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User quant profile

@xbrazilzz

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 3d ago2 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveUpdated 1m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 2 resolved calls

No score is shown: 2 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls; this account has posted 2 theses so far.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 2 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved.

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
2
N = 2 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
50%
95% CI 9–91% · N = 2

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
1.6h
N = 1 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
50%
N = 2

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-54.7%
N = 2

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 2

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
σ 38.3%
N = 2

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
2
resolved · 0 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 2 · Positive after 24h 50% (95% CI 9–91%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
-5.6%
CI -32.7% … +21.5%
Trimmed mean
-5.6%
10% each side
Mean
-5.6%
σ 38.3%
Range
-32.7% … +21.5%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram2 samples in 3 bins from -32.7% to +21.5%.median-32.7%+21.5%0%-20%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian -5.6%, interquartile range -19.1% to +8.0%, whiskers -32.7% to +21.5%, 0 outliers (min -32.7%, max +21.5%).-32.7%+21.5%-5.6%
p5
-30.0%
p10
-27.3%
p25
-19.1%
p50
-5.6%
p75
+8.0%
p90
+16.1%
p95
+18.8%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (2)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $NINJACATWorst day of market onchain and look at this, interesting
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    -32.7%
    Max return
    +4.8%
    Drawdown
    -60.2%
    Lead time
    no +25% move
  • $NINJACAThttps://x.com/injective/status/2108222256400798014?s=20
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +21.5%
    Max return
    +33.5%
    Drawdown
    -49.2%
    Lead time
    1.6h

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.