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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 1h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 1h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@xchampionspirit

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 2h ago16 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 50s agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 1 resolved call

No score is shown: 1 resolved call so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~12 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 1 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~12 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
16
N = 16 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
0%
95% CI 0–79% · N = 1

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
—
N = 0 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
100%
N = 1

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-43.2%
N = 1

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 1

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
—
N = 1

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
1
resolved · 15 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 1 · Positive after 24h 0% (95% CI 0–79%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
-9.2%
Trimmed mean
-9.2%
10% each side
Mean
-9.2%
Range
-9.2% … -9.2%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram1 samples in 1 bins from -9.2% to -9.2%.median-9.2%-9.2%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian -9.2%, interquartile range -9.2% to -9.2%, whiskers -9.2% to -9.2%, 0 outliers (min -9.2%, max -9.2%).-9.2%-9.2%
p5
-9.2%
p10
-9.2%
p25
-9.2%
p50
-9.2%
p75
-9.2%
p90
-9.2%
p95
-9.2%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (1)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $SWORDCATSwordcat Lore Pt.2 https://x.com/xchampionspirit/status/2109209478474379447?s=46
    Posted
    2h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SWORDCATSwordcat Lore Pt. 1: https://x.com/xchampionspirit/status/2109202406492066278?s=20
    Posted
    7h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SWORDCAThttps://x.com/xchampionspirit/status/2109159148189553103?s=20
    Posted
    10h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SWORDCATYou either have the cat in you or you don't
    Posted
    15h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SWORDCATI made a game for the Swordcat community 🫶 Have fun and share! https://swordcat-game.vercel.app/
    Posted
    1d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -26.5%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SWORDCAT"for memecoins to reach escape velocity you need a group of early mentally handicapped holders who just will not sell" - Ansem
    Posted
    1d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -19.6%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SWORDCAThttps://x.com/xchampionspirit/status/2108645476732207164?s=20
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +5.8%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SWORDCATYou either have the cat in you or you don't
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -7.7%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SWORDCATThis token is a marshmallow test
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -24.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SWORDCAT@icarus look at flag on the 1h. This thing is a powder keg
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -26.4%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SWORDCAT@icarus get back in here.
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -13.8%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SWORDCATChina ❤️ swordcat https://x.com/BitcoinChina_/status/2108377148603973812
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -15.4%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SWORDCATNew website and X community 🔥 https://x.com/i/communities/2026249482128777669
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -19.6%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SWORDCATYou either got the cat in you or you don't...
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -2.1%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SWORDCATLiterally Pepe for neurotypicals…women who don’t even know about the token are getting this cat tattooed on themselves. Just watch where we go in a month
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -13.5%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SWORDCATThis is not a quick flip. Blue chip that will get listed by major exchanges aoon. Buy and don't let anyone take your tokens.
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    -9.2%
    Max return
    +18.8%
    Drawdown
    -43.2%
    Lead time
    no +25% move

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.