User quant profile

@skydawg

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 13m ago23 theses on 1 token in 7d

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100

Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 4 resolved calls

No score is shown: 4 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~11 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 4 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~11 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses

N = 21 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate

95% CI 0–49% · N = 4

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time

—

N = 0 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate

N = 4

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call

-4.6%

N = 4

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency

—

N = 4

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility

σ 1.3%

N = 4

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size

resolved · 19 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 4 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 51–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal

Median: +14.9%; CI +13.2% … +16.3%
Trimmed mean: +14.8%; 10% each side
Mean: +14.8%; σ 1.3%
Range: +13.2% … +16.3%

1 below +14.5% (min +13.2%)

p5: +13.4%
p10: +13.7%
p25: +14.4%
p50: +14.9%
p75: +15.2%
p90: +15.8%
p95: +16.0%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Meme (4)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

Token	Posted	Status	24h	Max return	Drawdown	Lead time
$CATECATE IS CODED🐈 Dont sleep on the billion dollar runner 📈	13m ago	Pending	—	—	—	—
$CATESunday chill with the cate fam, pull up https://x.com/wifirug/status/2109274576723279939?s=46	1h ago	Pending	—	—	—	—
$CATEStay positive, in hindsight it will be obvious 📈 💎🙌🏼	21h ago	Pending	—	—	—	—
$CATEIt’s CAT(E) season baby🐈📈	1d ago	Pending	-3.8%	—	—	—
$CATEAll roads lead to CATE🐈	1d ago	Pending	-5.1%	—	—	—
$CATECATE is truly built different, even in a bearish market our holder count has gone up by the thousands This next leg will be one for the books📈 💎🙌🏼	2d ago	Pending	-3.3%	—	—	—
$CATE#2 trending rn	2d ago	Pending	-3.3%	—	—	—
$CATEAnyone having second thoughts, come join us in the X space and have all your worries melted away💯 CATE TO BILLIONS📈 Cate community is built different 🐈💎 EVEN IN A BEARISH MARKET OUR HOLDER COUNT IS UP BY THE THOUSANDS🙌🏼💎 https://x.com/jsaini99997/status/2108663881723744599?s=46	2d ago	Pending	-1.0%	—	—	—
$CATECome join us on X https://x.com/wifirug/status/2108636024700027196?s=46 live right now hosted by @wifirug	2d ago	Pending	+1.4%	—	—	—
$CATEMuch higher imo📈	2d ago	Pending	-8.4%	—	—	—
$CATEGM cate fam🐈	2d ago	Pending	-3.8%	—	—	—
$CATEJust a dawg with a dream to be a whale and that dream started with a cat(E) 🐈 19k invested and holding with my diamond balls💰 CATE TO BILLIONS📈	3d ago	Pending	-3.5%	—	—	—
$CATECurrently -6k and never been so comfy with my CATE😂 In hindsight it will be obvious🤷🏼‍♂️ CATE TO BILLIONS📈 IF IT WAS EASY EVERYONE WOULD DO IT💯 💎🙌🏼	3d ago	Pending	+5.6%	—	—	—
$CATEAppreciate whoever air dropped me! Just noticed 🙌🏼🖤	3d ago	Pending	+6.4%	—	—	—
$CATE@beenpaid 22.1k shares if you put in 2k rn	3d ago	Pending	+8.4%	—	—	—
$CATEUnfazed🥱 CATE TO BILLIONS SOON IMO🐈📈	3d ago	Pending	+11.0%	—	—	—
$CATECatch y’all later, bouta go bagwork on my socials instead of chart watching. TRUST IN CATE🐈📈 💎🙌🏼	3d ago	Pending	+8.7%	—	—	—
$CATEMuch higher imo	3d ago	Pending	+1.8%	—	—	—
$CATEJoin the X, got a lot of new people joining in still, CATE TRAIN hosted by @wifirug https://x.com/wifirug/status/2108211125334757811?s=46 join up	3d ago	Pending	+6.6%	—	—	—
$CATEJoin the X space if you want your nerves to be calmed https://x.com/wifirug/status/2108211125334757811?s=46	3d ago	Resolved	+16.3%	+19.6%	-3.3%	no +25% move
$CATETime to bag work NYC😈 https://x.com/doctuahh/status/2108235557499203828?s=46	3d ago	Resolved	+14.8%	+17.2%	-5.3%	no +25% move
$CATEMuch higher imo	3d ago	Resolved	+13.2%	+18.8%	-3.9%	no +25% move
$CATEI believe in $cate to billions📈 MY CATE IS NOT FOR SALE🐈💯	3d ago	Resolved	+14.9%	+16.3%	-5.9%	no +25% move

