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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 1h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 1h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

All signals
Broad attentionEnded Live

Broad attention on $CATE

Many independent authors are posting; attention is not concentrated in a few accounts.

Fired
2026-10-10 12:30 UTC · 1d ago
Ended
2026-10-10 13:30 UTC
Rule
broad_attention@1.0
Strength
0.18

Why it fired

Neutral facts at fire time

  • 80 unique authors in 24h
  • crowding low (17)
  • momentum 74
MOM
74
CONV
58
CROWD
17
EQ
—
NARR
37
DIV
+4
COHORT
—

Scores and features as of 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC (features-v1.0) — only data available at that time.

Conditions

Each threshold of the versioned rule vs the actual value when it fired

  • Unique authors 24h
    Threshold
    >= 80
    Actual at fire
    80
    Passed
    yes
  • Crowding
    Threshold
    < 22
    Actual at fire
    17
    Passed
    yes
  • Momentum
    Threshold
    > 70
    Actual at fire
    74
    Passed
    yes

Historical analogs

Earlier firings of broad_attention@1.0 on any token in this dataset whose 24h outcome had resolved before this one fired. Statistical context, not a promise.

Historical analogs
2
earlier firings, resolved
Median 24h follow-through
-3.2%
95% CI -4.8% … -1.7%
Worst 24h drawdown
-6.9%
deepest fall within 24h
Positive after 24h
0%
N = 2
ConfidenceConfidence: LOW2 previous firings with 24h outcomes resolved before this one · 2026-10-09 → 2026-10-09

24h return after earlier firings

N = 2 · Positive after 24h 0% (95% CI 0–66%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
-3.2%
CI -4.8% … -1.7%
Trimmed mean
-3.2%
10% each side
Mean
-3.2%
σ 2.2%
Range
-4.8% … -1.7%
24h return after earlier firings histogram2 samples in 3 bins from -4.8% to -1.7%.median-4.8%-1.7%-4%-3%-2%
24h return after earlier firings box plotMedian -3.2%, interquartile range -4.0% to -2.4%, whiskers -4.8% to -1.7%, 0 outliers (min -4.8%, max -1.7%).-4.8%-1.7%-3.2%
p5
-4.6%
p10
-4.5%
p25
-4.0%
p50
-3.2%
p75
-2.4%
p90
-2.0%
p95
-1.8%

This firing, 24h later

Resolved outcome (measured from the first price at or after the firing)

1h
+0.1%
24h
-0.5%
Max return 24h
+7.2%
Max drawdown 24h
-1.7%

Previous firings on $CATE

Same rule, same token, before this firing

  • 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC
    Ended
    2026-10-09 23:30
    24h after
    -2.5%
  • 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC
    Ended
    2026-10-09 18:30
    24h after
    -8.4%
  • 2026-10-09 12:30 UTC
    Ended
    2026-10-09 15:30
    24h after
    -4.8%
  • 2026-10-09 04:30 UTC
    Ended
    2026-10-09 05:30
    24h after
    -1.7%

Rule broad_attention@1.0

Broad attention

Many independent authors are posting; attention is not concentrated in a few accounts. Fires when Unique authors 24h ≥ 80 AND Crowding < 22 AND Momentum > 70.

Inputs

  • Unique authors 24h — Unique authors 24h ≥ 80.
  • Crowding — Crowding < 22.
  • Momentum — Momentum > 70.

Limitations

  • Fomo activity is a sample of social attention; a signal describes what the network is doing, not what price will do.
  • Signals are statistical context, not a promise — historical analog statistics are attached at fire time with their sample size.
  • Breadth counts accounts, and related accounts cannot be detected from public activity.

Fires or does not fire. Strength 0–1 = average margin beyond each threshold (0 = just passing, 1 = far beyond). A signal inherits the confidence of the scores it reads (shown on each score). At fire time it carries historical analog statistics — earlier firings of the same rule whose 24h outcome had resolved — with N, median 24h return, worst 24h drawdown and a confidence level (N < 10 LOW, < 30 MEDIUM, else HIGH).

All signal definitions
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FomoQuant provides analytics and historical/statistical context, not financial advice or guaranteed predictions.