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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 1h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 1h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@tjam

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 9h ago17 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 2m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 1 resolved call

No score is shown: 1 resolved call so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~11 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 1 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~11 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
17
N = 17 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
0%
95% CI 0–79% · N = 1

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
—
N = 0 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
100%
N = 1

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-7.8%
N = 1

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 1

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
—
N = 1

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
1
resolved · 16 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 1 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 21–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
+9.0%
Trimmed mean
+9.0%
10% each side
Mean
+9.0%
Range
+9.0% … +9.0%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram1 samples in 1 bins from +9.0% to +9.0%.median+9.0%+9.0%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian +9.0%, interquartile range +9.0% to +9.0%, whiskers +9.0% to +9.0%, 0 outliers (min +9.0%, max +9.0%).+9.0%+9.0%
p5
+9.0%
p10
+9.0%
p25
+9.0%
p50
+9.0%
p75
+9.0%
p90
+9.0%
p95
+9.0%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (1)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $CATEMb I sold some to buy cashpad
    Posted
    9h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEPoorgoat u gotta do something man
    Posted
    18h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEKinda bs to me that poorgoat won’t put more money into cate when it’s just sitting in his wallet
    Posted
    19h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEThis guy sells after like 2 days every time
    Posted
    22h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEBtc is kinda ripping the past day
    Posted
    1d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -6.8%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEBy holding a floor doc
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -2.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEIt’s nearly impossible for a coin to stay below 100 mil with this amount of holders
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -10.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEWe’re about to rip with this amount of holders
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -5.3%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEDanny is a seller
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -6.4%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATENext leg
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -3.4%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEHate when I see panic sellers buy in @killaboy
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -1.5%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEHoly shit
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -3.8%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEFOMO muting my thesis
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +1.8%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEJust delete fomo and come back to the chart in 2 weeks
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +7.8%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEUncle goggins don’t sell this time
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +8.8%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEPeople get shaken out to easily have some conviction
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +16.1%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $CATEYes basically Milly bc it signals the ye start of a bullrun
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +9.0%
    Max return
    +14.0%
    Drawdown
    -7.8%
    Lead time
    no +25% move

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.