Skip to content

Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 2h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 3h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@splunk_

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 3h ago27 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 1m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 3 resolved calls

No score is shown: 3 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~11 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 3 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~11 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
27
N = 27 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
100%
95% CI 44–100% · N = 3

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
8.1h
N = 3 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
0%
N = 3

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-12.7%
N = 3

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 3

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
σ 11.4%
N = 3

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
3
resolved · 24 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 3 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 44–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
+20.3%
CI +6.6% … +29.2%
Trimmed mean
+18.7%
10% each side
Mean
+18.7%
σ 11.4%
Range
+6.6% … +29.2%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram3 samples in 3 bins from +6.6% to +29.2%.median+6.6%+29.2%+10%+15%+20%+25%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian +20.3%, interquartile range +13.4% to +24.7%, whiskers +6.6% to +29.2%, 0 outliers (min +6.6%, max +29.2%).+6.6%+29.2%+20.3%
p5
+8.0%
p10
+9.3%
p25
+13.4%
p50
+20.3%
p75
+24.7%
p90
+27.4%
p95
+28.3%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (3), Tokenized Stocks (3)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $SIAs the holder count gets lower we go higher lmao
    Posted
    3h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIMy actual name is steven, when I see people talking about stevenr shi has me trippin. W him tho
    Posted
    15h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIMe too viper, twinsies.
    Posted
    16h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIDEADASS (I sold out of fear when jeltics said he was dumping this shit) I’ll admit it tho
    Posted
    17h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIBite the pillow
    Posted
    19h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIlet’s see if we can send her to 35m mc
    Posted
    21h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SI“Waiting for the dip” 😭 what are you waiting for 0? This is all the dip literally you can buy anywhere and get a good roi.
    Posted
    23h ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    —
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIIf we turn back into a stablecoin here that’s good btw
    Posted
    1d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +9.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIIt might be scary that it hasn’t happened yet, but it IS happening
    Posted
    1d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +23.9%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIIt’s fire that we’re all in the red together, they used to say this community was too weak but it’s gotten so much better.
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +32.9%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIGuys I don’t think we’re booming yet don’t get stiff now. I think qwerty just came back. W tho regardless
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +15.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIBoys, I’ve been looking for price action like this again since we first hit 20-30m 😭 it’s finally back I love the flat candles.
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +17.9%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIWhy don’t people filter out the under 1k people. 🤷🏽‍♂️ maybe even some of the 5k people. Just worry bout yourself don’t be influenced by others. I learned my lesson.
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +8.3%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SICharts kinda broken rn
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +3.2%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SITurbo s
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +5.6%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SISlowly but surely
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -8.9%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SI😼😼😼😼 imma go back to the og pfp
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -15.4%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIIt doesn’t look like a lot of progress but kind you we did this while EVERY other coin was bearish today and we’ve been bearish for a week
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -12.6%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIBoard sit this bitch emotionless fellas, boutta hit 50% equilibrium on the daily uptrend and Asia waking up
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -14.1%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIIt’s not a maybe it IS HAPPENING
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -21.3%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIFellas what did I miss
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -8.1%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SISlow climb
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +4.6%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SILooking forward to it long term hold here
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -2.9%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIDAIL TIMEFRAME ON AI IS COOOOKED
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +8.6%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $SIHOLD STRON GBROTHERS
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +6.6%
    Max return
    +37.8%
    Drawdown
    -12.7%
    Lead time
    2.2d

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.