@von69101
First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 14h ago25 theses on 1 token in 7d
Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.
Research score
0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based
Based on 2 resolved calls
No score is shown: 2 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~11 Oct.
Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.
research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026
Research score history
Point-in-time snapshots · 2 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient
No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~11 Oct).
Author metrics
Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.
Theses posted up to the snapshot.
Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.
Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.
No major move and a negative 3-day return.
Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.
Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.
Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.
Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call
N = 2 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 34–100%)
- Median
- +13.7%
- CI +11.0% … +16.5%
- Trimmed mean
- +13.7%
- 10% each side
- Mean
- +13.7%
- σ 3.9%
- Range
- +11.0% … +16.5%
- p5
- +11.3%
- p10
- +11.6%
- p25
- +12.4%
- p50
- +13.7%
- p75
- +15.1%
- p90
- +15.9%
- p95
- +16.2%
Sector specialization
Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative
No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.
Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (2)
Recent calls
Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.
- $CATEBruh read Cults thesis guys a fucking loser
- Posted
- 14h ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- —
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEgay
- Posted
- 15h ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- —
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEWagwan brothers
- Posted
- 18h ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- —
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATE@isdore
- Posted
- 19h ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- —
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEWHAT THE FUCK
- Posted
- 20h ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- —
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEDid somebody say, gay?
- Posted
- 21h ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- —
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEwhere am I
- Posted
- 22h ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- —
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEGIT UP MUSH?
- Posted
- 1d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +0.2%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEJust know if this hits a B it’s so on. I’m larping a cate wrapped sf90
- Posted
- 1d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -0.1%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEgitt up mush
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +0.4%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEI want everyone in the chat to start imagining what’s possible with community https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZPLMGHE2B/
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -2.3%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEIt’s almost that time again. I’m getting flashbacks to nam https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZPLMXR4bY/
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -3.6%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEUm that’s my boyfriend if you have anything to stay to him say it to my face 😡
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -2.5%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATElobi can i have a dollar please daddy
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -1.2%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEMerc you just have a way with words 🥰
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -0.8%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEIm cuddle you pickle
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -8.7%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEI gay
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -3.1%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEMilly ain’t no way someone stole your @ 😂
- Posted
- 2d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- -2.2%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEHi bar bar
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +11.2%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEHey guys don’t worry just got off the phone with Barbar
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +2.6%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +7.2%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEStill waiting for Marlon to rizz the chart it’s okay I’ll be patient
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +16.6%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATEHelp you bag and repost on x and tik tok. Become the bagman 😈
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Pending
- 24h
- +9.6%
- Max return
- —
- Drawdown
- —
- Lead time
- —
- $CATENeed to raise the gay meter
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Resolved
- 24h
- +11.0%
- Max return
- +15.8%
- Drawdown
- -6.3%
- Lead time
- no +25% move
- $CATEMarlon rizz the chart for us please
- Posted
- 3d ago
- Status
- Resolved
- 24h
- +16.5%
- Max return
- +18.0%
- Drawdown
- -4.6%
- Lead time
- no +25% move
Cohorts
Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.
Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.