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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 2h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 2h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@t4k_

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 16h ago10 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 1m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 1 resolved call

No score is shown: 1 resolved call so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~12 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 1 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~12 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
10
N = 10 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
100%
95% CI 21–100% · N = 1

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
5.8h
N = 1 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
0%
N = 1

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-46.0%
N = 1

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 1

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
—
N = 1

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
1
resolved · 9 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 1 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 21–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
+18.4%
Trimmed mean
+18.4%
10% each side
Mean
+18.4%
Range
+18.4% … +18.4%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram1 samples in 1 bins from +18.4% to +18.4%.median+18.4%+18.4%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian +18.4%, interquartile range +18.4% to +18.4%, whiskers +18.4% to +18.4%, 0 outliers (min +18.4%, max +18.4%).+18.4%+18.4%
p5
+18.4%
p10
+18.4%
p25
+18.4%
p50
+18.4%
p75
+18.4%
p90
+18.4%
p95
+18.4%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (1)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $STONKINUsuper inu curling up looking like it’s gonna run again that could kickstart stonk and the eco to go on another run soon this has already shown its strength in a slow market and while stonk is bleeding imagine what it’ll do once the stonk eco is booming again so much higher
    Posted
    16h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $STONKINUthe fact that it’s held this well and is adding plenty of new big holders while the rest of onchain absolutely shits the bed says enough stonk inu is here to stay, and go much much higher
    Posted
    1d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -27.6%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $STONKINUif the chart looks like this rn with stonk on its first proper dip/downtrend imagine what we’ll look like when stonk is back at 200m, or ath’s best rr trade in the market rn
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -30.9%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $STONKINU5 milly today just watch
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -13.4%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $STONKINUwe r going so much higher NFT’s 0.6+ floor already this going 7m+ before eow ez
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -8.7%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $STONKINUyou’ve got solstice, theo, OMP, J777, and Pyro in 5 of the top 10 stonk whales if u ain’t bullish idk what to say
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -14.5%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $STONKINUHIGHERRRRRR
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -26.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $STONKINUgiga candle to 4-5m soon
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +3.5%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $STONKINUchart looking beautiful
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +49.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $STONKINUnew ath’s hit overnight while stonk and btc r bleeding yea, we going 10m+ ezzzzz buy cheap while u can
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +18.4%
    Max return
    +84.5%
    Drawdown
    -46.0%
    Lead time
    5.8h

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

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