Narrative breakout on $HAMSTER
The token's narrative is spreading faster than its usual pace.
- Fired
- 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC · 2d ago
- Ended
- 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC
- Rule
- narrative_breakout@1.0
- Strength
- 0.64
Why it fired
Neutral facts at fire time
- narrative velocity 96 (Meme)
- Meme theses +313% in 24h
- 3 theses on this token in the last hour
- 65 other tokens in the narrative active
Scores and features as of 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC (features-v1.0) — only data available at that time.
Conditions
Each threshold of the versioned rule vs the actual value when it fired
- Narrative Velocity
- Threshold
- > 82
- Actual at fire
- 96
- Passed
- yes
- Narrative growth 24h
- Threshold
- > +100%
- Actual at fire
- +313%
- Passed
- yes
- Theses 1h
- Threshold
- >= 3
- Actual at fire
- 3
- Passed
- yes
Historical analogs
Earlier firings of narrative_breakout@1.0 on any token in this dataset whose 24h outcome had resolved before this one fired. Statistical context, not a promise.
24h return after earlier firings
N = 7 · Positive after 24h 71% (95% CI 36–92%)
- Median
- +3.9%
- CI -0.8% … +14.9%
- Trimmed mean
- +6.9%
- 10% each side
- Mean
- +6.9%
- σ 9.0%
- Range
- -4.6% … +21.1%
- p5
- -3.4%
- p10
- -2.3%
- p25
- +1.6%
- p50
- +3.9%
- p75
- +12.4%
- p90
- +17.3%
- p95
- +19.2%
This firing, 24h later
Resolved outcome (measured from the first price at or after the firing)
Previous firings on $HAMSTER
Same rule, same token, before this firing
This is the first time narrative breakout fired on $HAMSTER in this dataset.
Rule narrative_breakout@1.0
Narrative breakout
The token's narrative is spreading faster than its usual pace. Fires when Narrative Velocity > 82 AND Narrative growth 24h > 1 AND Theses 1h ≥ 3.
Inputs
- Narrative Velocity — Narrative Velocity > 82.
- Narrative growth 24h — Narrative growth 24h > 1.
- Theses 1h — Theses 1h ≥ 3.
Limitations
- Fomo activity is a sample of social attention; a signal describes what the network is doing, not what price will do.
- Signals are statistical context, not a promise — historical analog statistics are attached at fire time with their sample size.
- Narratives come from keyword classification of thesis text; every token of a narrative shares the narrative-level inputs, so the token itself must have at least 3 theses in the hour.
Fires or does not fire. Strength 0–1 = average margin beyond each threshold (0 = just passing, 1 = far beyond). A signal inherits the confidence of the scores it reads (shown on each score). At fire time it carries historical analog statistics — earlier firings of the same rule whose 24h outcome had resolved — with N, median 24h return, worst 24h drawdown and a confidence level (N < 10 LOW, < 30 MEDIUM, else HIGH).
All signal definitionsFomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.