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Fomo activity delayed · Last update: 1h ago · Market data delayed · Last update: 1h ago — affected numbers are dimmed and shown as of their last update.

User quant profile

@rishi

First seen Oct 8, 2026Last thesis 2d ago7 theses on 1 token in 7d

LiveDelayed · scores 1m agoPublic Fomo profile

Descriptive statistics of this account's past theses and what happened to the token afterwards. Not a ranking of people and not a recommendation.

Research score

0–100 · shrunk toward 50 until there are enough resolved calls · never follower-based

—/ 100
Confidence: Insufficient dataToo few resolved calls to say anything reliable.

Based on 2 resolved calls

No score is shown: 2 resolved calls so far. A research score needs 5 resolved calls — expected ~12 Oct.

Composite of hit rate (35), lead time (20), low false positives (20), consistency (15) and median 24h return (10) over resolved calls, shrunk toward a prior of 50 with 20 pseudo-calls. Describes past calls only.

research-v1.0 · as of Oct 11, 2026

Research score history

Point-in-time snapshots · 2 shown · no number while confidence is insufficient

No research score yet — snapshots appear once at least 5 calls have resolved (for this account ~12 Oct).

Author metrics

Every value lists its sample size (N). Hit rate shows a Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Theses
7
N = 7 posted

Theses posted up to the snapshot.

Hit rate
100%
95% CI 34–100% · N = 2

Share of resolved calls that touched +25% within 72h.

Median lead time
11.7h
N = 2 major moves

Thesis → first touch of +25%, over calls that reached it.

False positive rate
0%
N = 2

No major move and a negative 3-day return.

Median drawdown after call
-20.1%
N = 2

Lowest point within 72h after the call, median.

Consistency
—
N = 2

Needs ≥ 2 weeks with ≥ 2 resolved calls.

Outcome volatility
σ 36.4%
N = 2

Standard deviation of 24h returns after calls.

Sample size
2
resolved · 5 pending in view

Calls whose 72h outcome window has closed.

Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call

N = 2 · Positive after 24h 100% (95% CI 34–100%)

Small sample — treat as anecdotal
Median
+89.1%
CI +63.3% … +115%
Trimmed mean
+89.1%
10% each side
Mean
+89.1%
σ 36.4%
Range
+63.3% … +115%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call histogram2 samples in 3 bins from +63.3% to +115%.median+63.3%+115%+80%+100%
Outcome distribution — return 24h after each call box plotMedian +89.1%, interquartile range +76.2% to +102%, whiskers +63.3% to +115%, 0 outliers (min +63.3%, max +115%).+63.3%+115%+89.1%
p5
+65.9%
p10
+68.5%
p25
+76.2%
p50
+89.1%
p75
+102%
p90
+110%
p95
+112%

Sector specialization

Research score per narrative · shown only with ≥ 8 resolved calls in that narrative

No narrative has 8 or more resolved calls yet, so no sector strength is shown.

Not enough samples in other sectors: Launchpads (2)

Recent calls

Latest 25 theses with their outcome. Outcomes resolve 72 hours after posting; lead time = minutes to the first +25% touch.

  • $HIGGS🤣🤣🤣 that whale sold for a loss. If he had some patience he would have sold for few Xs. These jeets will feel the pain very very soon. Mkt recovering and we are on the cusp of breakout
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -25.3%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $HIGGSPeople who wanna buy should get in now. We are in the dip. You won't get another chance at these prices. We got here because of mkt dump. There is a very high possibility we could breakout anytime
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -41.4%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $HIGGSGM guys. Whales that sold yesterday at the bottom should be feeling the pain right now. We are up 3x so far from bottom and it is just the beginning. Anyone who will be selling at current prices will feel the same once we break $5 Mil. I called the perfect bottom yesterday. We will break $5 Mil very very soon. $BTC also trying to bounce which will help us breakout anytime
    Posted
    2d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    -25.7%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $HIGGSJust a matter of time before we breakout huge. We are looking great for breakout anytime
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +28.0%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $HIGGSLooks like BTC found the bottom and stabilizing. Now its time for this to pump. Lets make all those jeets buy higher
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Pending
    24h
    +19.6%
    Max return
    —
    Drawdown
    —
    Lead time
    —
  • $HIGGSGuys if you entering now and thinking it will pump in 1-2 hrs then don't enter. You are messing up with your portfolio by buying and sells and you will loose your portfolio. You may not see the pump in 1-2hrs. Mkt is really bad and there is a higher possibility that dev might be holding off on any news until mkt stabilize or he might post and we pump 4-5x immediately. That's the risk you have to consider. Dony loose ur potential by going in and out in couple of hrs
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +115%
    Max return
    +222%
    Drawdown
    0.0%
    Lead time
    4.8h
  • $HIGGSIf you can't hold, you won't be rich
    Posted
    3d ago
    Status
    Resolved
    24h
    +63.3%
    Max return
    +93.1%
    Drawdown
    -40.1%
    Lead time
    18.6h

Cohorts

Auto cohorts and cohorts shared with you that include this account.

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