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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 1h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 1h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@ultrapara

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 10h ago6 theses on 4 tokens in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 2m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 0 resolved calls

No score is shown: No resolved calls yet — this account's first call resolves on 11 Oct, 72 h after its first thesis (8 Oct). A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~13 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 0 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~13 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

No author metrics yet

No resolved calls yet — this account's first call resolves on 11 Oct, 72 h after its first thesis (8 Oct). A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~13 Oct. Metrics appear with the first metrics run after that.

Outcome distribution

Return 24h after each call

No resolved calls with market data yet.

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $INFERfirst fully launched protocol by IMD swarm
    Posted
    10h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $HOTBOThowever high you think this can go, start thinking a lot higher. ai tooling is essential if you want to be successful in this new world
    Posted
    1d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -30.1%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BORDRbullish integrations https://x.com/bordrlessdex/status/2108672213981306921?s=46&t=yB1XGev09FsS9I0uPGll8A
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +41.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CLAUShttps://x.com/pebble_agent/status/2108614986365055288?s=46&t=o7YU4cRJwdyZ9o0R2wVq_w new agent launching on v4 and will drive additional fee burns for CLAUS
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +27.3%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $BORDRBordrless shipped first by about 3 hours on Oct 7 (the the token we all know that forked them)
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +82.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $HOTBOT🔥🤖
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -22.8%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.