$CATECATE IS CODED🐈 Dont sleep on the billion dollar runner 📈
Posted
13m ago
Status
Pending
24h
—
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATESunday chill with the cate fam, pull up https://x.com/wifirug/status/2109274576723279939?s=46
Posted
1h ago
Status
Pending
24h
—
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEStay positive, in hindsight it will be obvious 📈 💎🙌🏼
Posted
21h ago
Status
Pending
24h
—
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEIt’s CAT(E) season baby🐈📈
Posted
1d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-3.8%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEAll roads lead to CATE🐈
Posted
1d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-5.1%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATECATE is truly built different, even in a bearish market our holder count has gone up by the thousands This next leg will be one for the books📈 💎🙌🏼
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-3.3%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATE#2 trending rn
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-3.3%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEAnyone having second thoughts, come join us in the X space and have all your worries melted away💯 CATE TO BILLIONS📈 Cate community is built different 🐈💎 EVEN IN A BEARISH MARKET OUR HOLDER COUNT IS UP BY THE THOUSANDS🙌🏼💎 https://x.com/jsaini99997/status/2108663881723744599?s=46
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-1.0%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATECome join us on X https://x.com/wifirug/status/2108636024700027196?s=46 live right now hosted by @wifirug
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+1.4%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEMuch higher imo📈
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-8.4%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEGM cate fam🐈
Posted
2d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-3.8%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEJust a dawg with a dream to be a whale and that dream started with a cat(E) 🐈 19k invested and holding with my diamond balls💰 CATE TO BILLIONS📈
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
-3.5%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATECurrently -6k and never been so comfy with my CATE😂 In hindsight it will be obvious🤷🏼‍♂️ CATE TO BILLIONS📈 IF IT WAS EASY EVERYONE WOULD DO IT💯 💎🙌🏼
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+5.6%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEAppreciate whoever air dropped me! Just noticed 🙌🏼🖤
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+6.4%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATE@beenpaid 22.1k shares if you put in 2k rn
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+8.4%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEUnfazed🥱 CATE TO BILLIONS SOON IMO🐈📈
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+11.0%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATECatch y’all later, bouta go bagwork on my socials instead of chart watching. TRUST IN CATE🐈📈 💎🙌🏼
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+8.7%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEMuch higher imo
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+1.8%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEJoin the X, got a lot of new people joining in still, CATE TRAIN hosted by @wifirug https://x.com/wifirug/status/2108211125334757811?s=46 join up
Posted
3d ago
Status
Pending
24h
+6.6%
Max return
—
Drawdown
—
Lead time
—
$CATEJoin the X space if you want your nerves to be calmed https://x.com/wifirug/status/2108211125334757811?s=46
Posted
3d ago
Status
Resolved
24h
+16.3%
Max return
+19.6%
Drawdown
-3.3%
Lead time
no +25% move
$CATETime to bag work NYC😈 https://x.com/doctuahh/status/2108235557499203828?s=46
Posted
3d ago
Status
Resolved
24h
+14.8%
Max return
+17.2%
Drawdown
-5.3%
Lead time
no +25% move
$CATEMuch higher imo
Posted
3d ago
Status
Resolved
24h
+13.2%
Max return
+18.8%
Drawdown
-3.9%
Lead time
no +25% move
$CATEI believe in $cate to billions📈 MY CATE IS NOT FOR SALE🐈💯
Posted
3d ago
Status
Resolved
24h
+14.9%
Max return
+16.3%
Drawdown
-5.9%
Lead time
no +25% move

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

Not a member of any cohort you can see. Auto cohorts require minimum sample sizes.