
-35.3%
$MINTFOLIO2026-10-10 12:00 UTC
Similarity
50%
24h return
-2.8%
Max drawdown 24h
-34.5%
$MINTFOLIO2026-10-10 13:00 UTC
Similarity
50%
24h return
+10.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-29.4%
$MINTFOLIO2026-10-10 14:00 UTC
Similarity
50%
24h return
+14.6%
Max drawdown 24h
-28.6%

Method & point-in-time rules

analog-v1.0

Distance: Euclidean over z-scored features (Momentum, Crowding, Early Quality, Narrative Velocity, Price change 1h, Volume acceleration, Liquidity), z-scored across the eligible candidate set; nearest 40 within a distance of 2.5. Similarity = 1 − distance / 2.5.
Candidates are hourly score snapshots whose 24h outcome had resolved strictly before this snapshot (2026-10-11 16:40 UTC): nothing that happened afterwards is used. Snapshots of $MINTFOLIO within ±24h are excluded.
Considered 6,649 resolved snapshots · 253 had every comparable feature · 0 excluded as the same token nearby · 0 rejected as not yet resolved.
Dead tokens stay in the candidate set, so outcomes include collapses (survivorship-safe). Returns are measured from the first price at or after each snapshot.

FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.